Saturday, 16/05/2026 at 15:30
Full time1. FC Heidenheim 0:2 1. FSV Mainz 05
Goals
- 7' Phillip Tietz 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 1.00 xG chance 0–1
- 43' Nadiem Amiri 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 0.68 xG chance 0–2
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 15
- 15
- On target
- 5
- 9
- Inside the box
- 12
- 10
- xG per shot
- 0.18
- 0.23
- Open play xG
- 2.41
- 2.70
- Set-piece xG
- 0.34
- 0.74
- Penalties
- —
- —
1. FC Heidenheim's shots add up to 2.75 xG and 1. FSV Mainz 05's to 3.44; the published figures are 2.53 and 3.71.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
30 shots · 6.19 xG
Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.
- 1. FC Heidenheim
- 1. FSV Mainz 05
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.69 xG created 1.31 xGA
- D 1.14 created, 0.73 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
- W 1.85 created, 0.99 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
- L 1.58 created, 1.62 conceded against SC Freiburg
- W 1.61 created, 1.06 conceded against FC St. Pauli
- D 2.59 created, 2.31 conceded against FC Bayern München
- W 1.36 created, 1.17 conceded against 1. FC Köln
1.97 xG created 1.36 xGA
- W 2.16 created, 1.23 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
- L 0.55 created, 0.56 conceded against SC Freiburg
- D 2.32 created, 0.62 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
- L 2.69 created, 2.21 conceded against FC Bayern München
- W 2.54 created, 0.84 conceded against FC St. Pauli
- L 1.57 created, 2.68 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Head to head
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.