xgEdge

Silkeborg IF's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 5 of 5 matching results

9 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses

5 pts 8–7 goals +1 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
4.48 – 7.66
0.90 – 1.53 per match
xGD
-3.18
-0.64 per match
xG record
2 with the chances, 0 with even chances, 3 against them

Comparable xG: 5 of 5 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

5 pts 5.4 xPts

−0.4 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 5 of 5 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · All competitions · Away

Silkeborg IF's mixed record runs ahead of the chances they created and conceded. They out-created the opponent in 2 of 5 matches, for −3.18 xG difference overall on 4.48–7.66. Their points total of 5 lands on the model's 5.4 xPts, so the results have followed the chances closely.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 5 results Silkeborg IF are 0.36 points below their xPts. The gap was widest at -1.49, against Brøndby IF on Mon 24/08.

Points
5
xPts
5.36
Gap
-0.36
Mon 27/07 Sun 16/08 Mon 24/08 Sat 05/09 Fri 18/09 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.82 -0.90 -1.49 -1.36 -0.36 -0.82 -0.08 -0.59 +0.13 +1.00 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Silkeborg IF: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Mon 27/07 Randers FC 1 1.82 -0.82 -0.82
Sun 16/08 FC Nordsjælland 0 0.08 -0.08 -0.90
Mon 24/08 Brøndby IF 0 0.59 -0.59 -1.49
Sat 05/09 AGF 1 0.87 +0.13 -1.36
Fri 18/09 Lyngby 3 2.00 +1.00 -0.36

Scores and xG

Silkeborg IF first

  • Away Superliga (Denmark) Win backed by the chances

    xG 0.95

    xGA 0.30

    xGD +0.65

    4:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Lyngby, Fri 18/09

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.00
    Points minus xPts
    +1.00

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Superliga (Denmark) Draw against the chances

    AGF

    xG 1.23

    xGA 1.92

    xGD -0.69

    2:2 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · AGF, Sat 05/09

    The match was drawn although the team recorded less xG. The outcome was stronger than that chance difference suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    0.87
    Points minus xPts
    +0.13

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Superliga (Denmark) Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.99

    xGA 2.14

    xGD -1.15

    1:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Brøndby IF, Mon 24/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.59
    Points minus xPts
    -0.59

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Superliga (Denmark) Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.22

    xGA 2.70

    xGD -2.48

    0:1 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Nordsjælland, Sun 16/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.09
    Points minus xPts
    -0.09

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Superliga (Denmark) Draw against the chances

    xG 1.09

    xGA 0.60

    xGD +0.49

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Randers FC, Mon 27/07

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    1.82
    Points minus xPts
    -0.82

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest overperformance

Lyngby 4:0

· Away xG / xGA 0.95 – 0.30

Goal difference
+4
xGD
+0.65
GD minus xGD
+3.35

Among 5 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →