xgEdge

Expected goals

Górnik Zabrze expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Ekstraklasa · after 9 matches · updated 1 Oct

Górnik Zabrze's attacking and defensive expected goals in Ekstraklasa 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Górnik Zabrze xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.58 xG per match
#5/18
Attack (xG per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Lech Poznań 2.07
#2 Wisła Kraków 1.99
#3 GKS Katowice 1.77
#4 Legia Warszawa 1.71
#5 Górnik Zabrze 1.58
#6 Widzew Łódź 1.57
#7 Wieczysta Kraków 1.57
#8 Cracovia 1.53
#9 Wisła Płock 1.52
#10 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.50
#11 Pogoń Szczecin 1.48
#12 Raków Częstochowa 1.42
#13 Radomiak Radom 1.41
#14 MKS Korona Kielce 1.40
#15 Śląsk Wrocław 1.40
#16 Motor Lublin 1.39
#17 Zagłębie Lubin 1.35
#18 Piast Gliwice 1.22
League avg
1.54
Total
14.21 9 matches
Defence
1.05 xGA per match
#2/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Lech Poznań 0.89
#2 Górnik Zabrze 1.05
#3 Wisła Kraków 1.10
#4 Zagłębie Lubin 1.22
#5 Legia Warszawa 1.27
#6 Pogoń Szczecin 1.38
#7 Cracovia 1.43
#8 MKS Korona Kielce 1.48
#9 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.52
#10 Motor Lublin 1.53
#11 Wieczysta Kraków 1.60
#12 Wisła Płock 1.63
#13 Widzew Łódź 1.67
#14 Śląsk Wrocław 1.73
#15 Piast Gliwice 1.87
#16 GKS Katowice 2.00
#17 Radomiak Radom 2.05
#18 Raków Częstochowa 2.36
League avg
1.54
Total
9.43 9 matches
xG difference
+0.53 xGD per match
#3/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Lech Poznań +1.18
#2 Wisła Kraków +0.89
#3 Górnik Zabrze +0.53
#4 Legia Warszawa +0.43
#5 Zagłębie Lubin +0.13
#6 Cracovia +0.10
#7 Pogoń Szczecin +0.10
#8 Jagiellonia Białystok -0.03
#9 Wieczysta Kraków -0.04
#10 MKS Korona Kielce -0.07
#11 Widzew Łódź -0.10
#12 Wisła Płock -0.11
#13 Motor Lublin -0.14
#14 GKS Katowice -0.23
#15 Śląsk Wrocław -0.34
#16 Radomiak Radom -0.64
#17 Piast Gliwice -0.65
#18 Raków Częstochowa -0.94
League avg
0.00
Total
+4.78 9 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.79 xPts per match
#3/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Lech Poznań 2.07
#2 Wisła Kraków 1.97
#3 Górnik Zabrze 1.79
#4 Legia Warszawa 1.66
#5 Pogoń Szczecin 1.48
#6 Zagłębie Lubin 1.47
#7 Cracovia 1.42
#8 Wieczysta Kraków 1.33
#9 GKS Katowice 1.30
#10 Wisła Płock 1.30
#11 Widzew Łódź 1.29
#12 MKS Korona Kielce 1.27
#13 Motor Lublin 1.26
#14 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.23
#15 Śląsk Wrocław 1.20
#16 Radomiak Radom 0.99
#17 Piast Gliwice 0.96
#18 Raków Częstochowa 0.93
League avg
1.38
Total
16.10 vs 22 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Górnik Zabrze's underlying numbers are among the best in Ekstraklasa. They rank #3 for xG difference at +0.53 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 16 goals are 1.79 above 14.21 xG, while 22 points are 5.90 above 16.10 xPts. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 2.14 xG from penalties
16 14.21 +1.79 scored 1.79 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
8 9.43 -1.43 conceded 1.43 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
22 16.10 +5.90 5.90 points above xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Górnik Zabrze are 1.79 goals above their xG after 9 matches. The gap was widest at +3.45, against Wisła Kraków on Sun 16/08.

Goals
16
xG
14.21
Gap
+1.79
Sat 25/07 Sat 08/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 30/08 Thu 03/09 Sun 06/09 Sat 12/09 Tue 15/09 Sat 19/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +1.33 +2.05 +3.45 +2.95 +2.73 +2.29 +2.76 +2.99 +1.79 +1.33 +0.72 +1.40 -0.50 -0.22 -0.44 +0.47 +0.23 -1.20 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Górnik Zabrze: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 25/07 Śląsk Wrocław 2 0.67 +1.33 +1.33
Sat 08/08 Radomiak Radom 3 2.28 +0.72 +2.05
Sun 16/08 Wisła Kraków 2 0.60 +1.40 +3.45
Sun 30/08 GKS Katowice 2 2.50 -0.50 +2.95
Thu 03/09 Raków Częstochowa 2 2.22 -0.22 +2.73
Sun 06/09 Cracovia 1 1.44 -0.44 +2.29
Sat 12/09 Lech Poznań 2 1.53 +0.47 +2.76
Tue 15/09 MKS Korona Kielce 2 1.77 +0.23 +2.99
Sat 19/09 Motor Lublin 0 1.20 -1.20 +1.79

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

Górnik Zabrze xG trend

Current form +0.86 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 7 of 9 matches. The worst was against Wisła Kraków on Sun 16/08 (-1.09).

npxG · last 6
1.54
npxGA · last 6
0.68
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.78 Sat 25/07 +0.26 Sat 08/08 -1.09 Sun 16/08 +0.12 Sun 30/08 +1.45 Thu 03/09 +0.20 Sun 06/09 +1.03 Sat 12/09 +1.68 Tue 15/09 +0.68 Sat 19/09 +0.39 season avg
Górnik Zabrze: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 25/07 Śląsk Wrocław 0.76 1.54 -0.78 -0.78
Sat 08/08 Radomiak Radom 1.49 1.23 +0.26 -0.26
Sun 16/08 Wisła Kraków 0.60 1.69 -1.09 -0.54
Sun 30/08 GKS Katowice 1.74 1.62 +0.12 -0.37
Thu 03/09 Raków Częstochowa 2.31 0.86 +1.45 -0.01
Sun 06/09 Cracovia 0.67 0.47 +0.20 +0.03
Sat 12/09 Lech Poznań 1.53 0.50 +1.03 +0.17
Tue 15/09 MKS Korona Kielce 1.77 0.09 +1.68 +0.36
Sat 19/09 Motor Lublin 1.20 0.52 +0.68 +0.39

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.34 npxG and 0.95 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 9 hardest of 18 in Ekstraklasa
+0.01 xG vs league average
Over 9 league matches
Last 5
number 4 hardest of 18 in Ekstraklasa
+0.06 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.01 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · number 9 hardest of 18

  1. Motor Lublin Away −0.15
  2. MKS Korona Kielce Away −0.13
  3. Lech Poznań Home +0.65
  4. Cracovia Away +0.15
  5. Raków Częstochowa Away −0.23
  6. GKS Katowice Home −0.04
  7. Wisła Kraków Home +0.40
  8. Radomiak Radom Away −0.29
  9. Śląsk Wrocław Home −0.29

Last 5

+0.06 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 4 hardest of 18

  1. Motor Lublin Away −0.15
  2. MKS Korona Kielce Away −0.13
  3. Lech Poznań Home +0.65
  4. Cracovia Away +0.15
  5. Raków Częstochowa Away −0.23

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Górnik Zabrze shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. Górnik Zabrze take 13.4 shots a match (league 14.9) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #15 in Ekstraklasa for volume and #8 for quality. 60% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 29% of their npxG (league 27%).

Attack

Shot volume
13.4 shots per match
#15/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Wisła Kraków 19.1
#2 Lech Poznań 18.9
#3 GKS Katowice 16.8
#4 Legia Warszawa 15.4
#5 Widzew Łódź 15.3
=6 Cracovia 15.1
=6 Raków Częstochowa 15.1
#8 Wisła Płock 14.9
=9 Motor Lublin 14.7
=9 Radomiak Radom 14.7
#11 Wieczysta Kraków 14.5
#12 Piast Gliwice 14.0
#13 MKS Korona Kielce 13.7
#14 Pogoń Szczecin 13.5
#15 Górnik Zabrze 13.4
#16 Jagiellonia Białystok 13.4
#17 Zagłębie Lubin 13.3
#18 Śląsk Wrocław 12.0
League avg
14.9
Total
121 shots from 9 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#8/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Lech Poznań 0.11
#2 Pogoń Szczecin 0.11
#3 Wisła Płock 0.11
#4 Śląsk Wrocław 0.10
#5 Legia Warszawa 0.10
#6 Wieczysta Kraków 0.10
#7 Zagłębie Lubin 0.10
#8 Górnik Zabrze 0.10
#9 Widzew Łódź 0.10
#10 Cracovia 0.10
#11 Motor Lublin 0.10
#12 Wisła Kraków 0.10
#13 GKS Katowice 0.09
#14 MKS Korona Kielce 0.09
#15 Jagiellonia Białystok 0.09
#16 Radomiak Radom 0.08
#17 Raków Częstochowa 0.08
#18 Piast Gliwice 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
12.07 npxG from 121 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
11.4 shots per match
#2/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Lech Poznań 11.1
#2 Górnik Zabrze 11.4
#3 Wisła Kraków 12.0
#4 Legia Warszawa 12.7
#5 Motor Lublin 13.9
#6 MKS Korona Kielce 14.0
#7 Wisła Płock 14.4
#8 Widzew Łódź 14.9
#9 Cracovia 15.1
#10 Raków Częstochowa 15.3
#11 Zagłębie Lubin 15.8
=12 Jagiellonia Białystok 16.1
=12 Pogoń Szczecin 16.1
#14 Śląsk Wrocław 16.2
#15 GKS Katowice 16.9
#16 Wieczysta Kraków 17.0
#17 Piast Gliwice 17.2
#18 Radomiak Radom 17.6
League avg
14.9
Total
103 shots allowed from 9 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.08 npxGA per shot
#5/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Zagłębie Lubin 0.06
#2 Cracovia 0.07
#3 Lech Poznań 0.08
#4 Jagiellonia Białystok 0.08
#5 Górnik Zabrze 0.08
#6 Wisła Kraków 0.09
#7 Pogoń Szczecin 0.09
#8 Legia Warszawa 0.09
#9 Wieczysta Kraków 0.10
#10 Wisła Płock 0.10
#11 Motor Lublin 0.10
#12 Piast Gliwice 0.10
#13 MKS Korona Kielce 0.10
#14 GKS Katowice 0.11
#15 Radomiak Radom 0.11
#16 Śląsk Wrocław 0.11
#17 Widzew Łódź 0.12
#18 Raków Częstochowa 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
8.52 npxGA from 103 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

60% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 72 of 121 shots over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

63% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 65 of 104 shots allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

71% open play · 29% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 3.5 of 12.0 npxG over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

78% open play · 22% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 1.9 of 8.5 npxG allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Górnik Zabrze home and away xG

Górnik Zabrze per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 5
xG / match 1.33 1.78
xGA / match 1.32 0.83
xGD / match +0.00 +0.95
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.35 2.14

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Górnik Zabrze match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
9
xG / match
1.58
xGA / match
1.05
xGD / match
+0.53
Points
22 of 27
  1. Sat 19/09 Motor Lublin A xG 1.20 xGA 0.52 xGD +0.68
  2. Tue 15/09 MKS Korona Kielce A Best underlying xG 1.77 xGA 0.09 xGD +1.68
  3. Sat 12/09 Lech Poznań H xG 1.53 xGA 0.50 xGD +1.03
  4. Sun 06/09 Cracovia A xG 1.44 P xGA 0.45 xGD +0.99
  5. Thu 03/09 Raków Częstochowa A xG 2.22 xGA 0.84 xGD +1.38
  6. Sun 30/08 GKS Katowice H xG 2.50 P xGA 1.56 xGD +0.94
  7. Sun 16/08 Wisła Kraków H Against the chances xG 0.60 xGA 1.69 xGD -1.09
  8. Sat 08/08 Radomiak Radom A xG 2.28 P xGA 2.24 P xGD +0.04
  9. Sat 25/07 Śląsk Wrocław H xG 0.67 xGA 1.54 xGD -0.87

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Górnik Zabrze in Ekstraklasa

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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