xgEdge

Expected goals

Bohemians Praha 1905 expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Czech First League · after 8 matches · updated 1 Oct

Bohemians Praha 1905's attacking and defensive expected goals in Czech First League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Bohemians Praha 1905 xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.39 xG per match
#6/16
Attack (xG per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 2.38
#2 AC Sparta Praha 1.66
#3 FC Slovan Liberec 1.66
#4 Mladá Boleslav 1.45
#5 Viktoria Plzeň 1.43
#6 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.39
#7 Baník Ostrava 1.34
#8 FK Pardubice 1.34
#9 FK Jablonec 1.32
#10 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.24
#11 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.23
#12 FK Teplice 1.20
#13 SK Líšeň 1.05
#14 FC Hradec Králové 1.03
#15 1. FC Slovácko 0.92
#16 FC Zlín 0.87
League avg
1.34
Total
11.08 8 matches
Defence
1.37 xGA per match
#10/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Slovan Liberec 0.86
#2 FK Jablonec 1.01
#3 SK Slavia Praha 1.02
#4 FC Hradec Králové 1.05
#5 Viktoria Plzeň 1.10
#6 FK Pardubice 1.20
#7 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.21
#8 AC Sparta Praha 1.25
#9 FK Teplice 1.28
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.37
#11 SK Líšeň 1.42
#12 FC Zlín 1.44
#13 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.52
#14 1. FC Slovácko 1.88
#15 Baník Ostrava 1.89
#16 Mladá Boleslav 2.06
League avg
1.34
Total
10.95 8 matches
xG difference
+0.02 xGD per match
#8/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha +1.36
#2 FC Slovan Liberec +0.80
#3 AC Sparta Praha +0.41
#4 Viktoria Plzeň +0.32
#5 FK Jablonec +0.31
#6 FK Pardubice +0.14
#7 SK Sigma Olomouc +0.02
#8 Bohemians Praha 1905 +0.02
#9 FC Hradec Králové -0.02
#10 FK Teplice -0.08
#11 FC Zbrojovka Brno -0.28
#12 SK Líšeň -0.37
#13 Baník Ostrava -0.55
#14 FC Zlín -0.57
#15 Mladá Boleslav -0.62
#16 1. FC Slovácko -0.96
League avg
0.00
Total
+0.13 8 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.31 xPts per match
#10/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 2.11
#2 FC Slovan Liberec 1.90
#3 AC Sparta Praha 1.68
#4 Viktoria Plzeň 1.61
#5 FK Jablonec 1.59
#6 FK Pardubice 1.46
#7 FC Hradec Králové 1.39
#8 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.39
#9 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.33
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.31
#11 FK Teplice 1.30
#12 SK Líšeň 1.11
#13 Mladá Boleslav 1.03
#14 Baník Ostrava 1.02
#15 FC Zlín 0.90
#16 1. FC Slovácko 0.88
League avg
1.38
Total
10.52 vs 9 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 8 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Bohemians Praha 1905's underlying numbers sit close to the Czech First League average. They rank #8 for xG difference at +0.02 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 9 goals are 2.08 below 11.08 xG, while 9 points are 1.52 below 10.52 xPts. After only 8 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.53 xG from penalties
9 11.08 -2.08 scored 2.08 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
11 10.95 +0.05 conceded 0.05 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
9 10.52 -1.52 1.52 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Bohemians Praha 1905 are 2.08 goals below their xG after 8 matches.

Goals
9
xG
11.08
Gap
-2.08
Sat 25/07 Sun 02/08 Sat 08/08 Sat 22/08 Wed 02/09 Sat 05/09 Sat 12/09 Sat 19/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +0.27 -0.41 -0.35 +0.84 +0.09 -0.33 -2.03 -2.08 +0.27 -0.68 +0.06 +1.19 -0.75 -0.42 -1.70 -0.05 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Bohemians Praha 1905: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 25/07 FK Teplice 1 0.73 +0.27 +0.27
Sun 02/08 FC Hradec Králové 0 0.68 -0.68 -0.41
Sat 08/08 FC Zlín 2 1.94 +0.06 -0.35
Sat 22/08 SK Slavia Praha 2 0.81 +1.19 +0.84
Wed 02/09 FK Jablonec 1 1.75 -0.75 +0.09
Sat 05/09 SK Sigma Olomouc 0 0.42 -0.42 -0.33
Sat 12/09 1. FC Slovácko 2 3.70 -1.70 -2.03
Sat 19/09 FK Pardubice 1 1.05 -0.05 -2.08

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

Bohemians Praha 1905 xG trend

Current form +0.05 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 3 of 8 matches. The worst was against SK Slavia Praha on Sat 22/08 (-2.12).

npxG · last 6
1.36
npxGA · last 6
1.31
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 -1.74 Sat 25/07 -0.16 Sun 02/08 +0.37 Sat 08/08 -2.12 Sat 22/08 -0.18 Wed 02/09 -1.36 Sat 05/09 +3.56 Sat 12/09 +0.03 Sat 19/09 -0.20 season avg
Bohemians Praha 1905: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 25/07 FK Teplice 0.73 2.47 -1.74 -1.74
Sun 02/08 FC Hradec Králové 0.68 0.84 -0.16 -0.95
Sat 08/08 FC Zlín 1.21 0.84 +0.37 -0.51
Sat 22/08 SK Slavia Praha 0.81 2.93 -2.12 -0.91
Wed 02/09 FK Jablonec 0.97 1.15 -0.18 -0.77
Sat 05/09 SK Sigma Olomouc 0.42 1.78 -1.36 -0.86
Sat 12/09 1. FC Slovácko 3.80 0.24 +3.56 -0.23
Sat 19/09 FK Pardubice 0.93 0.90 +0.03 -0.20

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.19 npxG and 1.39 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 6 hardest of 16 in Czech First League
+0.01 xG vs league average
Over 8 league matches
Last 5
number 2 hardest of 16 in Czech First League
+0.14 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.01 xG vs league average · over 8 matches · tied number 6 hardest of 16

  1. FK Pardubice Away −0.03
  2. 1. FC Slovácko Home −0.30
  3. SK Sigma Olomouc Away +0.01
  4. FK Jablonec Home +0.21
  5. SK Slavia Praha Away +0.82
  6. FC Zlín Away −0.45
  7. FC Hradec Králové Home −0.08
  8. FK Teplice Away −0.14

Last 5

+0.14 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 2 hardest of 16

  1. FK Pardubice Away −0.03
  2. 1. FC Slovácko Home −0.30
  3. SK Sigma Olomouc Away +0.01
  4. FK Jablonec Home +0.21
  5. SK Slavia Praha Away +0.82

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Bohemians Praha 1905 shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. Bohemians Praha 1905 take 12.6 shots a match (league 13.2) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #8 in Czech First League for volume and #10 for quality. 68% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 19% of their npxG (league 26%).

Attack

Shot volume
12.6 shots per match
#8/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 17.3
#2 AC Sparta Praha 16.6
#3 FC Slovan Liberec 16.2
#4 FK Jablonec 15.7
#5 FK Teplice 14.5
#6 Viktoria Plzeň 14.0
#7 FK Pardubice 13.0
#8 Bohemians Praha 1905 12.6
#9 Baník Ostrava 12.4
=10 FC Hradec Králové 12.0
=10 Mladá Boleslav 12.0
#12 FC Zlín 11.9
#13 FC Zbrojovka Brno 11.8
#14 1. FC Slovácko 11.0
#15 SK Sigma Olomouc 10.8
#16 SK Líšeň 9.8
League avg
13.2
Total
101 shots from 8 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#10/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 SK Slavia Praha 0.13
#2 Mladá Boleslav 0.11
#3 SK Sigma Olomouc 0.11
#4 SK Líšeň 0.11
#5 FC Slovan Liberec 0.11
#6 FK Pardubice 0.10
#7 FC Zbrojovka Brno 0.10
#8 Baník Ostrava 0.10
#9 AC Sparta Praha 0.10
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 0.09
#11 FK Jablonec 0.09
#12 FC Hradec Králové 0.09
#13 Viktoria Plzeň 0.08
#14 1. FC Slovácko 0.08
#15 FK Teplice 0.08
#16 FC Zlín 0.07
League avg
0.10
Total
9.55 npxG from 101 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
13.6 shots per match
#10/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 10.7
#2 FC Slovan Liberec 10.8
#3 AC Sparta Praha 11.6
#4 FK Jablonec 11.7
#5 1. FC Slovácko 12.2
=6 SK Sigma Olomouc 12.4
=6 Viktoria Plzeň 12.4
#8 FC Zbrojovka Brno 13.0
#9 FK Pardubice 13.3
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 13.6
#11 FC Hradec Králové 13.9
#12 FK Teplice 14.6
#13 Baník Ostrava 14.7
#14 FC Zlín 14.9
#15 SK Líšeň 15.0
#16 Mladá Boleslav 17.8
League avg
13.2
Total
109 shots allowed from 8 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#12/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC Slovan Liberec 0.07
#2 FC Hradec Králové 0.08
#3 FK Jablonec 0.08
#4 Viktoria Plzeň 0.08
#5 FK Pardubice 0.09
#6 FC Zlín 0.09
#7 FK Teplice 0.09
#8 SK Líšeň 0.09
#9 SK Sigma Olomouc 0.09
#10 SK Slavia Praha 0.10
#11 AC Sparta Praha 0.10
#12 Bohemians Praha 1905 0.10
#13 Mladá Boleslav 0.11
#14 FC Zbrojovka Brno 0.12
#15 Baník Ostrava 0.13
#16 1. FC Slovácko 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
11.15 npxGA from 109 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

68% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 69 of 101 shots over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

61% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 67 of 109 shots allowed over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

81% open play · 19% set pieces

League avg 26% set pieces

From 1.8 of 9.6 npxG over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

76% open play · 24% set pieces

League avg 26% set pieces

From 2.6 of 11.0 npxG allowed over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Bohemians Praha 1905 home and away xG

Bohemians Praha 1905 per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 3 5
xG / match 2.04 0.99
xGA / match 0.74 1.75
xGD / match +1.30 -0.76
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.99 0.91

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Bohemians Praha 1905 match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
8
xG / match
1.39
xGA / match
1.37
xGD / match
+0.02
Points
9 of 24
  1. Sat 19/09 FK Pardubice A xG 1.05 xGA 0.94 xGD +0.11
  2. Sat 12/09 1. FC Slovácko H Best underlying xG 3.70 xGA 0.24 xGD +3.46
  3. Sat 05/09 SK Sigma Olomouc A xG 0.42 xGA 1.78 xGD -1.36
  4. Wed 02/09 FK Jablonec H xG 1.75 P xGA 1.15 xGD +0.60
  5. Sat 22/08 SK Slavia Praha A Weakest underlying xG 0.81 xGA 2.74 xGD -1.93
  6. Sat 08/08 FC Zlín A xG 1.94 P xGA 0.84 xGD +1.10
  7. Sun 02/08 FC Hradec Králové H xG 0.68 xGA 0.83 xGD -0.15
  8. Sat 25/07 FK Teplice A xG 0.73 xGA 2.43 xGD -1.70

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.70. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Bohemians Praha 1905 in Czech First League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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