Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4:1 RB Leipzig: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 02/05/2026 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Home 4.42 xG · 23 shots

RB Leipzig Away 1.17 xG · 14 shots

41 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

25' Patrik Schick Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 0.44 xG chance 1–0
45' Nathan Tella Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 0.49 xG chance 2–0
76' Patrik Schick Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 0.16 xG chance 3–0
80' Christoph Baumgartner RB Leipzig · 0.38 xG chance 3–1
89' Patrik Schick Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 0.73 xG chance 4–1

The shots behind it

Bayer 04 Leverkusen RB Leipzig

Shots: 23; 14
On target: 8; 5
Inside the box: 21; 9
xG per shot: 0.19; 0.08
Open play xG: 3.15; 1.06
Set-piece xG: 1.30; 0.09
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 4.40 for Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 1.14 for RB Leipzig.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

37 shots · 5.60 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
RB Leipzig
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

2.37 xG created 1.76 xGA

D 2.59 created, 1.29 conceded against FC Bayern München
D 1.62 created, 1.57 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
W 4.25 created, 2.02 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
W 0.63 created, 1.30 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
L 3.80 created, 1.33 conceded against FC Augsburg
W 1.33 created, 3.04 conceded against 1. FC Köln

RB Leipzig

2.34 xG created 1.12 xGA

L 1.12 created, 1.20 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
W 2.39 created, 0.78 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
W 1.49 created, 1.34 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
W 2.43 created, 1.78 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
W 2.09 created, 1.45 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
W 4.49 created, 0.19 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

RB Leipzig 1:3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 20/12/2025 xG 1.77 – 2.72

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.