Saturday, 24/10/2026 at 17:00
17d 17h to kick-offOlympiakos Nicosia – Enosis Neon Ypsona FC
Model updated 6 October, 21:30 Odds not yet available
What the model expects
- Olympiakos Nicosia
- 40%
- Draw
- 33%
- Enosis Neon Ypsona FC
- 27%
| Olympiakos Nicosia | Draw | Enosis Neon Ypsona FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fair odds | 2.51 | 3.06 | 3.64 |
- Total goals
- 2.31
- Over 2.5 goals
- 41%
- Both teams to score
- 52%
Both teams have the full 20-match model window available.
Model vs market
Market odds are not available for this match yet.
Why the model leans Olympiakos Nicosia
40% Olympiakos Nicosia to win
- Attack
- 12th vs 9th
- Olympiakos Nicosia attack v Enosis Neon Ypsona FC defence
- Defence
- 7th vs 13th
- Olympiakos Nicosia defence v Enosis Neon Ypsona FC attack
- Recent xG form
- +0.58 vs -0.12
- xGD per match, last 6
- Projected goals
- 1.28 – 1.04
- Olympiakos Nicosia v Enosis Neon Ypsona FC
Team comparison
Season to date, per match, with each club's placing in the competition. The last row is the last 6 matches.
| Reading | Olympiakos Nicosia | Enosis Neon Ypsona FC |
|---|---|---|
| xG / match | (better) 1.69 · 5th from 3 matches | 1.36 · 10th from 3 matches |
| xGA / match | 1.52 · joint 6th from 3 matches | (better) 1.04 · 3rd from 3 matches |
| xGD / match | +0.17 · 7th from 3 matches | (better) +0.32 · 6th from 3 matches |
| xPts / match | 1.48 · 8th from 3 matches | (better) 1.62 · 5th from 3 matches |
| Last 6 xGD / match | (better) +0.58 | -0.12 |
The scorelines behind the model's numbers
No exact score is especially likely. The 3 most probable scorelines account for 37% of the model's distribution.
- Olympiakos Nicosia clean sheet
- 33%
- Olympiakos Nicosia 2+ goals
- 37%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 59%
- Both teams to score: no
- 48%
Most likely scorelines
- 1:1
- 16.8%
- 1:0
- 10.3%
- 0:0
- 10.1%
Check your bookmaker's price
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How value is calculated
Value is probability × odds − 1 — it pays on average and over the long run, not necessarily in this match. The model knows nothing of absences, motivation or the schedule.
Nothing you type is remembered.
Model details
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- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- Olympiakos Nicosia sample
- 20 matches
- Enosis Neon Ypsona FC sample
- 20 matches
- Home xG sample · Olympiakos Nicosia
- 1 match
- Away xG sample · Enosis Neon Ypsona FC
- 1 match
- Computed
- Tuesday, 06/10/2026 at 21:30
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.