xgEdge

Expected goals

Odense Boldklub expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Superliga (Denmark) · after 9 matches · updated 1 Oct

Odense Boldklub's attacking and defensive expected goals in Superliga (Denmark) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Odense Boldklub xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.55 xG per match
#6/12
Attack (xG per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 FC Nordsjælland 2.35
#2 Lyngby 1.85
#3 FC København 1.62
=4 AGF 1.60
=4 Viborg FF 1.60
#6 Odense Boldklub 1.55
#7 FC Midtjylland 1.44
#8 Brøndby IF 1.22
#9 Silkeborg IF 1.10
#10 AC Horsens 1.09
#11 Randers FC 1.06
#12 Sønderjyske Fodbold 1.01
League avg
1.46
Total
13.95 9 matches
Defence
1.68 xGA per match
#11/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Midtjylland 1.11
#2 FC København 1.16
#3 Viborg FF 1.17
#4 Lyngby 1.36
#5 FC Nordsjælland 1.43
#6 Silkeborg IF 1.47
#7 Brøndby IF 1.54
#8 AGF 1.56
#9 AC Horsens 1.57
#10 Randers FC 1.65
#11 Odense Boldklub 1.68
#12 Sønderjyske Fodbold 1.81
League avg
1.46
Total
15.10 9 matches
xG difference
-0.13 xGD per match
#7/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 FC Nordsjælland +0.93
#2 Lyngby +0.48
#3 FC København +0.46
#4 Viborg FF +0.43
#5 FC Midtjylland +0.33
#6 AGF +0.04
#7 Odense Boldklub -0.13
#8 Brøndby IF -0.32
#9 Silkeborg IF -0.36
#10 AC Horsens -0.48
#11 Randers FC -0.59
#12 Sønderjyske Fodbold -0.80
League avg
0.00
Total
-1.15 9 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.30 xPts per match
#7/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 FC Nordsjælland 1.90
#2 FC København 1.71
#3 Viborg FF 1.70
#4 FC Midtjylland 1.61
#5 Lyngby 1.61
#6 AGF 1.49
#7 Odense Boldklub 1.30
#8 Silkeborg IF 1.22
#9 Brøndby IF 1.18
#10 AC Horsens 1.05
#11 Randers FC 0.99
#12 Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.82
League avg
1.38
Total
11.66 vs 9 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Odense Boldklub's underlying numbers sit close to the Superliga (Denmark) average. They rank #7 for xG difference at -0.13 per match, driven by elite shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 8 goals are 5.95 below 13.95 xG, while 9 points are 2.66 below 11.66 xPts. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 0.97 xG from penalties
8 13.95 -5.95 scored 5.95 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
14 15.10 -1.10 conceded 1.10 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
9 11.66 -2.66 2.66 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Odense Boldklub are 5.95 goals below their xG after 9 matches. The gap was widest at -6.08, against FC København on Sun 06/09.

Goals
8
xG
13.95
Gap
-5.95
Fri 24/07 Mon 03/08 Mon 10/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 23/08 Sun 30/08 Sun 06/09 Sun 13/09 Sat 19/09 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -1.72 -2.83 -3.97 -4.34 -3.15 -3.90 -6.08 -5.22 -5.95 -1.72 -1.11 -1.14 -0.37 +1.19 -0.75 -2.18 +0.86 -0.73 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Odense Boldklub: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 24/07 Viborg FF 0 1.72 -1.72 -1.72
Mon 03/08 Sønderjyske Fodbold 1 2.11 -1.11 -2.83
Mon 10/08 Silkeborg IF 0 1.14 -1.14 -3.97
Sun 16/08 AC Horsens 1 1.37 -0.37 -4.34
Sun 23/08 AGF 2 0.81 +1.19 -3.15
Sun 30/08 Lyngby 1 1.75 -0.75 -3.90
Sun 06/09 FC København 0 2.18 -2.18 -6.08
Sun 13/09 Randers FC 2 1.14 +0.86 -5.22
Sat 19/09 FC Midtjylland 1 1.73 -0.73 -5.95

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

Odense Boldklub xG trend

Current form -0.20 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 2 of 9 matches. The worst was against AGF on Sun 23/08 (-1.07).

npxG · last 6
1.38
npxGA · last 6
1.57
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.52 Fri 24/07 +1.53 Mon 03/08 -0.62 Mon 10/08 -0.10 Sun 16/08 -1.07 Sun 23/08 -0.20 Sun 30/08 -0.49 Sun 06/09 -0.47 Sun 13/09 +1.15 Sat 19/09 -0.09 season avg
Odense Boldklub: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 24/07 Viborg FF 1.51 2.03 -0.52 -0.52
Mon 03/08 Sønderjyske Fodbold 2.12 0.59 +1.53 +0.51
Mon 10/08 Silkeborg IF 1.09 1.71 -0.62 +0.13
Sun 16/08 AC Horsens 1.42 1.52 -0.10 +0.07
Sun 23/08 AGF 0.81 1.88 -1.07 -0.16
Sun 30/08 Lyngby 1.76 1.96 -0.20 -0.16
Sun 06/09 FC København 1.56 2.05 -0.49 -0.21
Sun 13/09 Randers FC 0.96 1.43 -0.47 -0.24
Sat 19/09 FC Midtjylland 1.75 0.60 +1.15 -0.09

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.44 npxG and 1.53 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 9 hardest of 12 in Superliga (Denmark)
−0.05 xG vs league average
Over 9 league matches
Last 5
number 3 hardest of 12 in Superliga (Denmark)
+0.09 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.05 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · tied number 9 hardest of 12

  1. FC Midtjylland Home +0.09
  2. Randers FC Away −0.27
  3. FC København Home +0.38
  4. Lyngby Away 0.00
  5. AGF Away +0.25
  6. AC Horsens Home −0.22
  7. Silkeborg IF Away −0.30
  8. Sønderjyske Fodbold Home −0.51
  9. Viborg FF Away +0.16

Last 5

+0.09 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 3 hardest of 12

  1. FC Midtjylland Home +0.09
  2. Randers FC Away −0.27
  3. FC København Home +0.38
  4. Lyngby Away 0.00
  5. AGF Away +0.25

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Odense Boldklub shots and chance quality

High volume, average quality. Odense Boldklub take 15.3 shots a match (league 13.9) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #3 in Superliga (Denmark) for volume and #7 for quality. 68% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 17% of their npxG (league 25%).

Attack

Shot volume
15.3 shots per match
#3/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FC Nordsjælland 17.6
#2 AGF 16.8
#3 Odense Boldklub 15.3
#4 Brøndby IF 15.2
#5 FC København 15.0
#6 Lyngby 14.8
#7 FC Midtjylland 14.2
#8 Viborg FF 13.6
#9 Sønderjyske Fodbold 11.6
#10 Silkeborg IF 11.4
#11 AC Horsens 11.2
#12 Randers FC 9.9
League avg
13.9
Total
138 shots from 9 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#7/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 FC Nordsjælland 0.13
#2 Viborg FF 0.12
#3 Randers FC 0.10
#4 FC København 0.10
#5 Lyngby 0.10
#6 FC Midtjylland 0.10
#7 Odense Boldklub 0.09
#8 AC Horsens 0.08
#9 Silkeborg IF 0.08
#10 AGF 0.08
#11 Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.08
#12 Brøndby IF 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
12.98 npxG from 138 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
13.6 shots per match
#7/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FC København 11.9
#2 Silkeborg IF 12.4
#3 Brøndby IF 12.6
=4 FC Midtjylland 12.9
=4 Lyngby 12.9
#6 FC Nordsjælland 13.3
#7 Odense Boldklub 13.6
=8 AGF 13.7
=8 Viborg FF 13.7
#10 AC Horsens 15.0
#11 Randers FC 16.4
#12 Sønderjyske Fodbold 18.2
League avg
13.9
Total
122 shots allowed from 9 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
#11/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Viborg FF 0.08
#2 FC Midtjylland 0.08
#3 AGF 0.09
#4 FC Nordsjælland 0.09
#5 FC København 0.09
#6 Randers FC 0.09
#7 Lyngby 0.10
#8 Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.10
#9 AC Horsens 0.10
#10 Brøndby IF 0.11
#11 Odense Boldklub 0.11
#12 Silkeborg IF 0.12
League avg
0.10
Total
13.77 npxGA from 122 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

68% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 94 of 138 shots over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

65% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 79 of 122 shots allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

83% open play · 17% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 2.2 of 12.9 npxG over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

66% open play · 34% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 4.6 of 13.7 npxG allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Odense Boldklub home and away xG

Odense Boldklub per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 5
xG / match 1.85 1.31
xGA / match 1.40 1.90
xGD / match +0.44 -0.59
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.75 0.94

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Odense Boldklub match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
9
xG / match
1.55
xGA / match
1.68
xGD / match
-0.13
Points
9 of 27
  1. Sat 19/09 FC Midtjylland H xG 1.73 xGA 0.60 xGD +1.13
  2. Sun 13/09 Randers FC A xG 1.14 xGA 1.68 xGD -0.54
  3. Sun 06/09 FC København H xG 2.18 P xGA 2.84 P xGD -0.66
  4. Sun 30/08 Lyngby A xG 1.75 xGA 1.97 xGD -0.22
  5. Sun 23/08 AGF A Weakest underlying xG 0.81 xGA 1.88 xGD -1.07
  6. Sun 16/08 AC Horsens H xG 1.37 xGA 1.58 xGD -0.21
  7. Mon 10/08 Silkeborg IF A xG 1.14 xGA 1.92 xGD -0.78
  8. Mon 03/08 Sønderjyske Fodbold H Best underlying xG 2.11 xGA 0.59 xGD +1.52
  9. Fri 24/07 Viborg FF A xG 1.72 xGA 2.04 xGD -0.32

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Odense Boldklub in Superliga (Denmark)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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