xgEdge

SK Líšeň's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 9 of 9 matching results

9 played this season

Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
1 win, 2 draws, 6 losses

5 pts 7–18 goals −11 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
9.45 – 12.80
1.05 – 1.42 per match
xGD
-3.35
-0.37 per match
xG record
2 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 6 against them

Comparable xG: 9 of 9 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

5 pts 10.0 xPts

−5.0 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 9 of 9 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · All competitions · All venues

SK Líšeň's poor return follows chances that have gone against them at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 3 of 9 matches, for −3.35 xG difference overall on 9.45–12.80. Their points total of 5 sits 5.0 below the model's 10.0 xPts, so the chances have clearly outrun the results. The win against FK Pardubice came with −1.01 xGD.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 9 results SK Líšeň are 5.01 points below their xPts. The gap was widest at -5.40, against AC Sparta Praha on Sat 22/08.

Points
5
xPts
10.01
Gap
-5.01
Mon 27/07 Sat 01/08 Sun 09/08 Sun 16/08 Sat 22/08 Sat 29/08 Sat 05/09 Sat 12/09 Sat 19/09 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.97 -2.12 -3.98 -4.48 -5.40 -3.01 -3.39 -4.52 -5.01 -0.97 -1.15 -1.86 -0.50 -0.92 +2.39 -0.38 -1.13 -0.49 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
SK Líšeň: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Mon 27/07 Mladá Boleslav 0 0.97 -0.97 -0.97
Sat 01/08 1. FC Slovácko 1 2.15 -1.15 -2.12
Sun 09/08 SK Sigma Olomouc 0 1.86 -1.86 -3.98
Sun 16/08 Baník Ostrava 0 0.50 -0.50 -4.48
Sat 22/08 AC Sparta Praha 0 0.92 -0.92 -5.40
Sat 29/08 FK Pardubice 3 0.61 +2.39 -3.01
Sat 05/09 Viktoria Plzeň 0 0.38 -0.38 -3.39
Sat 12/09 FC Zbrojovka Brno 0 1.13 -1.13 -4.52
Sat 19/09 FC Slovan Liberec 1 1.49 -0.49 -5.01

Scores and xG

SK Líšeň first

  • Home Czech First League Draw with even chances

    xG 0.66

    xGA 0.46

    xGD +0.20

    0:0 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Slovan Liberec, Sat 19/09

    The match was drawn and the chance difference was approximately even. The two readings broadly align.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    1.49
    Points minus xPts
    -0.49

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Czech First League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.04

    xGA 1.29

    xGD -0.25

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Zbrojovka Brno, Sat 12/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.13
    Points minus xPts
    -1.13

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Czech First League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.44

    xGA 1.70

    xGD -1.26

    0:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Viktoria Plzeň, Sat 05/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.38
    Points minus xPts
    -0.38

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Czech First League Win against the chances

    xG 0.80

    xGA 1.81

    xGD -1.01

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FK Pardubice, Sat 29/08

    The team won despite recording less xG than its opponent. That contrast does not make the win impossible or establish why it happened.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    0.60
    Points minus xPts
    +2.40

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Czech First League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.21

    xGA 1.78

    xGD -0.57

    0:4 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · AC Sparta Praha, Sat 22/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.93
    Points minus xPts
    -0.93

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Czech First League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.91

    xGA 2.23

    xGD -1.32

    0:1 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Baník Ostrava, Sun 16/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.50
    Points minus xPts
    -0.50

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Czech First League Loss against the chances

    xG 1.40

    xGA 0.83

    xGD +0.57

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SK Sigma Olomouc, Sun 09/08

    The team lost despite recording a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.85
    Points minus xPts
    -1.85

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Czech First League Draw against the chances

    xG 1.42

    xGA 0.53

    xGD +0.89

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · 1. FC Slovácko, Sat 01/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    2.15
    Points minus xPts
    -1.15

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Czech First League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.57

    xGA 2.17

    xGD -0.60

    2:4 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Mladá Boleslav, Mon 27/07

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.97
    Points minus xPts
    -0.97

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest overperformance

FK Pardubice 2:1

· Away xG / xGA 0.80 – 1.81

Goal difference
+1
xGD
-1.01
GD minus xGD
+2.01

Among 9 comparable results.

Open match →

Biggest underperformance

AC Sparta Praha 0:4

· Home xG / xGA 1.21 – 1.78

Goal difference
-4
xGD
-0.57
GD minus xGD
-3.43

Among 9 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →