xgEdge

Expected goals

FCSB expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

SuperLiga (Romania) · after 10 matches · updated 4 Oct

FCSB's attacking and defensive expected goals in SuperLiga (Romania) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

FCSB xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
2.18 xG per match
#2/16
Attack (xG per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Universitatea Craiova 2.45
#2 FCSB 2.18
#3 FC Dinamo București 2.17
#4 CFR 1907 Cluj 1.99
#5 FC Botoșani 1.99
#6 FC Universitatea Cluj 1.98
#7 UTA Arad 1.87
#8 FC Rapid București 1.79
#9 FC Farul Constanța 1.63
#10 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 1.61
#11 FC Voluntari 1.53
#12 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1.34
#13 SC Oțelul Galați 1.33
#14 Sepsi OSK 1.19
#15 FC Argeș Pitești 1.18
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.74
League avg
1.69
Total
21.83 10 matches
Defence
1.70 xGA per match
#9/16
Defence (xGA per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Universitatea Craiova 1.11
#2 FC Rapid București 1.12
#3 FC Dinamo București 1.15
#4 FC Argeș Pitești 1.21
#5 UTA Arad 1.24
#6 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 1.49
#7 FC Farul Constanța 1.68
#8 FC Universitatea Cluj 1.70
#9 FCSB 1.70
#10 Sepsi OSK 1.73
#11 SC Oțelul Galați 1.78
#12 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 1.95
#13 CFR 1907 Cluj 2.04
#14 FC Botoșani 2.10
#15 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 2.38
#16 FC Voluntari 2.61
League avg
1.69
Total
17.04 10 matches
xG difference
+0.48 xGD per match
#5/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Universitatea Craiova +1.34
#2 FC Dinamo București +1.02
#3 FC Rapid București +0.67
#4 UTA Arad +0.63
#5 FCSB +0.48
#6 FC Universitatea Cluj +0.28
#7 FC Corvinul Hunedoara +0.11
#8 FC Argeș Pitești -0.03
#9 CFR 1907 Cluj -0.05
#10 FC Farul Constanța -0.05
#11 FC Botoșani -0.11
#12 SC Oțelul Galați -0.45
#13 Sepsi OSK -0.54
#14 FC Petrolul Ploieşti -1.04
#15 FC Voluntari -1.08
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc -1.22
League avg
0.00
Total
+4.79 10 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.59 xPts per match
#5/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 FC Dinamo București 2.04
#2 Universitatea Craiova 2.03
#3 FC Rapid București 1.78
#4 UTA Arad 1.78
#5 FCSB 1.59
#6 FC Universitatea Cluj 1.55
#7 FC Farul Constanța 1.45
#8 CFR 1907 Cluj 1.43
#9 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 1.39
#10 FC Argeș Pitești 1.37
#11 FC Botoșani 1.34
#12 Sepsi OSK 1.10
#13 SC Oțelul Galați 1.09
#14 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1.06
#15 FC Voluntari 0.81
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.55
League avg
1.40
Total
15.85 vs 12 actual pts

What the xG says

FCSB's underlying numbers are among the best in SuperLiga (Romania). They rank #5 for xG difference at +0.48 per match, driven by high shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 13 goals are 8.83 below 21.83 xG, while 12 points are 3.85 below 15.85 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
13 21.83 -8.83 scored 8.83 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
17 17.04 -0.04 conceded 0.04 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
12 15.85 -3.85 3.85 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

FCSB are 8.83 goals below their xG after 10 matches.

Goals
13
xG
21.83
Gap
-8.83
Fri 17/07 Sun 26/07 Mon 03/08 Mon 10/08 Mon 17/08 Sun 23/08 Sun 30/08 Sat 05/09 Mon 14/09 Sat 19/09 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 +1 +0.10 +0.34 -1.95 -2.67 -2.04 -3.78 -4.23 -3.91 -8.22 -8.83 +0.10 +0.24 -2.29 -0.72 +0.63 -1.74 -0.45 +0.32 -4.31 -0.61 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
FCSB: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 17/07 FC Argeș Pitești 2 1.90 +0.10 +0.10
Sun 26/07 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 2 1.76 +0.24 +0.34
Mon 03/08 FC Farul Constanța 2 4.29 -2.29 -1.95
Mon 10/08 Sepsi OSK 0 0.72 -0.72 -2.67
Mon 17/08 FC Botoșani 3 2.37 +0.63 -2.04
Sun 23/08 CFR 1907 Cluj 0 1.74 -1.74 -3.78
Sun 30/08 UTA Arad 1 1.45 -0.45 -4.23
Sat 05/09 FC Dinamo București 1 0.68 +0.32 -3.91
Mon 14/09 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 2 6.31 -4.31 -8.22
Sat 19/09 Universitatea Craiova 0 0.61 -0.61 -8.83

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

FCSB xG trend

Current form +0.25 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 7 of 10 matches. The worst was against FC Dinamo București on Sat 05/09 (-2.58).

npxG · last 6
2.19
npxGA · last 6
1.94
-3 -1 +1 +3 +5 +0.04 Fri 17/07 +1.50 Sun 26/07 +2.32 Mon 03/08 -0.59 Mon 10/08 +0.99 Mon 17/08 +0.20 Sun 23/08 +0.37 Sun 30/08 -2.58 Sat 05/09 +5.07 Mon 14/09 -2.53 Sat 19/09 +0.48 season avg
FCSB: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 17/07 FC Argeș Pitești 1.90 1.86 +0.04 +0.04
Sun 26/07 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 1.76 0.26 +1.50 +0.77
Mon 03/08 FC Farul Constanța 4.29 1.97 +2.32 +1.29
Mon 10/08 Sepsi OSK 0.72 1.31 -0.59 +0.82
Mon 17/08 FC Botoșani 2.37 1.38 +0.99 +0.85
Sun 23/08 CFR 1907 Cluj 1.74 1.54 +0.20 +0.74
Sun 30/08 UTA Arad 1.45 1.08 +0.37 +0.69
Sat 05/09 FC Dinamo București 0.68 3.26 -2.58 +0.28
Mon 14/09 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 6.31 1.24 +5.07 +0.81
Sat 19/09 Universitatea Craiova 0.61 3.14 -2.53 +0.48

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 2.18 npxG and 1.70 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 9 hardest of 16 in SuperLiga (Romania)
−0.02 xG vs league average
Over 10 league matches
Last 5
number 1 hardest of 16 in SuperLiga (Romania)
+0.25 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.02 xG vs league average · over 10 matches · tied number 9 hardest of 16

  1. Universitatea Craiova Away +0.77
  2. FC Petrolul Ploieşti Home −0.46
  3. FC Dinamo București Away +0.64
  4. UTA Arad Home +0.18
  5. CFR 1907 Cluj Away +0.13
  6. FC Botoșani Home −0.20
  7. Sepsi OSK Away −0.35
  8. FC Farul Constanța Home −0.05
  9. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc Away −0.69
  10. FC Argeș Pitești Home −0.15

Last 5

+0.25 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 1 hardest of 16

  1. Universitatea Craiova Away +0.77
  2. FC Petrolul Ploieşti Home −0.46
  3. FC Dinamo București Away +0.64
  4. UTA Arad Home +0.18
  5. CFR 1907 Cluj Away +0.13

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

FCSB shots and chance quality

High volume, average quality. FCSB take 17.2 shots a match (league 14.5) at 0.13 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #4 in SuperLiga (Romania) for volume and #5 for quality. 65% of their shots come from inside the box (league 60%).

Attack

Shot volume
17.2 shots per match
#4/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Universitatea Craiova 19.2
#2 FC Dinamo București 17.7
#3 UTA Arad 17.4
#4 FCSB 17.2
#5 FC Rapid București 17.1
#6 FC Universitatea Cluj 15.2
#7 CFR 1907 Cluj 15.0
#8 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 14.8
#9 FC Farul Constanța 14.6
#10 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 13.2
#11 FC Argeș Pitești 13.1
#12 FC Botoșani 13.1
#13 FC Voluntari 12.9
#14 SC Oțelul Galați 12.7
#15 Sepsi OSK 11.3
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 8.3
League avg
14.5
Total
172 shots from 10 matches
Chance quality
0.13 npxG per shot
#5/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 FC Botoșani 0.15
#2 CFR 1907 Cluj 0.13
#3 FC Universitatea Cluj 0.13
#4 Universitatea Craiova 0.13
#5 FCSB 0.13
#6 FC Dinamo București 0.12
#7 FC Voluntari 0.12
#8 FC Farul Constanța 0.11
#9 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 0.11
#10 UTA Arad 0.11
#11 Sepsi OSK 0.11
#12 SC Oțelul Galați 0.11
#13 FC Rapid București 0.10
#14 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 0.10
#15 FC Argeș Pitești 0.09
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
21.83 npxG from 172 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
14.6 shots per match
#9/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FC Dinamo București 10.4
#2 Universitatea Craiova 10.7
#3 UTA Arad 11.0
#4 FC Argeș Pitești 11.5
#5 FC Rapid București 12.8
#6 FC Farul Constanța 13.6
#7 CFR 1907 Cluj 14.3
#8 FC Universitatea Cluj 14.6
#9 FCSB 14.6
#10 SC Oțelul Galați 15.8
#11 FC Botoșani 15.9
#12 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 16.3
#13 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 16.6
#14 Sepsi OSK 16.9
#15 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 18.4
#16 FC Voluntari 18.8
League avg
14.5
Total
146 shots allowed from 10 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.12 npxGA per shot
#9/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC Rapid București 0.09
#2 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 0.09
#3 Sepsi OSK 0.10
#4 Universitatea Craiova 0.10
#5 FC Argeș Pitești 0.11
#6 FC Dinamo București 0.11
#7 SC Oțelul Galați 0.11
#8 UTA Arad 0.11
#9 FCSB 0.12
#10 FC Universitatea Cluj 0.12
#11 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.12
#12 FC Farul Constanța 0.12
#13 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 0.13
#14 FC Botoșani 0.13
#15 FC Voluntari 0.14
#16 CFR 1907 Cluj 0.14
League avg
0.12
Total
17.04 npxGA from 146 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

65% inside the box

League avg 60%

From 112 of 172 shots over 10 matches

Shots allowed, location

57% allowed inside the box

League avg 60%

From 83 of 146 shots allowed over 10 matches

How the shot figures are made →

FCSB home and away xG

FCSB per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 5 5
xG / match 3.26 1.10
xGA / match 1.51 1.90
xGD / match +1.76 -0.80
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.13 1.04

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every FCSB match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Away this season

Matches
5
xG / match
1.10
xGA / match
1.90
xGD / match
-0.80
Points
4 of 15
  1. Sat 19/09 Universitatea Craiova A xG 0.61 xGA 3.14 xGD -2.53
  2. Sat 05/09 FC Dinamo București A Weakest underlying xG 0.68 xGA 3.26 xGD -2.58
  3. Sun 23/08 CFR 1907 Cluj A xG 1.74 xGA 1.54 xGD +0.20
  4. Mon 10/08 Sepsi OSK A xG 0.72 xGA 1.31 xGD -0.59
  5. Sun 26/07 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc A Best underlying xG 1.76 xGA 0.26 xGD +1.50

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.26. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

FCSB in SuperLiga (Romania)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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