xgEdge

SC Austria Lustenau's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 3 of 3 matching results

7 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses

1 pts 3–5 goals −2 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
3.00 – 5.29
1.00 – 1.76 per match
xGD
-2.29
-0.76 per match
xG record
0 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 2 against them

Small sample: 3 matches.

Comparable xG: 3 of 3 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

1 pts 2.4 xPts

−1.4 vs xPts

Small sample: 3 matches.

Matched xPts: 3 of 3 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · All competitions · Away

SC Austria Lustenau's winless run follows chances that have gone against them at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 0 of 3 matches, for −2.29 xG difference overall on 3.00–5.29. Their points total of 1 sits 1.4 below the model's 2.4 xPts, so the chances have clearly outrun the results.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 3 results SC Austria Lustenau are 1.40 points below their xPts.

Points
1
xPts
2.40
Gap
-1.40
Sat 08/08 Sat 22/08 Sun 13/09 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.50 -0.07 -1.40 -0.50 +0.43 -1.33 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
SC Austria Lustenau: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sat 08/08 Grazer AK 1902 0 0.50 -0.50 -0.50
Sat 22/08 SK Sturm Graz 1 0.57 +0.43 -0.07
Sun 13/09 Austria Wien 0 1.33 -1.33 -1.40

Scores and xG

SC Austria Lustenau first

  • Away Austrian Bundesliga Loss with even chances

    xG 1.48

    xGA 1.52

    xGD -0.04

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Austria Wien, Sun 13/09

    The team lost, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was weaker than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.33
    Points minus xPts
    -1.33

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Austrian Bundesliga Draw against the chances

    xG 0.96

    xGA 2.12

    xGD -1.16

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SK Sturm Graz, Sat 22/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded less xG. The outcome was stronger than that chance difference suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    0.56
    Points minus xPts
    +0.44

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Austrian Bundesliga Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.56

    xGA 1.65

    xGD -1.09

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Grazer AK 1902, Sat 08/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.50
    Points minus xPts
    -0.50

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →