xgEdge

Expected goals

Dynamo Kyiv expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Ukrainian Premier League · after 6 matches · updated 4 Oct

Dynamo Kyiv's attacking and defensive expected goals in Ukrainian Premier League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Dynamo Kyiv xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.81 xG per match
#7/16
Attack (xG per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Metalist 1925 2.42
#2 Polissya Zhytomyr 2.19
#3 LNZ Cherkasy 2.10
#4 Karpaty Lviv 1.90
#5 Shakhtar Donetsk 1.88
#6 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 1.86
#7 Dynamo Kyiv 1.81
#8 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 1.74
#9 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 1.36
#10 Kolos Kovalivka 1.34
#11 Zoria Luhansk 1.15
#12 Veres Rivne 0.94
#13 Kudrivka 0.86
#14 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 0.71
#15 Obolon Kyiv 0.60
#16 Chornomorets Odesa 0.54
League avg
1.51
Total
10.85 6 matches
Defence
0.94 xGA per match
#4/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Polissya Zhytomyr 0.68
#2 Metalist 1925 0.79
#3 Shakhtar Donetsk 0.92
#4 Dynamo Kyiv 0.94
#5 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 1.09
#6 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 1.17
#7 LNZ Cherkasy 1.26
#8 Chornomorets Odesa 1.30
#9 Zoria Luhansk 1.37
#10 Karpaty Lviv 1.59
#11 Kolos Kovalivka 1.69
#12 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 2.01
#13 Veres Rivne 2.06
#14 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 2.32
#15 Kudrivka 2.50
#16 Obolon Kyiv 2.79
League avg
1.51
Total
5.63 6 matches
xG difference
+0.87 xGD per match
#4/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Metalist 1925 +1.63
#2 Polissya Zhytomyr +1.51
#3 Shakhtar Donetsk +0.96
#4 Dynamo Kyiv +0.87
#5 LNZ Cherkasy +0.84
#6 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi +0.57
#7 Karpaty Lviv +0.30
#8 Bukovyna Chernivtsi -0.14
#9 Zoria Luhansk -0.22
#10 Kolos Kovalivka -0.34
#11 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv -0.38
#12 Chornomorets Odesa -0.76
#13 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih -0.96
#14 Veres Rivne -1.13
#15 Kudrivka -1.65
#16 Obolon Kyiv -2.19
League avg
0.00
Total
+5.22 6 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
2.02 xPts per match
#3/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Polissya Zhytomyr 2.29
#2 Metalist 1925 2.23
#3 Dynamo Kyiv 2.02
#4 Shakhtar Donetsk 2.01
#5 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 1.72
#6 LNZ Cherkasy 1.64
#7 Karpaty Lviv 1.58
#8 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 1.38
#9 Zoria Luhansk 1.20
#10 Kolos Kovalivka 1.15
#11 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 1.01
#12 Veres Rivne 0.85
#13 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.83
#14 Chornomorets Odesa 0.74
#15 Kudrivka 0.54
#16 Obolon Kyiv 0.48
League avg
1.40
Total
12.13 vs 13 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 6 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Dynamo Kyiv's underlying numbers are among the best in Ukrainian Premier League. They rank #4 for xG difference at +0.87 per match, driven by elite shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 9 goals are 1.85 below 10.85 xG, while 13 points are 0.87 above 12.13 xPts. After only 6 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 0.55 xG from penalties
9 10.85 -1.85 scored 1.85 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
5 5.63 -0.63 conceded 0.63 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
13 12.13 +0.87 0.87 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Dynamo Kyiv are 1.85 goals below their xG after 6 matches. The gap was widest at -4.79, against LNZ Cherkasy on Sun 06/09.

Goals
9
xG
10.85
Gap
-1.85
Sun 09/08 Sun 16/08 Mon 31/08 Sun 06/09 Mon 14/09 Sat 19/09 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.77 -0.41 -3.03 -4.79 -2.84 -1.85 -0.77 +0.36 -2.62 -1.76 +1.95 +0.99 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Dynamo Kyiv: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 09/08 Veres Rivne 2 2.77 -0.77 -0.77
Sun 16/08 Kolos Kovalivka 2 1.64 +0.36 -0.41
Mon 31/08 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 0 2.62 -2.62 -3.03
Sun 06/09 LNZ Cherkasy 0 1.76 -1.76 -4.79
Mon 14/09 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 3 1.05 +1.95 -2.84
Sat 19/09 Zoria Luhansk 2 1.01 +0.99 -1.85

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Dynamo Kyiv xG trend

Current form +0.73 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 6 of 6 matches.

npxG · last 6
1.72
npxGA · last 6
0.98
-1 0 +1 +2 +0.14 Sun 09/08 +1.25 Sun 16/08 +1.46 Mon 31/08 +1.27 Sun 06/09 +0.01 Mon 14/09 +0.28 Sat 19/09 +0.74 season avg
Dynamo Kyiv: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 09/08 Veres Rivne 2.01 1.87 +0.14 +0.14
Sun 16/08 Kolos Kovalivka 1.59 0.34 +1.25 +0.69
Mon 31/08 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 2.88 1.42 +1.46 +0.95
Sun 06/09 LNZ Cherkasy 1.76 0.49 +1.27 +1.03
Mon 14/09 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 1.05 1.04 +0.01 +0.83
Sat 19/09 Zoria Luhansk 1.01 0.73 +0.28 +0.74

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.72 npxG and 0.98 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 13 hardest of 16 in Ukrainian Premier League
−0.08 xG vs league average
Over 6 league matches
Last 5
number 7 hardest of 16 in Ukrainian Premier League
−0.02 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.08 xG vs league average · over 6 matches · number 13 hardest of 16

  1. Zoria Luhansk Away −0.13
  2. FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi Home −0.22
  3. LNZ Cherkasy Home +0.39
  4. Bukovyna Chernivtsi Away +0.05
  5. Kolos Kovalivka Home −0.18
  6. Veres Rivne Away −0.37

Last 5

−0.02 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 7 hardest of 16

  1. Zoria Luhansk Away −0.13
  2. FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi Home −0.22
  3. LNZ Cherkasy Home +0.39
  4. Bukovyna Chernivtsi Away +0.05
  5. Kolos Kovalivka Home −0.18

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Dynamo Kyiv shots and chance quality

High volume, average quality. Dynamo Kyiv take 16.3 shots a match (league 13.5) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.11), #3 in Ukrainian Premier League for volume and #7 for quality. 55% of their shots come from inside the box (league 54%).

Attack

Shot volume
16.3 shots per match
#3/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Polissya Zhytomyr 20.3
#2 Metalist 1925 17.8
#3 Dynamo Kyiv 16.3
#4 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 16.0
#5 Shakhtar Donetsk 15.2
#6 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 14.3
#7 LNZ Cherkasy 13.8
#8 Kolos Kovalivka 13.6
#9 Karpaty Lviv 13.1
#10 Zoria Luhansk 13.0
#11 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 12.4
#12 Veres Rivne 11.2
#13 Chornomorets Odesa 10.3
#14 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 10.0
#15 Kudrivka 8.8
#16 Obolon Kyiv 8.3
League avg
13.5
Total
98 shots from 6 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#7/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Karpaty Lviv 0.14
#2 Metalist 1925 0.14
#3 LNZ Cherkasy 0.13
#4 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 0.12
#5 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 0.12
#6 Shakhtar Donetsk 0.12
#7 Dynamo Kyiv 0.11
#8 Kudrivka 0.10
#9 Kolos Kovalivka 0.10
#10 Polissya Zhytomyr 0.10
#11 Zoria Luhansk 0.09
#12 Veres Rivne 0.09
#13 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.08
#14 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 0.07
#15 Obolon Kyiv 0.07
#16 Chornomorets Odesa 0.05
League avg
0.11
Total
10.30 npxG from 98 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
9.7 shots per match
#4/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Shakhtar Donetsk 7.0
#2 Metalist 1925 7.3
#3 Polissya Zhytomyr 7.7
#4 Dynamo Kyiv 9.7
#5 LNZ Cherkasy 11.2
#6 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 12.1
#7 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 14.6
#8 Karpaty Lviv 14.9
#9 Zoria Luhansk 15.0
#10 Veres Rivne 15.6
#11 Obolon Kyiv 16.5
#12 Kolos Kovalivka 16.6
#13 Chornomorets Odesa 16.8
#14 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 17.3
#15 Kudrivka 18.2
#16 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 18.3
League avg
13.5
Total
58 shots allowed from 6 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#8/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 0.07
#2 Chornomorets Odesa 0.08
#3 Karpaty Lviv 0.09
#4 Zoria Luhansk 0.09
#5 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 0.10
#6 Polissya Zhytomyr 0.10
#7 LNZ Cherkasy 0.10
#8 Dynamo Kyiv 0.10
#9 Kolos Kovalivka 0.10
#10 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.11
#11 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 0.12
#12 Veres Rivne 0.12
#13 Metalist 1925 0.13
#14 Kudrivka 0.13
#15 Shakhtar Donetsk 0.13
#16 Obolon Kyiv 0.13
League avg
0.11
Total
5.89 npxGA from 58 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

55% inside the box

League avg 54%

From 54 of 98 shots over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

55% allowed inside the box

League avg 54%

From 32 of 58 shots allowed over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Dynamo Kyiv home and away xG

Dynamo Kyiv per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 3 3
xG / match 1.48 2.13
xGA / match 0.63 1.24
xGD / match +0.85 +0.89
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.06 1.98

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Dynamo Kyiv match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Away this season

Matches
3
xG / match
2.13
xGA / match
1.24
xGD / match
+0.89
Points
6 of 9
  1. Sat 19/09 Zoria Luhansk A xG 1.01 xGA 0.68 xGD +0.33
  2. Mon 31/08 Bukovyna Chernivtsi A Against the chances xG 2.62 xGA 1.42 xGD +1.20
  3. Sun 09/08 Veres Rivne A xG 2.77 P xGA 1.63 xGD +1.14

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Dynamo Kyiv in Ukrainian Premier League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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