xgEdge

Expected goals

AC Sparta Praha expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Czech First League · after 9 matches · updated 1 Oct

AC Sparta Praha's attacking and defensive expected goals in Czech First League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

AC Sparta Praha xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.66 xG per match
#2/16
Attack (xG per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 2.38
#2 AC Sparta Praha 1.66
#3 FC Slovan Liberec 1.66
#4 Mladá Boleslav 1.45
#5 Viktoria Plzeň 1.43
#6 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.39
#7 Baník Ostrava 1.34
#8 FK Pardubice 1.34
#9 FK Jablonec 1.32
#10 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.24
#11 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.23
#12 FK Teplice 1.20
#13 SK Líšeň 1.05
#14 FC Hradec Králové 1.03
#15 1. FC Slovácko 0.92
#16 FC Zlín 0.87
League avg
1.34
Total
14.95 9 matches
Defence
1.25 xGA per match
#8/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Slovan Liberec 0.86
#2 FK Jablonec 1.01
#3 SK Slavia Praha 1.02
#4 FC Hradec Králové 1.05
#5 Viktoria Plzeň 1.10
#6 FK Pardubice 1.20
#7 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.21
#8 AC Sparta Praha 1.25
#9 FK Teplice 1.28
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.37
#11 SK Líšeň 1.42
#12 FC Zlín 1.44
#13 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.52
#14 1. FC Slovácko 1.88
#15 Baník Ostrava 1.89
#16 Mladá Boleslav 2.06
League avg
1.34
Total
11.27 9 matches
xG difference
+0.41 xGD per match
#3/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha +1.36
#2 FC Slovan Liberec +0.80
#3 AC Sparta Praha +0.41
#4 Viktoria Plzeň +0.32
#5 FK Jablonec +0.31
#6 FK Pardubice +0.14
#7 SK Sigma Olomouc +0.02
#8 Bohemians Praha 1905 +0.02
#9 FC Hradec Králové -0.02
#10 FK Teplice -0.08
#11 FC Zbrojovka Brno -0.28
#12 SK Líšeň -0.37
#13 Baník Ostrava -0.55
#14 FC Zlín -0.57
#15 Mladá Boleslav -0.62
#16 1. FC Slovácko -0.96
League avg
0.00
Total
+3.68 9 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.68 xPts per match
#3/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 2.11
#2 FC Slovan Liberec 1.90
#3 AC Sparta Praha 1.68
#4 Viktoria Plzeň 1.61
#5 FK Jablonec 1.59
#6 FK Pardubice 1.46
#7 FC Hradec Králové 1.39
#8 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.39
#9 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.33
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.31
#11 FK Teplice 1.30
#12 SK Líšeň 1.11
#13 Mladá Boleslav 1.03
#14 Baník Ostrava 1.02
#15 FC Zlín 0.90
#16 1. FC Slovácko 0.88
League avg
1.38
Total
15.10 vs 15 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

AC Sparta Praha's underlying numbers are among the best in Czech First League. They rank #3 for xG difference at +0.41 per match, driven by elite shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 18 goals are 3.05 above 14.95 xG, while 15 points are 0.10 below 15.10 xPts. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
18 14.95 +3.05 scored 3.05 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
12 11.27 +0.73 conceded 0.73 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
15 15.10 -0.10 0.10 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

AC Sparta Praha are 3.05 goals above their xG after 9 matches. The gap was widest at +3.77, against SK Líšeň on Sat 22/08.

Goals
18
xG
14.95
Gap
+3.05
Sat 25/07 Fri 31/07 Sat 08/08 Sat 15/08 Sat 22/08 Sun 30/08 Sun 06/09 Sat 12/09 Sun 20/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 -0.45 +0.44 -0.33 +1.55 +3.77 +1.43 +1.25 +1.93 +3.05 -0.45 +0.89 -0.77 +1.88 +2.22 -2.34 -0.18 +0.68 +1.12 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
AC Sparta Praha: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 25/07 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1 1.45 -0.45 -0.45
Fri 31/07 FC Zlín 3 2.11 +0.89 +0.44
Sat 08/08 Mladá Boleslav 0 0.77 -0.77 -0.33
Sat 15/08 FK Teplice 4 2.12 +1.88 +1.55
Sat 22/08 SK Líšeň 4 1.78 +2.22 +3.77
Sun 30/08 SK Slavia Praha 0 2.34 -2.34 +1.43
Sun 06/09 FC Hradec Králové 1 1.18 -0.18 +1.25
Sat 12/09 FK Jablonec 2 1.32 +0.68 +1.93
Sun 20/09 SK Sigma Olomouc 3 1.88 +1.12 +3.05

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

AC Sparta Praha xG trend

Current form +0.56 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 6 of 9 matches. The worst was against FC Zbrojovka Brno on Sat 25/07 (-0.62).

npxG · last 6
1.67
npxGA · last 6
1.11
-1 0 +1 +2 -0.62 Sat 25/07 +1.19 Fri 31/07 +0.07 Sat 08/08 +1.20 Sat 15/08 -0.19 Sat 22/08 +0.67 Sun 30/08 +0.00 Sun 06/09 +0.54 Sat 12/09 +1.15 Sun 20/09 +0.45 season avg
AC Sparta Praha: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 25/07 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.59 2.21 -0.62 -0.62
Fri 31/07 FC Zlín 2.11 0.92 +1.19 +0.29
Sat 08/08 Mladá Boleslav 0.77 0.70 +0.07 +0.21
Sat 15/08 FK Teplice 2.06 0.86 +1.20 +0.46
Sat 22/08 SK Líšeň 1.02 1.21 -0.19 +0.33
Sun 30/08 SK Slavia Praha 2.48 1.81 +0.67 +0.39
Sun 06/09 FC Hradec Králové 1.13 1.13 +0.00 +0.33
Sat 12/09 FK Jablonec 1.33 0.79 +0.54 +0.36
Sun 20/09 SK Sigma Olomouc 2.01 0.86 +1.15 +0.45

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.61 npxG and 1.17 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 14 hardest of 16 in Czech First League
−0.05 xG vs league average
Over 9 league matches
Last 5
number 3 hardest of 16 in Czech First League
+0.13 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.05 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · tied number 14 hardest of 16

  1. SK Sigma Olomouc Away +0.01
  2. FK Jablonec Home +0.21
  3. FC Hradec Králové Away −0.08
  4. SK Slavia Praha Home +0.82
  5. SK Líšeň Away −0.32
  6. FK Teplice Home −0.14
  7. Mladá Boleslav Away −0.38
  8. FC Zlín Home −0.45
  9. FC Zbrojovka Brno Away −0.12

Last 5

+0.13 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 3 hardest of 16

  1. SK Sigma Olomouc Away +0.01
  2. FK Jablonec Home +0.21
  3. FC Hradec Králové Away −0.08
  4. SK Slavia Praha Home +0.82
  5. SK Líšeň Away −0.32

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

AC Sparta Praha shots and chance quality

High volume, average quality. AC Sparta Praha take 16.6 shots a match (league 13.2) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #2 in Czech First League for volume and #9 for quality. 64% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 34% of their npxG (league 26%).

Attack

Shot volume
16.6 shots per match
#2/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 17.3
#2 AC Sparta Praha 16.6
#3 FC Slovan Liberec 16.2
#4 FK Jablonec 15.7
#5 FK Teplice 14.5
#6 Viktoria Plzeň 14.0
#7 FK Pardubice 13.0
#8 Bohemians Praha 1905 12.6
#9 Baník Ostrava 12.4
=10 FC Hradec Králové 12.0
=10 Mladá Boleslav 12.0
#12 FC Zlín 11.9
#13 FC Zbrojovka Brno 11.8
#14 1. FC Slovácko 11.0
#15 SK Sigma Olomouc 10.8
#16 SK Líšeň 9.8
League avg
13.2
Total
149 shots from 9 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#9/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 SK Slavia Praha 0.13
#2 Mladá Boleslav 0.11
#3 SK Sigma Olomouc 0.11
#4 SK Líšeň 0.11
#5 FC Slovan Liberec 0.11
#6 FK Pardubice 0.10
#7 FC Zbrojovka Brno 0.10
#8 Baník Ostrava 0.10
#9 AC Sparta Praha 0.10
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 0.09
#11 FK Jablonec 0.09
#12 FC Hradec Králové 0.09
#13 Viktoria Plzeň 0.08
#14 1. FC Slovácko 0.08
#15 FK Teplice 0.08
#16 FC Zlín 0.07
League avg
0.10
Total
14.50 npxG from 149 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
11.6 shots per match
#3/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 10.7
#2 FC Slovan Liberec 10.8
#3 AC Sparta Praha 11.6
#4 FK Jablonec 11.7
#5 1. FC Slovácko 12.2
=6 SK Sigma Olomouc 12.4
=6 Viktoria Plzeň 12.4
#8 FC Zbrojovka Brno 13.0
#9 FK Pardubice 13.3
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 13.6
#11 FC Hradec Králové 13.9
#12 FK Teplice 14.6
#13 Baník Ostrava 14.7
#14 FC Zlín 14.9
#15 SK Líšeň 15.0
#16 Mladá Boleslav 17.8
League avg
13.2
Total
104 shots allowed from 9 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#11/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC Slovan Liberec 0.07
#2 FC Hradec Králové 0.08
#3 FK Jablonec 0.08
#4 Viktoria Plzeň 0.08
#5 FK Pardubice 0.09
#6 FC Zlín 0.09
#7 FK Teplice 0.09
#8 SK Líšeň 0.09
#9 SK Sigma Olomouc 0.09
#10 SK Slavia Praha 0.10
#11 AC Sparta Praha 0.10
#12 Bohemians Praha 1905 0.10
#13 Mladá Boleslav 0.11
#14 FC Zbrojovka Brno 0.12
#15 Baník Ostrava 0.13
#16 1. FC Slovácko 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
10.49 npxGA from 104 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

64% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 95 of 149 shots over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

52% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 54 of 104 shots allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

66% open play · 34% set pieces

League avg 26% set pieces

From 4.3 of 12.8 npxG over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

78% open play · 22% set pieces

League avg 26% set pieces

From 2.3 of 10.6 npxG allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

AC Sparta Praha home and away xG

AC Sparta Praha per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 5
xG / match 1.97 1.41
xGA / match 1.09 1.38
xGD / match +0.88 +0.03
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.04 1.39

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every AC Sparta Praha match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
9
xG / match
1.66
xGA / match
1.25
xGD / match
+0.41
Points
15 of 27
  1. Sun 20/09 SK Sigma Olomouc A xG 1.88 xGA 0.86 xGD +1.02
  2. Sat 12/09 FK Jablonec H xG 1.32 xGA 0.79 xGD +0.53
  3. Sun 06/09 FC Hradec Králové A xG 1.18 xGA 1.14 xGD +0.04
  4. Sun 30/08 SK Slavia Praha H xG 2.34 xGA 1.83 xGD +0.51
  5. Sat 22/08 SK Líšeň A xG 1.78 P xGA 1.21 xGD +0.57
  6. Sat 15/08 FK Teplice H Best underlying xG 2.12 xGA 0.82 xGD +1.30
  7. Sat 08/08 Mladá Boleslav A xG 0.77 xGA 1.49 P xGD -0.72
  8. Fri 31/07 FC Zlín H xG 2.11 xGA 0.92 xGD +1.19
  9. Sat 25/07 FC Zbrojovka Brno A Weakest underlying xG 1.45 xGA 2.21 xGD -0.76

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

AC Sparta Praha in Czech First League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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