xgEdge

Expected goals

Omonia Nicosia expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Cypriot First Division · after 3 matches · updated 1 Oct

Omonia Nicosia's attacking and defensive expected goals in Cypriot First Division 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Omonia Nicosia xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
2.15 xG per match
#1/14
Attack (xG per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Omonia Nicosia 2.15
#2 Pafos FC 1.97
#3 AEK Larnaca 1.93
#4 Aris Limassol 1.71
#5 Olympiakos Nicosia 1.69
#6 Omonia Aradippou 1.61
#7 ALS Omonia 1.52
#8 APOEL Nicosia 1.47
#9 AEL Limassol 1.46
#10 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 1.36
#11 Nea Salamina Famagusta 1.34
#12 Karmiotissa Polemidion 1.31
#13 Apollon Limassol 1.18
#14 Anorthosis Famagusta 1.14
League avg
1.55
Total
6.46 3 matches
Defence
0.88 xGA per match
#2/14
Defence (xGA per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 APOEL Nicosia 0.68
#2 Omonia Nicosia 0.88
#3 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 1.04
#4 Aris Limassol 1.25
#5 AEL Limassol 1.42
=6 Olympiakos Nicosia 1.52
=6 Apollon Limassol 1.52
#8 Anorthosis Famagusta 1.55
#9 Pafos FC 1.55
#10 AEK Larnaca 1.56
#11 Omonia Aradippou 1.96
#12 Nea Salamina Famagusta 2.04
#13 ALS Omonia 2.15
#14 Karmiotissa Polemidion 2.43
League avg
1.55
Total
2.65 3 matches
xG difference
+1.27 xGD per match
#1/14
xG difference (xGD per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Omonia Nicosia +1.27
#2 APOEL Nicosia +0.80
#3 Aris Limassol +0.46
#4 Pafos FC +0.42
#5 AEK Larnaca +0.37
#6 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC +0.32
#7 Olympiakos Nicosia +0.17
#8 AEL Limassol +0.04
#9 Apollon Limassol -0.34
#10 Omonia Aradippou -0.36
#11 Anorthosis Famagusta -0.41
#12 ALS Omonia -0.63
#13 Nea Salamina Famagusta -0.69
#14 Karmiotissa Polemidion -1.13
League avg
0.00
Total
+3.81 3 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
2.26 xPts per match
#1/14
Expected points (xPts per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Omonia Nicosia 2.26
#2 APOEL Nicosia 1.97
#3 Aris Limassol 1.73
#4 Pafos FC 1.65
#5 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 1.62
#6 AEK Larnaca 1.53
#7 AEL Limassol 1.51
#8 Olympiakos Nicosia 1.48
#9 Omonia Aradippou 1.16
#10 Anorthosis Famagusta 1.09
#11 Apollon Limassol 1.04
#12 ALS Omonia 1.01
#13 Nea Salamina Famagusta 0.97
#14 Karmiotissa Polemidion 0.65
League avg
1.39
Total
6.78 vs 8 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 3 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

Expected goals here are summed over 3 of 4 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

Omonia Nicosia's underlying numbers are league-leading. They rank #1 for xG difference at +1.27 per match, driven by the league's highest shot volume at about average chance quality. After only 3 matches, treat every figure here as provisional.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
4 6.46 -2.46 Too early to read
Goals conceded vs xGA
1 2.65 -1.65 Too early to read
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
5 6.78 -1.78 Too early to read

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Omonia Nicosia are 2.46 goals below their xG after 3 matches. The gap was widest at -2.96, against Omonia Aradippou on Mon 31/08.

Goals
4
xG
6.46
Gap
-2.46
Mon 31/08 Mon 07/09 Sat 12/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -2.96 -1.16 -2.46 -2.96 +1.80 -1.30 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Omonia Nicosia: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Mon 31/08 Omonia Aradippou 0 2.96 -2.96 -2.96
Mon 07/09 Aris Limassol 4 2.20 +1.80 -1.16
Sat 12/09 Apollon Limassol 0 1.30 -1.30 -2.46

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Omonia Nicosia xG trend

Current form +1.52 npxGD per match

All 3 matches with xG so far — the window fills at 6.

Out-created the opponent in 3 of 3 matches.

npxG · last 3
2.15
npxGA · last 3
0.63
-1 0 +1 +2 +3 +2.01 Mon 31/08 +1.67 Mon 07/09 +0.88 Sat 12/09 +1.52 season avg
Omonia Nicosia: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Mon 31/08 Omonia Aradippou 2.96 0.95 +2.01 +2.01
Mon 07/09 Aris Limassol 2.20 0.53 +1.67 +1.84
Sat 12/09 Apollon Limassol 1.30 0.42 +0.88 +1.52

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 2.15 npxG and 0.63 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 4 hardest of 14 in Cypriot First Division
+0.06 xG vs league average
Over 4 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.06 xG vs league average · over 4 matches · number 4 hardest of 14

  1. Enosis Neon Ypsona FC Home −0.24
  2. Apollon Limassol Home +0.30
  3. Aris Limassol Away +0.33
  4. Omonia Aradippou Home −0.13

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Omonia Nicosia shots and chance quality

High volume, average quality. Omonia Nicosia take 18.0 shots a match (league 12.0) at 0.12 npxG a shot (league 0.11), #1 in Cypriot First Division for volume and #5 for quality. 48% of their shots come from inside the box (league 57%).

Attack

Shot volume
18.0 shots per match
#1/14
Shot volume (shots per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Omonia Nicosia 18.0
#2 Pafos FC 17.5
=3 APOEL Nicosia 12.8
=3 Aris Limassol 12.8
#5 AEK Larnaca 12.0
=6 AEL Limassol 11.8
=6 Omonia Aradippou 11.8
=8 ALS Omonia 11.3
=8 Olympiakos Nicosia 11.3
#10 Nea Salamina Famagusta 10.5
#11 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 10.3
#12 Anorthosis Famagusta 10.0
#13 Karmiotissa Polemidion 9.8
#14 Apollon Limassol 8.8
League avg
12.0
Total
54 shots from 3 matches
Chance quality
0.12 npxG per shot
#5/14
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 AEK Larnaca 0.16
#2 ALS Omonia 0.13
#3 Karmiotissa Polemidion 0.13
#4 Olympiakos Nicosia 0.13
#5 Omonia Nicosia 0.12
#6 Apollon Limassol 0.11
#7 Pafos FC 0.11
#8 Nea Salamina Famagusta 0.11
#9 AEL Limassol 0.11
#10 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 0.11
#11 Omonia Aradippou 0.10
#12 Aris Limassol 0.10
#13 APOEL Nicosia 0.09
#14 Anorthosis Famagusta 0.08
League avg
0.11
Total
6.46 npxG from 54 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
8.0 shots per match
=2/14
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 APOEL Nicosia 7.0
=2 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 8.0
=2 Omonia Nicosia 8.0
#4 Aris Limassol 9.0
#5 AEL Limassol 10.8
#6 Anorthosis Famagusta 11.3
#7 Pafos FC 11.8
#8 Apollon Limassol 12.3
#9 AEK Larnaca 13.0
#10 Omonia Aradippou 13.8
#11 Nea Salamina Famagusta 14.0
#12 ALS Omonia 14.3
#13 Olympiakos Nicosia 15.0
#14 Karmiotissa Polemidion 19.0
League avg
12.0
Total
24 shots allowed from 3 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.08 npxGA per shot
#2/14
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 APOEL Nicosia 0.07
#2 Omonia Nicosia 0.08
#3 Apollon Limassol 0.08
#4 Olympiakos Nicosia 0.08
#5 AEL Limassol 0.10
#6 Karmiotissa Polemidion 0.12
#7 Nea Salamina Famagusta 0.12
#8 Anorthosis Famagusta 0.12
#9 AEK Larnaca 0.12
#10 Omonia Aradippou 0.13
#11 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 0.13
#12 Pafos FC 0.13
#13 Aris Limassol 0.14
#14 ALS Omonia 0.15
League avg
0.11
Total
1.90 npxGA from 24 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

48% inside the box

League avg 57%

From 26 of 54 shots over 3 matches

Early-season figure: after 3 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

46% allowed inside the box

League avg 57%

From 11 of 24 shots allowed over 3 matches

Early-season figure: after 3 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Omonia Nicosia home and away xG

Omonia Nicosia per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home only 2 matches with xG Away only 1 match with xG
Matches 3 2 with xG 1
xG / match 2.13 2.20
xGA / match 0.69 1.28
xGD / match +1.44 +0.92
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.38 2.03

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Omonia Nicosia match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
4 3 with xG
xG / match
2.15
xGA / match
0.88
xGD / match
+1.27
Points
8 of 12
  1. Sun 20/09 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC H
  2. Sat 12/09 Apollon Limassol H xG 1.30 xGA 0.42 xGD +0.88
  3. Mon 07/09 Aris Limassol A xG 2.20 xGA 1.28 P xGD +0.92
  4. Mon 31/08 Omonia Aradippou H xG 2.96 xGA 0.95 xGD +2.01

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Omonia Nicosia in Cypriot First Division

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

Mind if we count your visit?

We use Google Analytics only to see how many people visit and which pages they read. It loads after you allow it — no ads, no tracking across other sites. What we collect