xgEdge

Viktoria Plzeň's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 4 of 4 matching results

9 played this season

4 available results · Last 10 requested

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss

5 pts 9–7 goals +2 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
5.22 – 4.71
1.31 – 1.18 per match
xGD
+0.51
+0.13 per match
xG record
2 with the chances, 0 with even chances, 2 against them

Small sample: 4 matches.

Comparable xG: 4 of 4 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

5 pts 5.6 xPts

−0.6 vs xPts

Small sample: 4 matches.

Matched xPts: 4 of 4 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Last 10 · All competitions · Away

Viktoria Plzeň's mixed record matches the chances at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 2 of 4 matches, for +0.51 xG difference overall on 5.22–4.71. Their points total of 5 sits 0.6 below the model's 5.6 xPts, so the chances have slightly outrun the results.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 4 results Viktoria Plzeň are 0.62 points below their xPts. The gap was widest at -1.06, against FK Teplice on Sat 08/08.

Points
5
xPts
5.62
Gap
-0.62
Sat 08/08 Sat 05/09 Wed 09/09 Sun 20/09 -2 -1 0 +1 -1.06 -0.48 -0.04 -0.62 -1.06 +0.58 +0.44 -0.58 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Viktoria Plzeň: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sat 08/08 FK Teplice 1 2.06 -1.06 -1.06
Sat 05/09 SK Líšeň 3 2.42 +0.58 -0.48
Wed 09/09 FC Hradec Králové 1 0.56 +0.44 -0.04
Sun 20/09 SK Slavia Praha 0 0.58 -0.58 -0.62

Scores and xG

Viktoria Plzeň first

  • Away Czech First League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.82

    xGA 1.88

    xGD -1.06

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SK Slavia Praha, Sun 20/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.58
    Points minus xPts
    -0.58

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Czech First League Draw against the chances

    xG 0.21

    xGA 0.92

    xGD -0.71

    0:0 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Hradec Králové, Wed 09/09

    The match was drawn although the team recorded less xG. The outcome was stronger than that chance difference suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    0.57
    Points minus xPts
    +0.43

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Czech First League Win backed by the chances

    xG 1.70

    xGA 0.44

    xGD +1.26

    3:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SK Líšeň, Sat 05/09

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.41
    Points minus xPts
    +0.59

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Czech First League Draw against the chances

    xG 2.49

    xGA 1.47

    xGD +1.02

    5:5 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FK Teplice, Sat 08/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    2.06
    Points minus xPts
    -1.06

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

1 non-result notice · View in Season →

How the model works →