Sunday, 13/09/2026 at 19:00
Full timeOlympiakos Nicosia 3:3 ALS Omonia
Olympiakos Nicosia were the model's likeliest winner before kick-off at 40%. It finished 3–3.
The model against the result
- Olympiakos Nicosia
- 40%
- Draw
- 33% What happened
- ALS Omonia
- 27%
Data coverage One of these teams has only 1 match in the model window, short of the 10 the model wants. Read the projection as a direction rather than as a number.
Recent form
1.57 xG created 1.25 xGA
- L 1.19 created, 2.24 conceded against Akritas Chlorakas
- W 0.52 created, 0.79 conceded against Omonia Aradippou
- W 0.97 created, 1.12 conceded against AEL Limassol
- W 3.88 created, 0.49 conceded against Anorthosis Famagusta
- D 1.65 created, 1.49 conceded against Nea Salamina Famagusta
- D 1.21 created, 1.36 conceded against Pafos FC
1.57 xG created 1.62 xGA
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Model details
· 1 warningShow Hide
- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- Olympiakos Nicosia sample
- 20 matches
- ALS Omonia sample
- 1 match
- Computed
- 9 hours before kick-off
Warnings
- ALS Omonia has only 1 match in the database. Below 10 matches the estimate is very unreliable.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.