xgEdge

Servette FC's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 4 of 4 matching results

9 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses

4 pts 3–5 goals −2 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
5.83 – 5.18
1.46 – 1.30 per match
xGD
+0.65
+0.16 per match
xG record
2 with the chances, 0 with even chances, 2 against them

Small sample: 4 matches.

Comparable xG: 4 of 4 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

4 pts 5.8 xPts

−1.8 vs xPts

Small sample: 4 matches.

Matched xPts: 4 of 4 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · All competitions · Home

Servette FC's mixed record matches the chances at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 2 of 4 matches, for +0.65 xG difference overall on 5.83–5.18. Their points total of 4 sits 1.8 below the model's 5.8 xPts, so the chances have clearly outrun the results.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 4 results Servette FC are 1.84 points below their xPts.

Points
4
xPts
5.84
Gap
-1.84
Sat 25/07 Sat 08/08 Sat 29/08 Sun 06/09 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.99 -0.21 -0.90 -1.84 -0.99 +0.78 -0.69 -0.94 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Servette FC: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sat 25/07 Basel 0 0.99 -0.99 -0.99
Sat 08/08 Grasshopper Club Zürich 3 2.22 +0.78 -0.21
Sat 29/08 FC Luzern 1 1.69 -0.69 -0.90
Sun 06/09 FC St. Gallen 1879 0 0.94 -0.94 -1.84

Scores and xG

Servette FC first

  • Home Swiss Super League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.90

    xGA 1.37

    xGD -0.47

    0:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC St. Gallen 1879, Sun 06/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.94
    Points minus xPts
    -0.94

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Swiss Super League Draw against the chances

    xG 1.64

    xGA 1.23

    xGD +0.41

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Luzern, Sat 29/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    1.69
    Points minus xPts
    -0.69

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Swiss Super League Win backed by the chances

    xG 2.15

    xGA 0.97

    xGD +1.18

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Grasshopper Club Zürich, Sat 08/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.22
    Points minus xPts
    +0.78

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Swiss Super League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.14

    xGA 1.61

    xGD -0.47

    0:1 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Basel, Sat 25/07

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.99
    Points minus xPts
    -0.99

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →