Bolton Wanderers 2026/2027 · Championship

Form · last 5

L D W L W

-0.34 xGD / match

Expected goals 16.26 xG 22.81 xGA 16 scored · 23 conceded

Team strength 39 / 99 #18 in Championship League avg: 50

Bolton Wanderers right now

Bolton Wanderers are having a difficult season and sit 18th in Championship. A -6.55 xG difference sits behind 14 points from 12 matches, which suggests the results have been kinder than the performances.

How Bolton Wanderers compares

Attack #11 of 24 Defence #24 of 24 xG difference #19 of 24

Chance quality #18 of 24

Next match Championship · Sat 31/10 16:00

Home Bristol City

1.39 Projected expected goals 1.17

Model probability

Bolton Wanderers: 40%
Draw: 31%
Bristol City: 29%

Data coverage: Partial

Last result Championship · Fri 23/10

Home Middlesbrough

1:5 Loss

Expected goals: 0.91 – 4.17
xG difference: -3.26

Outplayed on the chances

Every result →

Performance

Goals vs xG — match by match

Bars are goals scored. Lines are the xG created and conceded in each match.

xG created xGA conceded Goals

The season so far 12 matches, as they add up -6.55 xG difference -0.55 xGD / match

Every match behind the chart above: Bolton Wanderers's expected goals for and against, and the goals it scored.
Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Expected goals	Expected goals conceded	xG difference	Goals scored
Sat 15/08	Preston North End	Home	2:1	1.10	1.12	-0.02	2
Sat 22/08	Queens Park Rangers	Away	0:0	0.19	1.82	-1.63	0
Sat 29/08	Lincoln City	Home	0:1	1.89	1.32	+0.57	0
Tue 01/09	Sheffield United	Away	2:3	1.91	2.21	-0.30	2
Sat 05/09	Millwall	Away	0:4	1.15	2.63	-1.48	0
Tue 08/09	West Ham United	Home	2:3	1.56	2.22	-0.66	2
Sat 12/09	Cardiff City	Home	1:0	0.48	1.79	-1.31	1
Sun 20/09	Norwich City	Away	4:3	1.10	0.69	+0.41	4
Sat 10/10	Stoke City	Home	1:2	3.13	0.74	+2.39	1
Tue 13/10	Wolverhampton	Away	3:1	1.62	2.23	-0.61	3
Sat 17/10	Southampton	Away	0:0	1.22	1.87	-0.65	0
Fri 23/10	Middlesbrough	Home	1:5	0.91	4.17	-3.26	1
The season so far				16.26	22.81		16

Finishing

-0.26

Goals vs xG

Defending

+0.19

Goals conceded vs xGA

Results

+1.29

Points vs xPts

The whole expected-goals page →

The run ahead

Sat 31/10 Home 16:00 Bristol City

Balanced 3/5

Opponent strength

Attack: 36/99
Defence: 54/99

Tue 03/11 Away 20:45 Charlton Athletic

Balanced 3/5

Opponent strength

Attack: 29/99
Defence: 27/99

Fri 06/11 Away 21:00 Derby County

Balanced 3/5

Opponent strength

Attack: 38/99
Defence: 32/99

Sat 21/11 Home 16:00 Portsmouth

Balanced 3/5

Opponent strength

Attack: 41/99
Defence: 72/99

Wed 25/11 Home 20:45 West Bromwich Albion

Balanced 3/5

Opponent strength

Attack: 43/99
Defence: 57/99

How fixture difficulty works → Every fixture →

Key players

Player Minutes Goals xG xA xGI

Sam Dalby F 860 4 4.46 0.62 5.08

Sam Dalby F 5.08 860 min · 4G · xG 4.46 · xA 0.62

Rúben Rodrigues F 461 1 2.16 1.45 3.61

Rúben Rodrigues F 3.61 461 min · 1G · xG 2.16 · xA 1.45

Josh Sheehan M 1076 1 1.15 2.46 3.61

Josh Sheehan M 3.61 1076 min · 1G · xG 1.15 · xA 2.46

Gaizka Larrazabal D 836 1 0.72 2.41 3.13

Gaizka Larrazabal D 3.13 836 min · 1G · xG 0.72 · xA 2.41

xGI = xG + xA ⓘ

Expected Goal Involvement combines expected goals and expected assists.

The whole squad →