xgEdge

Club

Derby County 2026/2027

Championship 2026/2027 →

Derby County right now

Derby County are having a difficult season and sit 23rd in Championship. A -8.95 xG difference sits behind 7 points from 12 matches, which suggests the results reflect poor underlying performances. They have scored slightly below their 11.64 xG (−1.64), while conceding close to the 20.59 xG against them. They have taken 5.29 fewer points than their chances were worth (12.29), so the table undersells them.

How Derby County compares

Open the match page for Millwall

Next match Championship · Sat 31/10

Away Millwall

1.78 Projected expected goals 0.99
Model probability
Millwall
55%
Draw
27%
Derby County
18%

Data coverage: Full

Open the match page for Sheffield United

Last result Championship · Sat 24/10

Away Sheffield United

1:1 Draw

Expected goals
1.09 – 2.47
xG difference
-1.38

A point despite being out-created

Every result →
Performance

Goals vs xG — match by match

Bars are goals scored. Lines are the xG created and conceded in each match.

xG created xGA conceded Goals
4.0 0.0 Sat 15/08 Sat 24/10 Sat 15/08 Charlton Athletic · Expected goals 1.00 Sat 22/08 Cardiff City · Expected goals 1.62 Sat 29/08 Swansea City · Expected goals 0.70 Tue 01/09 Portsmouth · Expected goals 0.55 Sat 05/09 West Ham United · Expected goals 0.11 Wed 09/09 West Bromwich Albion · Expected goals 1.27 Sat 12/09 Birmingham City · Expected goals 1.11 Sat 19/09 Burnley · Expected goals 1.75 Sat 10/10 Wrexham · Expected goals 0.60 Wed 14/10 Queens Park Rangers · Expected goals 0.85 Sat 17/10 Stoke City · Expected goals 0.99 Sat 24/10 Sheffield United · Expected goals 1.09 Sat 15/08 Charlton Athletic · Expected goals conceded 0.97 Sat 22/08 Cardiff City · Expected goals conceded 1.98 Sat 29/08 Swansea City · Expected goals conceded 3.00 Tue 01/09 Portsmouth · Expected goals conceded 0.84 Sat 05/09 West Ham United · Expected goals conceded 3.79 Wed 09/09 West Bromwich Albion · Expected goals conceded 0.38 Sat 12/09 Birmingham City · Expected goals conceded 3.17 Sat 19/09 Burnley · Expected goals conceded 0.45 Sat 10/10 Wrexham · Expected goals conceded 1.46 Wed 14/10 Queens Park Rangers · Expected goals conceded 1.52 Sat 17/10 Stoke City · Expected goals conceded 0.56 Sat 24/10 Sheffield United · Expected goals conceded 2.47
The season so far 12 matches, as they add up -8.95 xG difference -0.75 xGD / match
Every match behind the chart above: Derby County's expected goals for and against, and the goals it scored.
Date Opponent Venue Score Expected goals Expected goals conceded xG difference Goals scored
Sat 15/08 Charlton Athletic Away 1:2 1.00 0.97 +0.03 1
Sat 22/08 Cardiff City Home 2:2 1.62 1.98 -0.36 2
Sat 29/08 Swansea City Home 0:3 0.70 3.00 -2.30 0
Tue 01/09 Portsmouth Away 2:0 0.55 0.84 -0.29 2
Sat 05/09 West Ham United Away 0:3 0.11 3.79 -3.68 0
Wed 09/09 West Bromwich Albion Home 0:1 1.27 0.38 +0.89 0
Sat 12/09 Birmingham City Home 1:2 1.11 3.17 -2.06 1
Sat 19/09 Burnley Away 1:1 1.75 0.45 +1.30 1
Sat 10/10 Wrexham Home 1:1 0.60 1.46 -0.86 1
Wed 14/10 Queens Park Rangers Away 1:4 0.85 1.52 -0.67 1
Sat 17/10 Stoke City Home 0:1 0.99 0.56 +0.43 0
Sat 24/10 Sheffield United Away 1:1 1.09 2.47 -1.38 1
The season so far 11.64 20.59 10

Finishing

-1.64

Goals vs xG

Defending

+0.41

Goals conceded vs xGA

Results

-5.29

Points vs xPts

The whole expected-goals page →

Key players

Bobby Clark M 3.52 1011 min · 3G · xG 2.25 · xA 1.27
Sammie Szmodics F 1.99 847 min · 3G · xG 1.58 · xA 0.41
Carlton Morris F 1.88 685 min · 1G · xG 1.29 · xA 0.59
Ryan Hedges D 1.73 728 min · 0G · xG 0.91 · xA 0.82
xGI = xG + xA ⓘ

Expected Goal Involvement combines expected goals and expected assists.

The whole squad →
Every figure off the same cached projection · Championship 2026/2027 How the model works →