xgEdge

Club

Burnley 2026/2027

Championship 2026/2027 →

Burnley right now

Burnley are having a difficult season and sit 22nd in Championship. A -3.92 xG difference sits behind 8 points from 12 matches, which suggests the results reflect poor underlying performances. They have slightly outscored their 15.84 xG (+1.16), while conceding 5.24 more than the 19.76 xG against them. They have taken 5.29 fewer points than their chances were worth (13.29), so the table undersells them.

How Burnley compares

Open the match page for Portsmouth

Next match Championship · Sat 31/10

Home Portsmouth

1.19 Projected expected goals 1.21
Model probability
Burnley
33%
Draw
32%
Portsmouth
34%

Data coverage: Partial

Open the match page for Lincoln City

Last result Championship · Sat 24/10

Away Lincoln City

1:4 Loss

Expected goals
2.35 – 1.90
xG difference
+0.45

Lost despite creating more

Every result →
Performance

Goals vs xG — match by match

Bars are goals scored. Lines are the xG created and conceded in each match.

xG created xGA conceded Goals
4.0 0.0 Sun 16/08 Sat 24/10 Sun 16/08 West Ham United · Expected goals 2.33 Sun 23/08 West Bromwich Albion · Expected goals 1.18 Sat 29/08 Norwich City · Expected goals 1.38 Wed 02/09 Middlesbrough · Expected goals 0.64 Sat 05/09 Bristol City · Expected goals 0.26 Tue 08/09 Wrexham · Expected goals 1.50 Sat 12/09 Swansea City · Expected goals 1.73 Sat 19/09 Derby County · Expected goals 0.45 Sat 10/10 Watford · Expected goals 1.94 Tue 13/10 Charlton Athletic · Expected goals 1.08 Fri 16/10 Wolverhampton · Expected goals 1.00 Sat 24/10 Lincoln City · Expected goals 2.35 Sun 16/08 West Ham United · Expected goals conceded 1.33 Sun 23/08 West Bromwich Albion · Expected goals conceded 1.63 Sat 29/08 Norwich City · Expected goals conceded 2.30 Wed 02/09 Middlesbrough · Expected goals conceded 1.22 Sat 05/09 Bristol City · Expected goals conceded 1.06 Tue 08/09 Wrexham · Expected goals conceded 1.35 Sat 12/09 Swansea City · Expected goals conceded 2.63 Sat 19/09 Derby County · Expected goals conceded 1.75 Sat 10/10 Watford · Expected goals conceded 0.64 Tue 13/10 Charlton Athletic · Expected goals conceded 2.13 Fri 16/10 Wolverhampton · Expected goals conceded 1.82 Sat 24/10 Lincoln City · Expected goals conceded 1.90
The season so far 12 matches, as they add up -3.92 xG difference -0.33 xGD / match
Every match behind the chart above: Burnley's expected goals for and against, and the goals it scored.
Date Opponent Venue Score Expected goals Expected goals conceded xG difference Goals scored
Sun 16/08 West Ham United Home 2:2 2.33 1.33 +1.00 2
Sun 23/08 West Bromwich Albion Away 1:3 1.18 1.63 -0.45 1
Sat 29/08 Norwich City Away 1:4 1.38 2.30 -0.92 1
Wed 02/09 Middlesbrough Home 1:1 0.64 1.22 -0.58 1
Sat 05/09 Bristol City Home 1:2 0.26 1.06 -0.80 1
Tue 08/09 Wrexham Away 1:1 1.50 1.35 +0.15 1
Sat 12/09 Swansea City Away 1:3 1.73 2.63 -0.90 1
Sat 19/09 Derby County Home 1:1 0.45 1.75 -1.30 1
Sat 10/10 Watford Away 4:0 1.94 0.64 +1.30 4
Tue 13/10 Charlton Athletic Home 2:2 1.08 2.13 -1.05 2
Fri 16/10 Wolverhampton Home 1:2 1.00 1.82 -0.82 1
Sat 24/10 Lincoln City Away 1:4 2.35 1.90 +0.45 1
The season so far 15.84 19.76 17

Finishing

+1.16

Goals vs xG

Defending

+5.24

Goals conceded vs xGA

Results

-5.29

Points vs xPts

The whole expected-goals page →

Key players

Jacob Bruun Larsen F 2.79 611 min · 2G · xG 0.86 · xA 1.93
Largie Ramazani F 2.59 644 min · 2G · xG 1.30 · xA 1.29
Zeki Amdouni F 2.26 497 min · 3G · xG 2.12 · xA 0.14
Marcus Edwards F 2.10 351 min · 1G · xG 1.21 · xA 0.89
xGI = xG + xA ⓘ

Expected Goal Involvement combines expected goals and expected assists.

The whole squad →
Every figure off the same cached projection · Championship 2026/2027 How the model works →