xgEdge

Expected goals

FC Rapid București expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

SuperLiga (Romania) · after 8 matches · updated 1 Oct

FC Rapid București's attacking and defensive expected goals in SuperLiga (Romania) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

FC Rapid București xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.79 xG per match
#8/16
Attack (xG per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Universitatea Craiova 2.45
#2 FCSB 2.18
#3 FC Dinamo București 2.17
#4 CFR 1907 Cluj 1.99
#5 FC Botoșani 1.99
#6 FC Universitatea Cluj 1.98
#7 UTA Arad 1.87
#8 FC Rapid București 1.79
#9 FC Farul Constanța 1.63
#10 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 1.61
#11 FC Voluntari 1.53
#12 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1.34
#13 SC Oțelul Galați 1.33
#14 Sepsi OSK 1.19
#15 FC Argeș Pitești 1.18
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.74
League avg
1.69
Total
14.29 8 matches
Defence
1.12 xGA per match
#2/16
Defence (xGA per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Universitatea Craiova 1.11
#2 FC Rapid București 1.12
#3 FC Dinamo București 1.15
#4 FC Argeș Pitești 1.21
#5 UTA Arad 1.24
#6 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 1.49
#7 FC Farul Constanța 1.68
#8 FC Universitatea Cluj 1.70
#9 FCSB 1.70
#10 Sepsi OSK 1.73
#11 SC Oțelul Galați 1.78
#12 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 1.95
#13 CFR 1907 Cluj 2.04
#14 FC Botoșani 2.10
#15 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 2.38
#16 FC Voluntari 2.61
League avg
1.69
Total
8.97 8 matches
xG difference
+0.67 xGD per match
#3/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Universitatea Craiova +1.34
#2 FC Dinamo București +1.02
#3 FC Rapid București +0.67
#4 UTA Arad +0.63
#5 FCSB +0.48
#6 FC Universitatea Cluj +0.28
#7 FC Corvinul Hunedoara +0.11
#8 FC Argeș Pitești -0.03
#9 CFR 1907 Cluj -0.05
#10 FC Farul Constanța -0.05
#11 FC Botoșani -0.11
#12 SC Oțelul Galați -0.45
#13 Sepsi OSK -0.54
#14 FC Petrolul Ploieşti -1.04
#15 FC Voluntari -1.08
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc -1.22
League avg
0.00
Total
+5.32 8 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.78 xPts per match
#3/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 FC Dinamo București 2.04
#2 Universitatea Craiova 2.03
#3 FC Rapid București 1.78
#4 UTA Arad 1.78
#5 FCSB 1.59
#6 FC Universitatea Cluj 1.55
#7 FC Farul Constanța 1.45
#8 CFR 1907 Cluj 1.43
#9 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 1.39
#10 FC Argeș Pitești 1.37
#11 FC Botoșani 1.34
#12 Sepsi OSK 1.10
#13 SC Oțelul Galați 1.09
#14 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1.06
#15 FC Voluntari 0.81
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.55
League avg
1.40
Total
14.26 vs 21 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 8 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

Expected goals here are summed over 8 of 10 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

FC Rapid București's underlying numbers are among the best in SuperLiga (Romania). They rank #3 for xG difference at +0.67 per match, built on high shot volume rather than low chance quality. Their 8 goals are 6.29 below 14.29 xG, while 15 points are 0.74 above 14.26 xPts — both over the 8 matches with xG. After only 8 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
8 14.29 -6.29 scored 6.29 fewer than xG outside normal variance
4 8.97 -4.97 conceded 4.97 fewer than xGA outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

FC Rapid București are 6.29 goals below their xG after 8 matches. The gap was widest at -6.36, against SC Oțelul Galați on Sun 06/09.

Goals
8
xG
14.29
Gap
-6.29
Mon 20/07 Mon 27/07 Fri 07/08 Sat 15/08 Fri 21/08 Mon 31/08 Sun 06/09 Sat 12/09 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -1.25 -1.70 -2.75 -4.47 -3.78 -4.17 -6.36 -6.29 -1.25 -0.45 -1.05 -1.72 +0.69 -0.39 -2.19 +0.07 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
FC Rapid București: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Mon 20/07 Sepsi OSK 1 2.25 -1.25 -1.25
Mon 27/07 FC Botoșani 1 1.45 -0.45 -1.70
Fri 07/08 UTA Arad 0 1.05 -1.05 -2.75
Sat 15/08 FC Dinamo București 0 1.72 -1.72 -4.47
Fri 21/08 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 2 1.31 +0.69 -3.78
Mon 31/08 Universitatea Craiova 1 1.39 -0.39 -4.17
Sun 06/09 SC Oțelul Galați 1 3.19 -2.19 -6.36
Sat 12/09 FC Voluntari 2 1.93 +0.07 -6.29

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

FC Rapid București xG trend

Current form +0.59 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 6 of 8 matches. The worst was against Universitatea Craiova on Mon 31/08 (-0.56).

npxG · last 6
1.77
npxGA · last 6
1.17
-1 0 +1 +2 +3 +2.11 Mon 20/07 -0.34 Mon 27/07 +0.21 Fri 07/08 +0.30 Sat 15/08 +0.05 Fri 21/08 -0.56 Mon 31/08 +2.71 Sun 06/09 +0.84 Sat 12/09 +0.67 season avg
FC Rapid București: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Mon 20/07 Sepsi OSK 2.25 0.14 +2.11 +2.11
Mon 27/07 FC Botoșani 1.45 1.79 -0.34 +0.89
Fri 07/08 UTA Arad 1.05 0.84 +0.21 +0.66
Sat 15/08 FC Dinamo București 1.72 1.42 +0.30 +0.57
Fri 21/08 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1.31 1.26 +0.05 +0.47
Mon 31/08 Universitatea Craiova 1.39 1.95 -0.56 +0.30
Sun 06/09 SC Oțelul Galați 3.19 0.48 +2.71 +0.64
Sat 12/09 FC Voluntari 1.93 1.09 +0.84 +0.67

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.79 npxG and 1.12 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 9 hardest of 16 in SuperLiga (Romania)
−0.02 xG vs league average
Over 10 league matches
Last 5
number 12 hardest of 16 in SuperLiga (Romania)
−0.11 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.02 xG vs league average · over 10 matches · tied number 9 hardest of 16

  1. FC Argeș Pitești Home −0.15
  2. FC Voluntari Home −0.52
  3. SC Oțelul Galați Away −0.20
  4. Universitatea Craiova Home +0.77
  5. FC Petrolul Ploieşti Away −0.46
  6. FC Dinamo București Home +0.64
  7. UTA Arad Away +0.18
  8. CFR 1907 Cluj Home +0.13
  9. FC Botoșani Away −0.20
  10. Sepsi OSK Home −0.35

Last 5

−0.11 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 12 hardest of 16

  1. FC Argeș Pitești Home −0.15
  2. FC Voluntari Home −0.52
  3. SC Oțelul Galați Away −0.20
  4. Universitatea Craiova Home +0.77
  5. FC Petrolul Ploieşti Away −0.46

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

FC Rapid București shots and chance quality

High volume, low quality. FC Rapid București take 17.1 shots a match (league 14.5) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #5 in SuperLiga (Romania) for volume and #13 for quality. 63% of their shots come from inside the box (league 60%).

Attack

Shot volume
17.1 shots per match
#5/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Universitatea Craiova 19.2
#2 FC Dinamo București 17.7
#3 UTA Arad 17.4
#4 FCSB 17.2
#5 FC Rapid București 17.1
#6 FC Universitatea Cluj 15.2
#7 CFR 1907 Cluj 15.0
#8 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 14.8
#9 FC Farul Constanța 14.6
#10 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 13.2
#11 FC Argeș Pitești 13.1
#12 FC Botoșani 13.1
#13 FC Voluntari 12.9
#14 SC Oțelul Galați 12.7
#15 Sepsi OSK 11.3
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 8.3
League avg
14.5
Total
137 shots from 8 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#13/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 FC Botoșani 0.15
#2 CFR 1907 Cluj 0.13
#3 FC Universitatea Cluj 0.13
#4 Universitatea Craiova 0.13
#5 FCSB 0.13
#6 FC Dinamo București 0.12
#7 FC Voluntari 0.12
#8 FC Farul Constanța 0.11
#9 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 0.11
#10 UTA Arad 0.11
#11 Sepsi OSK 0.11
#12 SC Oțelul Galați 0.11
#13 FC Rapid București 0.10
#14 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 0.10
#15 FC Argeș Pitești 0.09
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
14.29 npxG from 137 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
12.8 shots per match
#5/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FC Dinamo București 10.4
#2 Universitatea Craiova 10.7
#3 UTA Arad 11.0
#4 FC Argeș Pitești 11.5
#5 FC Rapid București 12.8
#6 FC Farul Constanța 13.6
#7 CFR 1907 Cluj 14.3
#8 FC Universitatea Cluj 14.6
#9 FCSB 14.6
#10 SC Oțelul Galați 15.8
#11 FC Botoșani 15.9
#12 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 16.3
#13 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 16.6
#14 Sepsi OSK 16.9
#15 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 18.4
#16 FC Voluntari 18.8
League avg
14.5
Total
102 shots allowed from 8 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.09 npxGA per shot
#1/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC Rapid București 0.09
#2 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 0.09
#3 Sepsi OSK 0.10
#4 Universitatea Craiova 0.10
#5 FC Argeș Pitești 0.11
#6 FC Dinamo București 0.11
#7 SC Oțelul Galați 0.11
#8 UTA Arad 0.11
#9 FCSB 0.12
#10 FC Universitatea Cluj 0.12
#11 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.12
#12 FC Farul Constanța 0.12
#13 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 0.13
#14 FC Botoșani 0.13
#15 FC Voluntari 0.14
#16 CFR 1907 Cluj 0.14
League avg
0.12
Total
8.97 npxGA from 102 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

63% inside the box

League avg 60%

From 86 of 137 shots over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

52% allowed inside the box

League avg 60%

From 53 of 102 shots allowed over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

FC Rapid București home and away xG

FC Rapid București per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 6 4 with xG 4
xG / match 1.82 1.75
xGA / match 1.15 1.09
xGD / match +0.67 +0.66
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.84 1.72

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every FC Rapid București match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.19. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

FC Rapid București in SuperLiga (Romania)

Attack

Defence

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →