xgEdge

Bohemians Praha 1905's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 8 of 8 matching results

8 played this season

Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
2 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses

9 pts 9–11 goals −2 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
11.08 – 10.95
1.39 – 1.37 per match
xGD
+0.13
+0.02 per match
xG record
3 with the chances, 2 with even chances, 3 against them

Comparable xG: 8 of 8 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

9 pts 10.5 xPts

−1.5 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 8 of 8 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · All competitions · All venues

Bohemians Praha 1905's mixed record matches the chances at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 4 of 8 matches, for +0.13 xG difference overall on 11.08–10.95. Their points total of 9 sits 1.5 below the model's 10.5 xPts, so the chances have slightly outrun the results.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 8 results Bohemians Praha 1905 are 1.52 points below their xPts.

Points
9
xPts
10.52
Gap
-1.52
Sat 25/07 Sun 02/08 Sat 08/08 Sat 22/08 Wed 02/09 Sat 05/09 Sat 12/09 Sat 19/09 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.31 -0.48 +0.31 +1.04 +0.20 -0.13 -0.08 -1.52 -0.31 -0.17 +0.79 +0.73 -0.84 -0.33 +0.05 -1.44 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Bohemians Praha 1905: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sat 25/07 FK Teplice 0 0.31 -0.31 -0.31
Sun 02/08 FC Hradec Králové 1 1.17 -0.17 -0.48
Sat 08/08 FC Zlín 3 2.21 +0.79 +0.31
Sat 22/08 SK Slavia Praha 1 0.27 +0.73 +1.04
Wed 02/09 FK Jablonec 1 1.84 -0.84 +0.20
Sat 05/09 SK Sigma Olomouc 0 0.33 -0.33 -0.13
Sat 12/09 1. FC Slovácko 3 2.95 +0.05 -0.08
Sat 19/09 FK Pardubice 0 1.44 -1.44 -1.52

Scores and xG

Bohemians Praha 1905 first

  • Away Czech First League Loss with even chances

    xG 1.05

    xGA 0.94

    xGD +0.11

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FK Pardubice, Sat 19/09

    The team lost, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was weaker than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.44
    Points minus xPts
    -1.44

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Czech First League Win backed by the chances

    xG 3.70

    xGA 0.24

    xGD +3.46

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · 1. FC Slovácko, Sat 12/09

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.95
    Points minus xPts
    +0.05

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Czech First League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.42

    xGA 1.78

    xGD -1.36

    0:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SK Sigma Olomouc, Sat 05/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.33
    Points minus xPts
    -0.33

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Czech First League Draw against the chances

    xG 1.75

    xGA 1.15

    xGD +0.60

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FK Jablonec, Wed 02/09

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    1.84
    Points minus xPts
    -0.84

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Czech First League Draw against the chances

    xG 0.81

    xGA 2.74

    xGD -1.93

    2:2 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SK Slavia Praha, Sat 22/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded less xG. The outcome was stronger than that chance difference suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    0.27
    Points minus xPts
    +0.73

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Czech First League Win backed by the chances

    xG 1.94

    xGA 0.84

    xGD +1.10

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Zlín, Sat 08/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.21
    Points minus xPts
    +0.79

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Czech First League Draw with even chances

    xG 0.68

    xGA 0.83

    xGD -0.15

    0:0 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Hradec Králové, Sun 02/08

    The match was drawn and the chance difference was approximately even. The two readings broadly align.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    1.17
    Points minus xPts
    -0.17

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Czech First League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.73

    xGA 2.43

    xGD -1.70

    1:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FK Teplice, Sat 25/07

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.31
    Points minus xPts
    -0.31

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest overperformance

SK Slavia Praha 2:2

· Away xG / xGA 0.81 – 2.74

Goal difference
0
xGD
-1.93
GD minus xGD
+1.93

Among 8 comparable results.

Open match →

Biggest underperformance

SK Sigma Olomouc 0:3

· Away xG / xGA 0.42 – 1.78

Goal difference
-3
xGD
-1.36
GD minus xGD
-1.64

Among 8 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

1 non-result notice

How the model works →