xgEdge

Expected goals

Aalesunds FK expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Eliteserien · after 21 matches · updated 1 Oct

Aalesunds FK's attacking and defensive expected goals in Eliteserien 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Aalesunds FK xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.40 xG per match
#10/16
Attack (xG per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 2.31
#2 Viking FK 2.09
#3 Molde FK 1.83
#4 Tromsø IL 1.60
#5 SK Brann 1.58
#6 Rosenborg BK 1.56
#7 Lillestrøm SK 1.56
#8 Vålerenga IF 1.55
#9 Sarpsborg 08 1.51
#10 Aalesunds FK 1.40
#11 IK Start 1.36
#12 Fredrikstad FK 1.20
#13 Sandefjord Fotball 1.18
#14 HamKam 1.14
#15 KFUM Oslo 1.09
#16 Kristiansund BK 0.97
League avg
1.50
Total
29.35 21 matches
Defence
1.98 xGA per match
#16/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 0.90
#2 Viking FK 1.16
#3 Molde FK 1.17
#4 Tromsø IL 1.23
#5 Sarpsborg 08 1.40
#6 Rosenborg BK 1.42
#7 Lillestrøm SK 1.46
#8 SK Brann 1.53
#9 Sandefjord Fotball 1.59
#10 IK Start 1.61
#11 Vålerenga IF 1.63
#12 HamKam 1.66
#13 Fredrikstad FK 1.67
#14 Kristiansund BK 1.72
#15 KFUM Oslo 1.78
#16 Aalesunds FK 1.98
League avg
1.50
Total
41.52 21 matches
xG difference
-0.58 xGD per match
#14/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt +1.41
#2 Viking FK +0.93
#3 Molde FK +0.66
#4 Tromsø IL +0.37
#5 Rosenborg BK +0.14
#6 Sarpsborg 08 +0.11
#7 Lillestrøm SK +0.10
#8 SK Brann +0.05
#9 Vålerenga IF -0.08
#10 IK Start -0.25
#11 Sandefjord Fotball -0.41
#12 Fredrikstad FK -0.47
#13 HamKam -0.52
#14 Aalesunds FK -0.58
#15 KFUM Oslo -0.69
#16 Kristiansund BK -0.75
League avg
0.00
Total
-12.17 21 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.04 xPts per match
#14/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 2.24
#2 Viking FK 1.97
#3 Molde FK 1.80
#4 Tromsø IL 1.68
#5 Rosenborg BK 1.52
#6 Lillestrøm SK 1.46
#7 Sarpsborg 08 1.45
#8 SK Brann 1.40
#9 Vålerenga IF 1.33
#10 IK Start 1.19
#11 Fredrikstad FK 1.10
#12 Sandefjord Fotball 1.09
#13 HamKam 1.05
#14 Aalesunds FK 1.04
#15 Kristiansund BK 0.95
#16 KFUM Oslo 0.94
League avg
1.39
Total
21.84 vs 21 actual pts

What the xG says

Aalesunds FK's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Eliteserien. They rank #14 for xG difference at -0.58 per match, built on high shot volume rather than low chance quality. Their 33 goals are 3.65 above 29.35 xG, while 21 points are 0.84 below 21.84 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.11 xG from penalties
33 29.35 +3.65 scored 3.65 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
46 41.52 +4.48 conceded 4.48 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
21 21.84 -0.84 0.84 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Aalesunds FK are 3.65 goals above their xG after 21 matches. The gap was widest at +3.69, against Viking FK on Sun 30/08.

Goals
33
xG
29.35
Gap
+3.65
Sun 15/03 Sat 21/03 Tue 07/04 Sun 12/04 Sat 18/04 Sun 26/04 Sun 03/05 Sat 16/05 Wed 20/05 Mon 25/05 Fri 29/05 Sat 11/07 Thu 16/07 Sun 26/07 Sun 02/08 Sun 09/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 30/08 Fri 04/09 Sun 13/09 Sat 19/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +0.06 +0.10 +1.10 +1.79 +1.18 +0.71 -0.22 +1.73 +1.36 +1.46 +1.06 +2.45 +1.94 +0.96 +0.27 +0.64 +3.56 +3.69 +3.27 +2.70 +3.65 +0.06 +0.04 +1.00 +0.69 -0.61 -0.47 -0.93 +1.95 -0.37 +0.10 -0.40 +1.39 -0.51 -0.98 -0.69 +0.37 +2.92 +0.13 -0.42 -0.57 +0.95 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Aalesunds FK: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 15/03 Lillestrøm SK 1 0.94 +0.06 +0.06
Sat 21/03 IK Start 1 0.96 +0.04 +0.10
Tue 07/04 Fredrikstad FK 2 1.00 +1.00 +1.10
Sun 12/04 KFUM Oslo 2 1.31 +0.69 +1.79
Sat 18/04 Bodø/Glimt 0 0.61 -0.61 +1.18
Sun 26/04 Kristiansund BK 1 1.47 -0.47 +0.71
Sun 03/05 Sandefjord Fotball 0 0.93 -0.93 -0.22
Sat 16/05 Rosenborg BK 3 1.05 +1.95 +1.73
Wed 20/05 SK Brann 2 2.37 -0.37 +1.36
Mon 25/05 Tromsø IL 1 0.90 +0.10 +1.46
Fri 29/05 HamKam 2 2.40 -0.40 +1.06
Sat 11/07 Molde FK 2 0.61 +1.39 +2.45
Thu 16/07 Vålerenga IF 1 1.51 -0.51 +1.94
Sun 26/07 Viking FK 1 1.98 -0.98 +0.96
Sun 02/08 Tromsø IL 2 2.69 -0.69 +0.27
Sun 09/08 HamKam 1 0.63 +0.37 +0.64
Sun 16/08 Vålerenga IF 5 2.08 +2.92 +3.56
Sun 30/08 Viking FK 1 0.87 +0.13 +3.69
Fri 04/09 IK Start 2 2.42 -0.42 +3.27
Sun 13/09 KFUM Oslo 1 1.57 -0.57 +2.70
Sat 19/09 Molde FK 2 1.05 +0.95 +3.65

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

Aalesunds FK xG trend

Current form -0.41 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 7 of 21 matches. The worst was against Bodø/Glimt on Sat 18/04 (-3.10).

npxG · last 6
1.30
npxGA · last 6
1.71
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -1.29 Sun 15/03 -1.16 Sat 21/03 +0.39 Tue 07/04 -1.13 Sun 12/04 -3.10 Sat 18/04 +0.37 Sun 26/04 -1.67 Sun 03/05 -0.08 Sat 16/05 +1.28 Wed 20/05 -0.71 Mon 25/05 +0.39 Fri 29/05 -1.52 Sat 11/07 -0.67 Thu 16/07 -0.10 Sun 26/07 +0.66 Sun 02/08 -1.20 Sun 09/08 -1.02 Sun 16/08 -1.55 Sun 30/08 +0.73 Fri 04/09 +0.74 Sun 13/09 -0.17 Sat 19/09 -0.51 season avg
Aalesunds FK: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 15/03 Lillestrøm SK 0.94 2.23 -1.29 -1.29
Sat 21/03 IK Start 0.96 2.12 -1.16 -1.22
Tue 07/04 Fredrikstad FK 1.01 0.62 +0.39 -0.69
Sun 12/04 KFUM Oslo 1.31 2.44 -1.13 -0.80
Sat 18/04 Bodø/Glimt 0.67 3.77 -3.10 -1.26
Sun 26/04 Kristiansund BK 1.64 1.27 +0.37 -0.99
Sun 03/05 Sandefjord Fotball 0.92 2.59 -1.67 -1.08
Sat 16/05 Rosenborg BK 1.05 1.13 -0.08 -0.96
Wed 20/05 SK Brann 2.37 1.09 +1.28 -0.71
Mon 25/05 Tromsø IL 0.90 1.61 -0.71 -0.71
Fri 29/05 HamKam 2.51 2.12 +0.39 -0.61
Sat 11/07 Molde FK 0.47 1.99 -1.52 -0.69
Thu 16/07 Vålerenga IF 1.51 2.18 -0.67 -0.68
Sun 26/07 Viking FK 1.60 1.70 -0.10 -0.64
Sun 02/08 Tromsø IL 2.61 1.95 +0.66 -0.56
Sun 09/08 HamKam 0.63 1.83 -1.20 -0.60
Sun 16/08 Vålerenga IF 1.32 2.34 -1.02 -0.62
Sun 30/08 Viking FK 0.87 2.42 -1.55 -0.67
Fri 04/09 IK Start 2.47 1.74 +0.73 -0.60
Sun 13/09 KFUM Oslo 1.43 0.69 +0.74 -0.53
Sat 19/09 Molde FK 1.05 1.22 -0.17 -0.51

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.34 npxG and 1.86 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 10 hardest of 16 in Eliteserien
0.00 xG vs league average
Over 21 league matches
Last 5
tied number 3 hardest of 16 in Eliteserien
+0.07 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

0.00 xG vs league average · over 21 matches · tied number 10 hardest of 16

  1. Molde FK Away +0.35
  2. KFUM Oslo Away −0.52
  3. IK Start Home +0.04
  4. Viking FK Away +0.35
  5. Vålerenga IF Home +0.11
  6. HamKam Away −0.51
  7. Tromsø IL Home +0.08
  8. Viking FK Home +0.35
  9. Vålerenga IF Away +0.11
  10. Molde FK Home +0.35
  11. HamKam Home −0.51
  12. Tromsø IL Away +0.08
  13. SK Brann Home 0.00
  14. Rosenborg BK Away +0.14
  15. Sandefjord Fotball Away −0.13
  16. Kristiansund BK Home −0.36
  17. Bodø/Glimt Away +0.79
  18. KFUM Oslo Home −0.52
  19. Fredrikstad FK Home −0.20
  20. IK Start Away +0.04
  21. Lillestrøm SK Home −0.10

Last 5

+0.07 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 3 hardest of 16

  1. Molde FK Away +0.35
  2. KFUM Oslo Away −0.52
  3. IK Start Home +0.04
  4. Viking FK Away +0.35
  5. Vålerenga IF Home +0.11

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Aalesunds FK shots and chance quality

High volume, low quality. Aalesunds FK take 15.6 shots a match (league 13.8) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #4 in Eliteserien for volume and #14 for quality. 65% of their shots come from inside the box (league 69%), and set pieces produce 19% of their npxG (league 24%).

Attack

Shot volume
15.6 shots per match
#4/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 17.7
=2 Viking FK 16.2
=2 Vålerenga IF 16.2
#4 Aalesunds FK 15.6
#5 Molde FK 15.4
#6 Sandefjord Fotball 14.5
#7 SK Brann 14.1
#8 IK Start 14.0
#9 Rosenborg BK 13.6
#10 Tromsø IL 13.5
#11 Sarpsborg 08 13.3
#12 Lillestrøm SK 12.5
#13 Kristiansund BK 12.5
#14 Fredrikstad FK 11.3
#15 KFUM Oslo 10.5
#16 HamKam 10.4
League avg
13.8
Total
328 shots from 21 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#14/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Bodø/Glimt 0.11
#2 Tromsø IL 0.11
#3 Viking FK 0.11
#4 Molde FK 0.11
#5 Lillestrøm SK 0.10
#6 Rosenborg BK 0.10
#7 Sarpsborg 08 0.10
#8 Fredrikstad FK 0.10
#9 HamKam 0.10
#10 SK Brann 0.10
#11 KFUM Oslo 0.09
#12 IK Start 0.09
#13 Vålerenga IF 0.09
#14 Aalesunds FK 0.09
#15 Kristiansund BK 0.08
#16 Sandefjord Fotball 0.07
League avg
0.10
Total
28.24 npxG from 328 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
16.9 shots per match
#16/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 8.3
#2 Tromsø IL 11.2
#3 Molde FK 12.0
#4 Viking FK 13.0
#5 Sarpsborg 08 13.1
#6 Rosenborg BK 13.3
#7 Lillestrøm SK 13.9
#8 SK Brann 14.4
#9 IK Start 14.4
#10 KFUM Oslo 14.7
#11 Vålerenga IF 14.8
#12 Fredrikstad FK 15.0
=13 Kristiansund BK 15.0
=13 Sandefjord Fotball 15.0
#15 HamKam 16.4
#16 Aalesunds FK 16.9
League avg
13.8
Total
354 shots allowed from 21 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
#16/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Viking FK 0.08
#2 Sandefjord Fotball 0.09
#3 Lillestrøm SK 0.09
#4 Sarpsborg 08 0.09
#5 Molde FK 0.09
#6 IK Start 0.10
#7 SK Brann 0.10
#8 Vålerenga IF 0.10
#9 Fredrikstad FK 0.10
#10 HamKam 0.10
#11 Kristiansund BK 0.10
#12 Rosenborg BK 0.10
#13 Tromsø IL 0.10
#14 KFUM Oslo 0.10
#15 Bodø/Glimt 0.11
#16 Aalesunds FK 0.11
League avg
0.10
Total
39.05 npxGA from 354 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

65% inside the box

League avg 69%

From 213 of 328 shots over 21 matches

Shots allowed, location

69% allowed inside the box

League avg 69%

From 245 of 354 shots allowed over 21 matches

Where the npxG comes from

81% open play · 19% set pieces

League avg 24% set pieces

From 5.2 of 27.9 npxG over 21 matches

Where the npxG allowed comes from

73% open play · 27% set pieces

League avg 24% set pieces

From 10.6 of 38.7 npxG allowed over 21 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Aalesunds FK home and away xG

Aalesunds FK per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 11 10
xG / match 1.75 1.01
xGA / match 1.81 2.16
xGD / match -0.06 -1.15
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.36 0.69

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Aalesunds FK match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 10

Matches
10
xG / match
1.54
xGA / match
2.00
xGD / match
-0.46
Points
10 of 30
  1. Sat 19/09 Molde FK A xG 1.05 xGA 1.62 xGD -0.57
  2. Sun 13/09 KFUM Oslo A xG 1.57 xGA 1.48 P xGD +0.09
  3. Fri 04/09 IK Start H xG 2.42 xGA 1.67 xGD +0.75
  4. Sun 30/08 Viking FK A Weakest underlying xG 0.87 xGA 2.42 xGD -1.55
  5. Sun 16/08 Vålerenga IF H xG 2.08 P xGA 3.13 P xGD -1.05
  6. Sun 09/08 HamKam A xG 0.63 xGA 1.59 xGD -0.96
  7. Sun 02/08 Tromsø IL H Best underlying xG 2.69 xGA 1.86 xGD +0.83
  8. Sun 26/07 Viking FK H xG 1.98 xGA 1.70 xGD +0.28
  9. Thu 16/07 Vålerenga IF A xG 1.51 xGA 2.58 xGD -1.07
  10. Sat 11/07 Molde FK H xG 0.61 xGA 1.91 xGD -1.30

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.13. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Aalesunds FK in Eliteserien

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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