xgEdge

SC Austria Lustenau's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 4 of 4 matching results

7 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss

7 pts 5–6 goals −1 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
5.65 – 7.92
1.41 – 1.98 per match
xGD
-2.27
-0.57 per match
xG record
1 with the chances, 0 with even chances, 3 against them

Small sample: 4 matches.

Comparable xG: 4 of 4 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

7 pts 4.1 xPts

+2.9 vs xPts

Small sample: 4 matches.

Matched xPts: 4 of 4 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · All competitions · Home

SC Austria Lustenau's mixed record runs ahead of the chances they created and conceded. They out-created the opponent in 1 of 4 matches, for −2.27 xG difference overall on 5.65–7.92. Their points total of 7 sits 2.9 above the model's 4.1 xPts, so the results have clearly outrun the chances.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 4 results SC Austria Lustenau are 2.87 points above their xPts.

Points
7
xPts
4.13
Gap
+2.87
Sun 02/08 Sat 15/08 Fri 28/08 Sat 19/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +0.78 +1.33 +0.95 +2.87 +0.78 +0.55 -0.38 +1.92 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
SC Austria Lustenau: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sun 02/08 SV Ried 1 0.22 +0.78 +0.78
Sat 15/08 Wolfsberger AC 3 2.45 +0.55 +1.33
Fri 28/08 WSG Tirol 0 0.38 -0.38 +0.95
Sat 19/09 SC Rheindorf Altach 3 1.08 +1.92 +2.87

Scores and xG

SC Austria Lustenau first

  • Home Austrian Bundesliga Win against the chances

    xG 0.81

    xGA 1.07

    xGD -0.26

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SC Rheindorf Altach, Sat 19/09

    The team won despite recording less xG than its opponent. That contrast does not make the win impossible or establish why it happened.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.08
    Points minus xPts
    +1.92

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Austrian Bundesliga Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.93

    xGA 2.60

    xGD -1.67

    0:4 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · WSG Tirol, Fri 28/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.38
    Points minus xPts
    -0.38

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Austrian Bundesliga Win backed by the chances

    xG 3.13

    xGA 1.33

    xGD +1.80

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Wolfsberger AC, Sat 15/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.45
    Points minus xPts
    +0.55

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Austrian Bundesliga Draw against the chances

    xG 0.78

    xGA 2.92

    xGD -2.14

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SV Ried, Sun 02/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded less xG. The outcome was stronger than that chance difference suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    0.22
    Points minus xPts
    +0.78

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →