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Expected goals

Wolfsberger AC expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Austrian Bundesliga · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

Wolfsberger AC's attacking and defensive expected goals in Austrian Bundesliga 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Wolfsberger AC xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.14 xG per match
#10/12
Attack (xG per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Red Bull Salzburg 2.68
#2 LASK 2.54
#3 SK Rapid Wien 2.26
#4 SV Ried 1.96
#5 SK Sturm Graz 1.83
#6 WSG Tirol 1.52
#7 SC Rheindorf Altach 1.24
#8 SC Austria Lustenau 1.24
#9 Grazer AK 1902 1.14
#10 Wolfsberger AC 1.14
#11 TSV Hartberg 1.01
#12 Austria Wien 0.74
League avg
1.61
Total
7.96 7 matches
Defence
2.53 xGA per match
#12/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 LASK 0.93
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 1.08
#3 SK Rapid Wien 1.10
#4 SK Sturm Graz 1.29
#5 SC Rheindorf Altach 1.33
#6 SV Ried 1.75
#7 Grazer AK 1902 1.75
#8 WSG Tirol 1.76
#9 Austria Wien 1.85
#10 SC Austria Lustenau 1.89
#11 TSV Hartberg 2.02
#12 Wolfsberger AC 2.53
League avg
1.61
Total
17.72 7 matches
xG difference
-1.39 xGD per match
#12/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 LASK +1.60
#2 Red Bull Salzburg +1.60
#3 SK Rapid Wien +1.16
#4 SK Sturm Graz +0.53
#5 SV Ried +0.22
#6 SC Rheindorf Altach -0.08
#7 WSG Tirol -0.24
#8 Grazer AK 1902 -0.61
#9 SC Austria Lustenau -0.65
#10 TSV Hartberg -1.01
#11 Austria Wien -1.12
#12 Wolfsberger AC -1.39
League avg
0.00
Total
-9.76 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.70 xPts per match
#12/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 LASK 2.33
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 2.33
#3 SK Rapid Wien 1.95
#4 SK Sturm Graz 1.70
#5 SC Rheindorf Altach 1.42
#6 SV Ried 1.40
#7 WSG Tirol 1.32
#8 Grazer AK 1902 1.20
#9 SC Austria Lustenau 0.93
#10 TSV Hartberg 0.79
#11 Austria Wien 0.77
#12 Wolfsberger AC 0.70
League avg
1.41
Total
4.87 vs 5 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Wolfsberger AC's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Austrian Bundesliga. They rank #12 for xG difference at -1.39 per match, from low shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 7 goals are 0.96 below 7.96 xG, while 5 points are 0.13 above 4.87 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
7 7.96 -0.96 scored 0.96 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
13 17.72 -4.72 conceded 4.72 fewer than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
5 4.87 +0.13 0.13 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Wolfsberger AC are 0.96 goals below their xG after 7 matches.

Goals
7
xG
7.96
Gap
-0.96
Sun 02/08 Sun 09/08 Sat 15/08 Sat 29/08 Tue 01/09 Sat 12/09 Sun 20/09 -1 0 +1 +0.20 +0.27 -0.06 -0.15 +0.58 -0.19 -0.96 +0.20 +0.07 -0.33 -0.09 +0.73 -0.77 -0.77 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Wolfsberger AC: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 02/08 Austria Wien 3 2.80 +0.20 +0.20
Sun 09/08 Red Bull Salzburg 1 0.93 +0.07 +0.27
Sat 15/08 SC Austria Lustenau 1 1.33 -0.33 -0.06
Sat 29/08 Grazer AK 1902 0 0.09 -0.09 -0.15
Tue 01/09 LASK 1 0.27 +0.73 +0.58
Sat 12/09 SK Rapid Wien 0 0.77 -0.77 -0.19
Sun 20/09 SV Ried 1 1.77 -0.77 -0.96

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Wolfsberger AC xG trend

Current form -1.81 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 1 of 7 matches. The worst was against Red Bull Salzburg on Sun 09/08 (-2.59).

npxG · last 6
0.84
npxGA · last 6
2.65
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +2.45 Sun 02/08 -2.59 Sun 09/08 -1.63 Sat 15/08 -1.89 Sat 29/08 -2.28 Tue 01/09 -0.27 Sat 12/09 -2.20 Sun 20/09 -1.20 season avg
Wolfsberger AC: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 02/08 Austria Wien 2.80 0.35 +2.45 +2.45
Sun 09/08 Red Bull Salzburg 0.93 3.52 -2.59 -0.07
Sat 15/08 SC Austria Lustenau 1.33 2.96 -1.63 -0.59
Sat 29/08 Grazer AK 1902 0.08 1.97 -1.89 -0.92
Tue 01/09 LASK 0.27 2.55 -2.28 -1.19
Sat 12/09 SK Rapid Wien 0.64 0.91 -0.27 -1.04
Sun 20/09 SV Ried 1.77 3.97 -2.20 -1.20

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.12 npxG and 2.32 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 2 hardest of 12 in Austrian Bundesliga
+0.15 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 2 hardest of 12 in Austrian Bundesliga
+0.10 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.15 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 2 hardest of 12

  1. SV Ried Away −0.17
  2. SK Rapid Wien Home +0.30
  3. LASK Home +0.91
  4. Grazer AK 1902 Away −0.29
  5. SC Austria Lustenau Away −0.24
  6. Red Bull Salzburg Home +0.74
  7. Austria Wien Home −0.22

Last 5

+0.10 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 2 hardest of 12

  1. SV Ried Away −0.17
  2. SK Rapid Wien Home +0.30
  3. LASK Home +0.91
  4. Grazer AK 1902 Away −0.29
  5. SC Austria Lustenau Away −0.24

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Wolfsberger AC shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. Wolfsberger AC take 11.9 shots a match (league 14.1) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #8 in Austrian Bundesliga for volume and #8 for quality. 55% of their shots come from inside the box (league 62%), and set pieces produce 23% of their npxG (league 27%).

Attack

Shot volume
11.9 shots per match
#8/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 LASK 21.0
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 20.4
=3 SK Rapid Wien 16.1
=3 SK Sturm Graz 16.1
#5 SV Ried 15.6
#6 SC Austria Lustenau 14.1
#7 Grazer AK 1902 12.7
#8 Wolfsberger AC 11.9
#9 SC Rheindorf Altach 11.7
#10 WSG Tirol 11.0
#11 Austria Wien 9.6
#12 TSV Hartberg 9.0
League avg
14.1
Total
83 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#8/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 SK Rapid Wien 0.13
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 0.13
#3 LASK 0.11
#4 SV Ried 0.11
#5 WSG Tirol 0.10
#6 SC Rheindorf Altach 0.10
#7 TSV Hartberg 0.10
#8 Wolfsberger AC 0.09
#9 SK Sturm Graz 0.09
#10 SC Austria Lustenau 0.08
#11 Grazer AK 1902 0.08
#12 Austria Wien 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
7.82 npxG from 83 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
17.6 shots per match
#11/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 LASK 7.7
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 11.0
#3 SK Rapid Wien 12.1
#4 WSG Tirol 12.4
#5 Austria Wien 13.0
=6 SC Rheindorf Altach 13.9
=6 SK Sturm Graz 13.9
#8 SC Austria Lustenau 15.0
#9 Grazer AK 1902 16.1
#10 SV Ried 17.0
#11 Wolfsberger AC 17.6
#12 TSV Hartberg 19.6
League avg
14.1
Total
123 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.13 npxGA per shot
#10/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 SK Sturm Graz 0.08
#2 SV Ried 0.09
#3 SK Rapid Wien 0.09
#4 TSV Hartberg 0.09
#5 SC Austria Lustenau 0.09
#6 Red Bull Salzburg 0.09
#7 SC Rheindorf Altach 0.09
#8 Grazer AK 1902 0.10
#9 LASK 0.10
#10 Wolfsberger AC 0.13
#11 Austria Wien 0.14
#12 WSG Tirol 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
16.23 npxGA from 123 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

55% inside the box

League avg 62%

From 46 of 83 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

66% allowed inside the box

League avg 62%

From 81 of 123 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

77% open play · 23% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 1.4 of 6.0 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

71% open play · 29% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 4.8 of 16.3 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Wolfsberger AC home and away xG

Wolfsberger AC per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 3
xG / match 1.19 1.06
xGA / match 1.93 3.34
xGD / match -0.74 -2.27
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.04 0.24

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Wolfsberger AC match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
7
xG / match
1.14
xGA / match
2.53
xGD / match
-1.39
Points
5 of 21
  1. Sun 20/09 SV Ried A Weakest underlying xG 1.77 xGA 4.74 P xGD -2.97
  2. Sat 12/09 SK Rapid Wien H xG 0.77 xGA 1.05 xGD -0.28
  3. Tue 01/09 LASK H xG 0.27 xGA 2.79 xGD -2.52
  4. Sat 29/08 Grazer AK 1902 A xG 0.09 xGA 2.14 xGD -2.05
  5. Sat 15/08 SC Austria Lustenau A xG 1.33 xGA 3.13 xGD -1.80
  6. Sun 09/08 Red Bull Salzburg H xG 0.93 xGA 3.52 xGD -2.59
  7. Sun 02/08 Austria Wien H Best underlying xG 2.80 xGA 0.35 xGD +2.45

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 4.74. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Wolfsberger AC in Austrian Bundesliga

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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