Expected goals
Kudrivka expected goals (xG) 2026/2027
Ukrainian Premier League · after 6 matches · updated 1 Oct
Kudrivka's attacking and defensive expected goals in Ukrainian Premier League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.
Kudrivka xG and xGA per match
Every match ↓| Rank | Club | xG per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Metalist 1925 | 2.42 |
| #2 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 2.19 |
| #3 | LNZ Cherkasy | 2.10 |
| #4 | Karpaty Lviv | 1.90 |
| #5 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1.88 |
| #6 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 1.86 |
| #7 | Dynamo Kyiv | 1.81 |
| #8 | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | 1.74 |
| #9 | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 1.36 |
| #10 | Kolos Kovalivka | 1.34 |
| #11 | Zoria Luhansk | 1.15 |
| #12 | Veres Rivne | 0.94 |
| #13 | Kudrivka | 0.86 |
| #14 | FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv | 0.71 |
| #15 | Obolon Kyiv | 0.60 |
| #16 | Chornomorets Odesa | 0.54 |
- League avg
- 1.51
- Total
- 5.13 6 matches
| Rank | Club | xGA per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 0.68 |
| #2 | Metalist 1925 | 0.79 |
| #3 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0.92 |
| #4 | Dynamo Kyiv | 0.94 |
| #5 | FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv | 1.09 |
| #6 | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | 1.17 |
| #7 | LNZ Cherkasy | 1.26 |
| #8 | Chornomorets Odesa | 1.30 |
| #9 | Zoria Luhansk | 1.37 |
| #10 | Karpaty Lviv | 1.59 |
| #11 | Kolos Kovalivka | 1.69 |
| #12 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 2.01 |
| #13 | Veres Rivne | 2.06 |
| #14 | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 2.32 |
| #15 | Kudrivka | 2.50 |
| #16 | Obolon Kyiv | 2.79 |
- League avg
- 1.51
- Total
- 15.02 6 matches
| Rank | Club | xGD per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Metalist 1925 | +1.63 |
| #2 | Polissya Zhytomyr | +1.51 |
| #3 | Shakhtar Donetsk | +0.96 |
| #4 | Dynamo Kyiv | +0.87 |
| #5 | LNZ Cherkasy | +0.84 |
| #6 | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | +0.57 |
| #7 | Karpaty Lviv | +0.30 |
| #8 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | -0.14 |
| #9 | Zoria Luhansk | -0.22 |
| #10 | Kolos Kovalivka | -0.34 |
| #11 | FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv | -0.38 |
| #12 | Chornomorets Odesa | -0.76 |
| #13 | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | -0.96 |
| #14 | Veres Rivne | -1.13 |
| #15 | Kudrivka | -1.65 |
| #16 | Obolon Kyiv | -2.19 |
- League avg
- 0.00
- Total
- -9.89 6 matches
| Rank | Club | xPts per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 2.29 |
| #2 | Metalist 1925 | 2.23 |
| #3 | Dynamo Kyiv | 2.02 |
| #4 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2.01 |
| #5 | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | 1.72 |
| #6 | LNZ Cherkasy | 1.64 |
| #7 | Karpaty Lviv | 1.58 |
| #8 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 1.38 |
| #9 | Zoria Luhansk | 1.20 |
| #10 | Kolos Kovalivka | 1.15 |
| #11 | FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv | 1.01 |
| #12 | Veres Rivne | 0.85 |
| #13 | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 0.83 |
| #14 | Chornomorets Odesa | 0.74 |
| #15 | Kudrivka | 0.54 |
| #16 | Obolon Kyiv | 0.48 |
- League avg
- 1.40
- Total
- 3.23 vs 2 actual pts
Early-season figures: after 6 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.
What the xG says
Kudrivka's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Ukrainian Premier League. They rank #15 for xG difference at -1.65 per match, from low shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 4 goals are 1.13 below 5.13 xG, while 2 points are 1.23 below 3.23 xPts. After only 6 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.
Actual vs expected
Select a row to chart it across the season.
Goals minus xG, match by match
Kudrivka are 1.13 goals below their xG after 6 matches. The gap was widest at -2.02, against Polissya Zhytomyr on Fri 04/09.
- Goals
- 4
- xG
- 5.13
- Gap
- -1.13
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Goals | xG | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 03/08 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 0.29 | +0.71 | +0.71 |
| Sat 08/08 | FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv | 0 | 0.67 | -0.67 | +0.04 |
| Sat 15/08 | Obolon Kyiv | 0 | 1.03 | -1.03 | -0.99 |
| Sat 29/08 | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | 0 | 0.97 | -0.97 | -1.96 |
| Fri 04/09 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 1 | 1.06 | -0.06 | -2.02 |
| Sun 20/09 | Kolos Kovalivka | 2 | 1.11 | +0.89 | -1.13 |
Kudrivka xG trend
Current form -1.47 npxGD per match
The last 6 matches with xG.
Out-created the opponent in 0 of 6 matches. The worst was against Polissya Zhytomyr on Fri 04/09 (-3.13).
- npxG · last 6
- 0.90
- npxGA · last 6
- 2.37
- npxG
- npxGA
- npxGD
- Avg so far
| Date | Opponent | npxG | npxGA | npxGD | Avg so far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 03/08 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0.29 | 2.80 | -2.51 | -2.51 |
| Sat 08/08 | FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv | 0.67 | 1.16 | -0.49 | -1.50 |
| Sat 15/08 | Obolon Kyiv | 1.05 | 1.43 | -0.38 | -1.13 |
| Sat 29/08 | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | 0.97 | 2.41 | -1.44 | -1.21 |
| Fri 04/09 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 1.32 | 4.45 | -3.13 | -1.59 |
| Sun 20/09 | Kolos Kovalivka | 1.12 | 1.96 | -0.84 | -1.47 |
Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.90 npxG and 2.37 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.
Strength of schedule
- Season so far
- tied number 7 hardest of 16 in Ukrainian Premier League
- +0.02 xG vs league average
- Over 6 league matches
- Last 5
- number 12 hardest of 16 in Ukrainian Premier League
- −0.11 xG vs league average
- Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures
Season so far
+0.02 xG vs league average · over 6 matches · tied number 7 hardest of 16
- Kolos Kovalivka Home −0.18
- Polissya Zhytomyr Away +0.64
- FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi Home −0.22
- Obolon Kyiv Home −0.45
- FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv Away −0.35
- Shakhtar Donetsk Away +0.66
Last 5
−0.11 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 12 hardest of 16
- Kolos Kovalivka Home −0.18
- Polissya Zhytomyr Away +0.64
- FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi Home −0.22
- Obolon Kyiv Home −0.45
- FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv Away −0.35
Kudrivka shots and chance quality
Low volume, average quality. Kudrivka take 8.8 shots a match (league 13.5) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.11), #15 in Ukrainian Premier League for volume and #8 for quality. 40% of their shots come from inside the box (league 54%).
Attack
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 20.3 |
| #2 | Metalist 1925 | 17.8 |
| #3 | Dynamo Kyiv | 16.3 |
| #4 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 16.0 |
| #5 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 15.2 |
| #6 | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 14.3 |
| #7 | LNZ Cherkasy | 13.8 |
| #8 | Kolos Kovalivka | 13.6 |
| #9 | Karpaty Lviv | 13.1 |
| #10 | Zoria Luhansk | 13.0 |
| #11 | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | 12.4 |
| #12 | Veres Rivne | 11.2 |
| #13 | Chornomorets Odesa | 10.3 |
| #14 | FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv | 10.0 |
| #15 | Kudrivka | 8.8 |
| #16 | Obolon Kyiv | 8.3 |
- League avg
- 13.5
- Total
- 53 shots from 6 matches
| Rank | Club | npxG per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Karpaty Lviv | 0.14 |
| #2 | Metalist 1925 | 0.14 |
| #3 | LNZ Cherkasy | 0.13 |
| #4 | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | 0.12 |
| #5 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 0.12 |
| #6 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0.12 |
| #7 | Dynamo Kyiv | 0.11 |
| #8 | Kudrivka | 0.10 |
| #9 | Kolos Kovalivka | 0.10 |
| #10 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 0.10 |
| #11 | Zoria Luhansk | 0.09 |
| #12 | Veres Rivne | 0.09 |
| #13 | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 0.08 |
| #14 | FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv | 0.07 |
| #15 | Obolon Kyiv | 0.07 |
| #16 | Chornomorets Odesa | 0.05 |
- League avg
- 0.11
- Total
- 5.42 npxG from 53 shots
Defence
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 7.0 |
| #2 | Metalist 1925 | 7.3 |
| #3 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 7.7 |
| #4 | Dynamo Kyiv | 9.7 |
| #5 | LNZ Cherkasy | 11.2 |
| #6 | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | 12.1 |
| #7 | FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv | 14.6 |
| #8 | Karpaty Lviv | 14.9 |
| #9 | Zoria Luhansk | 15.0 |
| #10 | Veres Rivne | 15.6 |
| #11 | Obolon Kyiv | 16.5 |
| #12 | Kolos Kovalivka | 16.6 |
| #13 | Chornomorets Odesa | 16.8 |
| #14 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 17.3 |
| #15 | Kudrivka | 18.2 |
| #16 | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 18.3 |
- League avg
- 13.5
- Total
- 109 shots allowed from 6 matches
| Rank | Club | npxGA per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv | 0.07 |
| #2 | Chornomorets Odesa | 0.08 |
| #3 | Karpaty Lviv | 0.09 |
| #4 | Zoria Luhansk | 0.09 |
| #5 | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | 0.10 |
| #6 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 0.10 |
| #7 | LNZ Cherkasy | 0.10 |
| #8 | Dynamo Kyiv | 0.10 |
| #9 | Kolos Kovalivka | 0.10 |
| #10 | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 0.11 |
| #11 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 0.12 |
| #12 | Veres Rivne | 0.12 |
| #13 | Metalist 1925 | 0.13 |
| #14 | Kudrivka | 0.13 |
| #15 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0.13 |
| #16 | Obolon Kyiv | 0.13 |
- League avg
- 0.11
- Total
- 14.21 npxGA from 109 shots
Shot profile
40% inside the box
League avg 54%
From 21 of 53 shots over 6 matches
Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.
61% allowed inside the box
League avg 54%
From 67 of 109 shots allowed over 6 matches
Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.
Kudrivka home and away xG
| Measure | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| xG / match | 1.04 | 0.67 |
| xGA / match | 1.95 | 3.06 |
| xGD / match | -0.91 | -2.38 |
| xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → | 0.73 | 0.34 |
Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.
Every Kudrivka match by xG
This season
- Matches
- 6
- xG / match
- 0.86
- xGA / match
- 2.50
- xGD / match
- -1.65
- Points
- 2 of 18
- Sun 20/09 Kolos Kovalivka H xG 1.11 xGA 1.96 xGD -0.85 xPts 0.75
- Fri 04/09 Polissya Zhytomyr A Weakest underlying xG 1.06 xGA 5.21 P xGD -4.15 xPts 0.05
- Sat 29/08 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi H xG 0.97 xGA 2.41 xGD -1.44 xPts 0.45
- Sat 15/08 Obolon Kyiv H Best underlying xG 1.03 xGA 1.48 xGD -0.45 xPts 0.99
- Sat 08/08 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv A xG 0.67 xGA 1.16 xGD -0.49 xPts 0.89
- Mon 03/08 Shakhtar Donetsk A xG 0.29 xGA 2.80 xGD -2.51 xPts 0.10
Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 5.21. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.
Kudrivka in Ukrainian Premier League
Attack
- xG / match #13 of 16
- Shots / match #15 of 16
- Chance quality #8 of 16
- Home xG #11 of 16
- Away xG #13 of 16
Defence
- xGA / match #15 of 16
- Shots allowed #15 of 16
- Chance quality allowed #14 of 16
About the data
- xG data
- Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
- Derived metrics
- xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
- Model metrics
- xPts is produced by our probability model.