Expected goals
CFR 1907 Cluj expected goals (xG) 2026/2027
SuperLiga (Romania) · after 7 matches · updated 4 Oct
CFR 1907 Cluj's attacking and defensive expected goals in SuperLiga (Romania) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.
CFR 1907 Cluj xG and xGA per match
Every match ↓| Rank | Club | xG per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Universitatea Craiova | 2.45 |
| #2 | FCSB | 2.18 |
| #3 | FC Dinamo București | 2.17 |
| #4 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 1.99 |
| #5 | FC Botoșani | 1.99 |
| #6 | FC Universitatea Cluj | 1.98 |
| #7 | UTA Arad | 1.87 |
| #8 | FC Rapid București | 1.79 |
| #9 | FC Farul Constanța | 1.63 |
| #10 | FC Corvinul Hunedoara | 1.61 |
| #11 | FC Voluntari | 1.53 |
| #12 | FC Petrolul Ploieşti | 1.34 |
| #13 | SC Oțelul Galați | 1.33 |
| #14 | Sepsi OSK | 1.19 |
| #15 | FC Argeș Pitești | 1.18 |
| #16 | FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 0.74 |
- League avg
- 1.69
- Total
- 13.95 7 matches
| Rank | Club | xGA per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Universitatea Craiova | 1.11 |
| #2 | FC Rapid București | 1.12 |
| #3 | FC Dinamo București | 1.15 |
| #4 | FC Argeș Pitești | 1.21 |
| #5 | UTA Arad | 1.24 |
| #6 | FC Corvinul Hunedoara | 1.49 |
| #7 | FC Farul Constanța | 1.68 |
| #8 | FC Universitatea Cluj | 1.70 |
| #9 | FCSB | 1.70 |
| #10 | Sepsi OSK | 1.73 |
| #11 | SC Oțelul Galați | 1.78 |
| #12 | FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 1.95 |
| #13 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 2.04 |
| #14 | FC Botoșani | 2.10 |
| #15 | FC Petrolul Ploieşti | 2.38 |
| #16 | FC Voluntari | 2.61 |
- League avg
- 1.69
- Total
- 14.27 7 matches
| Rank | Club | xGD per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Universitatea Craiova | +1.34 |
| #2 | FC Dinamo București | +1.02 |
| #3 | FC Rapid București | +0.67 |
| #4 | UTA Arad | +0.63 |
| #5 | FCSB | +0.48 |
| #6 | FC Universitatea Cluj | +0.28 |
| #7 | FC Corvinul Hunedoara | +0.11 |
| #8 | FC Argeș Pitești | -0.03 |
| #9 | CFR 1907 Cluj | -0.05 |
| #10 | FC Farul Constanța | -0.05 |
| #11 | FC Botoșani | -0.11 |
| #12 | SC Oțelul Galați | -0.45 |
| #13 | Sepsi OSK | -0.54 |
| #14 | FC Petrolul Ploieşti | -1.04 |
| #15 | FC Voluntari | -1.08 |
| #16 | FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc | -1.22 |
- League avg
- 0.00
- Total
- -0.32 7 matches
| Rank | Club | xPts per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FC Dinamo București | 2.04 |
| #2 | Universitatea Craiova | 2.03 |
| #3 | FC Rapid București | 1.78 |
| #4 | UTA Arad | 1.78 |
| #5 | FCSB | 1.59 |
| #6 | FC Universitatea Cluj | 1.55 |
| #7 | FC Farul Constanța | 1.45 |
| #8 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 1.43 |
| #9 | FC Corvinul Hunedoara | 1.39 |
| #10 | FC Argeș Pitești | 1.37 |
| #11 | FC Botoșani | 1.34 |
| #12 | Sepsi OSK | 1.10 |
| #13 | SC Oțelul Galați | 1.09 |
| #14 | FC Petrolul Ploieşti | 1.06 |
| #15 | FC Voluntari | 0.81 |
| #16 | FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 0.55 |
- League avg
- 1.40
- Total
- 10.03 vs 13 actual pts
Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.
Expected goals here are summed over 7 of 9 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.
What the xG says
CFR 1907 Cluj's underlying numbers sit close to the SuperLiga (Romania) average. They rank #9 for xG difference at -0.05 per match, built on elite chance quality rather than about average shot volume. Their 14 goals are 0.05 above 13.95 xG, while 12 points are 1.97 above 10.03 xPts — both over the 7 matches with xG. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.
Actual vs expected
Select a row to chart it across the season.
Goals minus xG, match by match
CFR 1907 Cluj are 0.05 goals above their xG after 7 matches. The gap was widest at +2.29, against FC Voluntari on Mon 27/07.
- Goals
- 14
- xG
- 13.95
- Gap
- +0.05
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Goals | xG | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 18/07 | SC Oțelul Galați | 1 | 0.83 | +0.17 | +0.17 |
| Mon 27/07 | FC Voluntari | 5 | 2.88 | +2.12 | +2.29 |
| Sun 16/08 | FC Corvinul Hunedoara | 0 | 1.17 | -1.17 | +1.12 |
| Sun 23/08 | FCSB | 1 | 1.54 | -0.54 | +0.58 |
| Sat 29/08 | FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 3 | 2.02 | +0.98 | +1.56 |
| Sat 12/09 | Sepsi OSK | 1 | 1.89 | -0.89 | +0.67 |
| Sat 19/09 | FC Botoșani | 3 | 3.62 | -0.62 | +0.05 |
CFR 1907 Cluj xG trend
Current form +0.35 npxGD per match
The last 6 matches with xG.
Out-created the opponent in 3 of 7 matches. The worst was against FC Corvinul Hunedoara on Sun 16/08 (-2.67).
- npxG · last 6
- 2.19
- npxGA · last 6
- 1.84
- npxG
- npxGA
- npxGD
- Avg so far
| Date | Opponent | npxG | npxGA | npxGD | Avg so far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 18/07 | SC Oțelul Galați | 0.83 | 3.24 | -2.41 | -2.41 |
| Mon 27/07 | FC Voluntari | 2.88 | 1.16 | +1.72 | -0.35 |
| Sun 16/08 | FC Corvinul Hunedoara | 1.17 | 3.84 | -2.67 | -1.12 |
| Sun 23/08 | FCSB | 1.54 | 1.74 | -0.20 | -0.89 |
| Sat 29/08 | FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 2.02 | 0.96 | +1.06 | -0.50 |
| Sat 12/09 | Sepsi OSK | 1.89 | 2.41 | -0.52 | -0.50 |
| Sat 19/09 | FC Botoșani | 3.62 | 0.92 | +2.70 | -0.05 |
Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.99 npxG and 2.04 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.
Strength of schedule
- Season so far
- number 16 hardest of 16 in SuperLiga (Romania)
- −0.14 xG vs league average
- Over 9 league matches
- Last 5
- number 15 hardest of 16 in SuperLiga (Romania)
- −0.20 xG vs league average
- Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures
Season so far
−0.14 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · number 16 hardest of 16
- FC Botoșani Home −0.20
- Sepsi OSK Away −0.35
- FC Farul Constanța Home −0.05
- FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc Away −0.69
- FCSB Home +0.29
- FC Corvinul Hunedoara Away +0.06
- FC Rapid București Away +0.35
- FC Voluntari Home −0.52
- SC Oțelul Galați Away −0.20
Last 5
−0.20 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 15 hardest of 16
- FC Botoșani Home −0.20
- Sepsi OSK Away −0.35
- FC Farul Constanța Home −0.05
- FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc Away −0.69
- FCSB Home +0.29
CFR 1907 Cluj shots and chance quality
Average volume, high quality. CFR 1907 Cluj take 15.0 shots a match (league 14.5) at 0.13 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #7 in SuperLiga (Romania) for volume and #2 for quality. 61% of their shots come from inside the box (league 60%).
Attack
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Universitatea Craiova | 19.2 |
| #2 | FC Dinamo București | 17.7 |
| #3 | UTA Arad | 17.4 |
| #4 | FCSB | 17.2 |
| #5 | FC Rapid București | 17.1 |
| #6 | FC Universitatea Cluj | 15.2 |
| #7 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 15.0 |
| #8 | FC Corvinul Hunedoara | 14.8 |
| #9 | FC Farul Constanța | 14.6 |
| #10 | FC Petrolul Ploieşti | 13.2 |
| #11 | FC Argeș Pitești | 13.1 |
| #12 | FC Botoșani | 13.1 |
| #13 | FC Voluntari | 12.9 |
| #14 | SC Oțelul Galați | 12.7 |
| #15 | Sepsi OSK | 11.3 |
| #16 | FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 8.3 |
- League avg
- 14.5
- Total
- 105 shots from 7 matches
| Rank | Club | npxG per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FC Botoșani | 0.15 |
| #2 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 0.13 |
| #3 | FC Universitatea Cluj | 0.13 |
| #4 | Universitatea Craiova | 0.13 |
| #5 | FCSB | 0.13 |
| #6 | FC Dinamo București | 0.12 |
| #7 | FC Voluntari | 0.12 |
| #8 | FC Farul Constanța | 0.11 |
| #9 | FC Corvinul Hunedoara | 0.11 |
| #10 | UTA Arad | 0.11 |
| #11 | Sepsi OSK | 0.11 |
| #12 | SC Oțelul Galați | 0.11 |
| #13 | FC Rapid București | 0.10 |
| #14 | FC Petrolul Ploieşti | 0.10 |
| #15 | FC Argeș Pitești | 0.09 |
| #16 | FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 0.09 |
- League avg
- 0.12
- Total
- 13.95 npxG from 105 shots
Defence
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FC Dinamo București | 10.4 |
| #2 | Universitatea Craiova | 10.7 |
| #3 | UTA Arad | 11.0 |
| #4 | FC Argeș Pitești | 11.5 |
| #5 | FC Rapid București | 12.8 |
| #6 | FC Farul Constanța | 13.6 |
| #7 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 14.3 |
| #8 | FC Universitatea Cluj | 14.6 |
| #9 | FCSB | 14.6 |
| #10 | SC Oțelul Galați | 15.8 |
| #11 | FC Botoșani | 15.9 |
| #12 | FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 16.3 |
| #13 | FC Corvinul Hunedoara | 16.6 |
| #14 | Sepsi OSK | 16.9 |
| #15 | FC Petrolul Ploieşti | 18.4 |
| #16 | FC Voluntari | 18.8 |
- League avg
- 14.5
- Total
- 100 shots allowed from 7 matches
| Rank | Club | npxGA per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FC Rapid București | 0.09 |
| #2 | FC Corvinul Hunedoara | 0.09 |
| #3 | Sepsi OSK | 0.10 |
| #4 | Universitatea Craiova | 0.10 |
| #5 | FC Argeș Pitești | 0.11 |
| #6 | FC Dinamo București | 0.11 |
| #7 | SC Oțelul Galați | 0.11 |
| #8 | UTA Arad | 0.11 |
| #9 | FCSB | 0.12 |
| #10 | FC Universitatea Cluj | 0.12 |
| #11 | FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 0.12 |
| #12 | FC Farul Constanța | 0.12 |
| #13 | FC Petrolul Ploieşti | 0.13 |
| #14 | FC Botoșani | 0.13 |
| #15 | FC Voluntari | 0.14 |
| #16 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 0.14 |
- League avg
- 0.12
- Total
- 14.27 npxGA from 100 shots
Shot profile
61% inside the box
League avg 60%
From 64 of 105 shots over 7 matches
Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.
67% allowed inside the box
League avg 60%
From 67 of 100 shots allowed over 7 matches
Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.
CFR 1907 Cluj home and away xG
| Measure | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 3 with xG | 5 4 with xG |
| xG / match | 2.68 | 1.48 |
| xGA / match | 1.27 | 2.61 |
| xGD / match | +1.41 | -1.13 |
| xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → | 2.14 | 0.90 |
Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.
Every CFR 1907 Cluj match by xG
At home this season
- Matches
- 4 3 with xG
- xG / match
- 2.68
- xGA / match
- 1.27
- xGD / match
- +1.41
- Points
- 10 of 12
Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.62. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.
CFR 1907 Cluj in SuperLiga (Romania)
Attack
- xG / match #4 of 16
- Shots / match #7 of 16
- Chance quality #2 of 16
- Home xG #9 of 16
- Away xG #9 of 16
Defence
- xGA / match #13 of 16
- Shots allowed #7 of 16
- Chance quality allowed #16 of 16
About the data
- xG data
- Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
- Derived metrics
- xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
- Model metrics
- xPts is produced by our probability model.