xgEdge

Expected goals

FK Teplice expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Czech First League · after 8 matches · updated 1 Oct

FK Teplice's attacking and defensive expected goals in Czech First League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

FK Teplice xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.20 xG per match
#12/16
Attack (xG per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 2.38
#2 AC Sparta Praha 1.66
#3 FC Slovan Liberec 1.66
#4 Mladá Boleslav 1.45
#5 Viktoria Plzeň 1.43
#6 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.39
#7 Baník Ostrava 1.34
#8 FK Pardubice 1.34
#9 FK Jablonec 1.32
#10 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.24
#11 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.23
#12 FK Teplice 1.20
#13 SK Líšeň 1.05
#14 FC Hradec Králové 1.03
#15 1. FC Slovácko 0.92
#16 FC Zlín 0.87
League avg
1.34
Total
9.58 8 matches
Defence
1.28 xGA per match
#9/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Slovan Liberec 0.86
#2 FK Jablonec 1.01
#3 SK Slavia Praha 1.02
#4 FC Hradec Králové 1.05
#5 Viktoria Plzeň 1.10
#6 FK Pardubice 1.20
#7 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.21
#8 AC Sparta Praha 1.25
#9 FK Teplice 1.28
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.37
#11 SK Líšeň 1.42
#12 FC Zlín 1.44
#13 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.52
#14 1. FC Slovácko 1.88
#15 Baník Ostrava 1.89
#16 Mladá Boleslav 2.06
League avg
1.34
Total
10.23 8 matches
xG difference
-0.08 xGD per match
#10/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha +1.36
#2 FC Slovan Liberec +0.80
#3 AC Sparta Praha +0.41
#4 Viktoria Plzeň +0.32
#5 FK Jablonec +0.31
#6 FK Pardubice +0.14
#7 SK Sigma Olomouc +0.02
#8 Bohemians Praha 1905 +0.02
#9 FC Hradec Králové -0.02
#10 FK Teplice -0.08
#11 FC Zbrojovka Brno -0.28
#12 SK Líšeň -0.37
#13 Baník Ostrava -0.55
#14 FC Zlín -0.57
#15 Mladá Boleslav -0.62
#16 1. FC Slovácko -0.96
League avg
0.00
Total
-0.65 8 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.30 xPts per match
#11/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 2.11
#2 FC Slovan Liberec 1.90
#3 AC Sparta Praha 1.68
#4 Viktoria Plzeň 1.61
#5 FK Jablonec 1.59
#6 FK Pardubice 1.46
#7 FC Hradec Králové 1.39
#8 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.39
#9 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.33
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.31
#11 FK Teplice 1.30
#12 SK Líšeň 1.11
#13 Mladá Boleslav 1.03
#14 Baník Ostrava 1.02
#15 FC Zlín 0.90
#16 1. FC Slovácko 0.88
League avg
1.38
Total
10.40 vs 16 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 8 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

Expected goals here are summed over 8 of 9 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

FK Teplice's underlying numbers sit close to the Czech First League average. They rank #10 for xG difference at -0.08 per match, from about average shot volume at low chance quality. Their 15 goals are 5.42 above 9.58 xG, while 13 points are 2.60 above 10.40 xPts — both over the 8 matches with xG. After only 8 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
15 9.58 +5.42 scored 5.42 more than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
15 10.23 +4.77 conceded 4.77 more than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
13 10.40 +2.60 2.60 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

FK Teplice are 5.42 goals above their xG after 8 matches. The gap was widest at +6.42, against FC Zlín on Sun 06/09.

Goals
15
xG
9.58
Gap
+5.42
Sat 25/07 Sat 01/08 Sat 08/08 Sat 15/08 Sun 23/08 Sun 30/08 Sun 06/09 Sun 13/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +0.57 +0.67 +4.20 +4.38 +3.56 +4.77 +6.42 +5.42 +0.57 +0.10 +3.53 +0.18 -0.82 +1.21 +1.65 -1.00 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
FK Teplice: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 25/07 Bohemians Praha 1905 3 2.43 +0.57 +0.57
Sat 01/08 FC Slovan Liberec 1 0.90 +0.10 +0.67
Sat 08/08 Viktoria Plzeň 5 1.47 +3.53 +4.20
Sat 15/08 AC Sparta Praha 1 0.82 +0.18 +4.38
Sun 23/08 FC Zbrojovka Brno 0 0.82 -0.82 +3.56
Sun 30/08 FK Jablonec 2 0.79 +1.21 +4.77
Sun 06/09 FC Zlín 3 1.35 +1.65 +6.42
Sun 13/09 SK Slavia Praha 0 1.00 -1.00 +5.42

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

FK Teplice xG trend

Current form -0.41 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 4 of 8 matches. The worst was against AC Sparta Praha on Sat 15/08 (-1.20).

npxG · last 6
1.05
npxGA · last 6
1.46
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +1.74 Sat 25/07 +0.02 Sat 01/08 -1.02 Sat 08/08 -1.20 Sat 15/08 +0.14 Sun 23/08 -0.36 Sun 30/08 +0.40 Sun 06/09 -0.39 Sun 13/09 -0.08 season avg
FK Teplice: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 25/07 Bohemians Praha 1905 2.47 0.73 +1.74 +1.74
Sat 01/08 FC Slovan Liberec 0.90 0.88 +0.02 +0.88
Sat 08/08 Viktoria Plzeň 1.47 2.49 -1.02 +0.25
Sat 15/08 AC Sparta Praha 0.86 2.06 -1.20 -0.12
Sun 23/08 FC Zbrojovka Brno 0.83 0.69 +0.14 -0.06
Sun 30/08 FK Jablonec 0.79 1.15 -0.36 -0.11
Sun 06/09 FC Zlín 1.36 0.96 +0.40 -0.04
Sun 13/09 SK Slavia Praha 1.00 1.39 -0.39 -0.08

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.21 npxG and 1.29 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 1 hardest of 16 in Czech First League
+0.16 xG vs league average
Over 9 league matches
Last 5
number 6 hardest of 16 in Czech First League
+0.08 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.16 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · number 1 hardest of 16

  1. FC Hradec Králové Away −0.08
  2. SK Slavia Praha Home +0.82
  3. FC Zlín Away −0.45
  4. FK Jablonec Home +0.21
  5. FC Zbrojovka Brno Home −0.12
  6. AC Sparta Praha Away +0.37
  7. Viktoria Plzeň Home +0.36
  8. FC Slovan Liberec Away +0.30
  9. Bohemians Praha 1905 Home 0.00

Last 5

+0.08 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 6 hardest of 16

  1. FC Hradec Králové Away −0.08
  2. SK Slavia Praha Home +0.82
  3. FC Zlín Away −0.45
  4. FK Jablonec Home +0.21
  5. FC Zbrojovka Brno Home −0.12

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

FK Teplice shots and chance quality

Average volume, low quality. FK Teplice take 14.5 shots a match (league 13.2) at 0.08 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #5 in Czech First League for volume and #15 for quality. 56% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 20% of their npxG (league 26%).

Attack

Shot volume
14.5 shots per match
#5/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 17.3
#2 AC Sparta Praha 16.6
#3 FC Slovan Liberec 16.2
#4 FK Jablonec 15.7
#5 FK Teplice 14.5
#6 Viktoria Plzeň 14.0
#7 FK Pardubice 13.0
#8 Bohemians Praha 1905 12.6
#9 Baník Ostrava 12.4
=10 FC Hradec Králové 12.0
=10 Mladá Boleslav 12.0
#12 FC Zlín 11.9
#13 FC Zbrojovka Brno 11.8
#14 1. FC Slovácko 11.0
#15 SK Sigma Olomouc 10.8
#16 SK Líšeň 9.8
League avg
13.2
Total
116 shots from 8 matches
Chance quality
0.08 npxG per shot
#15/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 SK Slavia Praha 0.13
#2 Mladá Boleslav 0.11
#3 SK Sigma Olomouc 0.11
#4 SK Líšeň 0.11
#5 FC Slovan Liberec 0.11
#6 FK Pardubice 0.10
#7 FC Zbrojovka Brno 0.10
#8 Baník Ostrava 0.10
#9 AC Sparta Praha 0.10
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 0.09
#11 FK Jablonec 0.09
#12 FC Hradec Králové 0.09
#13 Viktoria Plzeň 0.08
#14 1. FC Slovácko 0.08
#15 FK Teplice 0.08
#16 FC Zlín 0.07
League avg
0.10
Total
9.68 npxG from 116 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
14.6 shots per match
#12/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 10.7
#2 FC Slovan Liberec 10.8
#3 AC Sparta Praha 11.6
#4 FK Jablonec 11.7
#5 1. FC Slovácko 12.2
=6 SK Sigma Olomouc 12.4
=6 Viktoria Plzeň 12.4
#8 FC Zbrojovka Brno 13.0
#9 FK Pardubice 13.3
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 13.6
#11 FC Hradec Králové 13.9
#12 FK Teplice 14.6
#13 Baník Ostrava 14.7
#14 FC Zlín 14.9
#15 SK Líšeň 15.0
#16 Mladá Boleslav 17.8
League avg
13.2
Total
117 shots allowed from 8 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.09 npxGA per shot
#7/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC Slovan Liberec 0.07
#2 FC Hradec Králové 0.08
#3 FK Jablonec 0.08
#4 Viktoria Plzeň 0.08
#5 FK Pardubice 0.09
#6 FC Zlín 0.09
#7 FK Teplice 0.09
#8 SK Líšeň 0.09
#9 SK Sigma Olomouc 0.09
#10 SK Slavia Praha 0.10
#11 AC Sparta Praha 0.10
#12 Bohemians Praha 1905 0.10
#13 Mladá Boleslav 0.11
#14 FC Zbrojovka Brno 0.12
#15 Baník Ostrava 0.13
#16 1. FC Slovácko 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
10.35 npxGA from 117 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

56% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 65 of 116 shots over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

66% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 77 of 117 shots allowed over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

80% open play · 20% set pieces

League avg 26% set pieces

From 2.0 of 9.6 npxG over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

69% open play · 31% set pieces

League avg 26% set pieces

From 3.2 of 10.2 npxG allowed over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

FK Teplice home and away xG

FK Teplice per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 5 4 3 with xG
xG / match 1.30 1.02
xGA / match 1.25 1.32
xGD / match +0.05 -0.30
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.38 1.16

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every FK Teplice match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
9 8 with xG
xG / match
1.20
xGA / match
1.28
xGD / match
-0.08
Points
16 of 27
  1. Sun 20/09 FC Hradec Králové A
  2. Sun 13/09 SK Slavia Praha H xG 1.00 xGA 1.21 xGD -0.21
  3. Sun 06/09 FC Zlín A xG 1.35 xGA 0.96 xGD +0.39
  4. Sun 30/08 FK Jablonec H xG 0.79 xGA 1.15 xGD -0.36
  5. Sun 23/08 FC Zbrojovka Brno H xG 0.82 xGA 0.69 xGD +0.13
  6. Sat 15/08 AC Sparta Praha A Weakest underlying xG 0.82 xGA 2.12 xGD -1.30
  7. Sat 08/08 Viktoria Plzeň H xG 1.47 xGA 2.49 xGD -1.02
  8. Sat 01/08 FC Slovan Liberec A xG 0.90 xGA 0.88 xGD +0.02
  9. Sat 25/07 Bohemians Praha 1905 H Best underlying xG 2.43 xGA 0.73 xGD +1.70

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

FK Teplice in Czech First League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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