Saturday, 12/09/2026 at 14:20
Kicked offFC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih – Metalist 1925
Model updated 11 September, 10:58 Odds not yet available
What the model expects
- FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
- 19%
- Draw
- 27%
- Metalist 1925
- 55%
| FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | Draw | Metalist 1925 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fair odds | 5.34 | 3.75 | 1.83 |
- Total goals
- 2.87
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56%
- Both teams to score
- 60%
Both teams have the full 20-match model window available.
Model vs market
Market odds are not available for this match yet.
Why the model leans Metalist 1925
55% Metalist 1925 to win
- Attack
- 5th vs 14th
- Metalist 1925 attack v FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih defence
- Defence
- 1st vs 7th
- Metalist 1925 defence v FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih attack
- Recent xG form
- +0.90 vs -0.41
- xGD per match, last 6
- Projected goals
- 1.05 – 1.82
- FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih v Metalist 1925
Team comparison
Season to date, per match, with each club's placing in the competition. The last row is the last 6 matches.
| Reading | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | Metalist 1925 |
|---|---|---|
| xG / match | 1.36 · 9th from 4 matches | (better) 2.42 · 1st from 4 matches |
| xGA / match | 2.32 · 14th from 4 matches | (better) 0.79 · 2nd from 4 matches |
| xGD / match | -0.96 · 13th from 4 matches | (better) +1.63 · 1st from 4 matches |
| xPts / match | 0.83 · 13th from 4 matches | (better) 2.23 · 2nd from 4 matches |
| Last 6 xGD / match | -0.41 | (better) +0.90 |
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How value is calculated
Value is probability × odds − 1 — it pays on average and over the long run, not necessarily in this match. The model knows nothing of absences, motivation or the schedule.
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Model details
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- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih sample
- 20 matches
- Metalist 1925 sample
- 20 matches
- Home xG sample · FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
- 2 matches
- Away xG sample · Metalist 1925
- 1 match
- Computed
- Friday, 11/09/2026 at 10:58
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.