xgEdge

Expected goals

Sarpsborg 08 expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Eliteserien · after 21 matches · updated 1 Oct

Sarpsborg 08's attacking and defensive expected goals in Eliteserien 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Sarpsborg 08 xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.51 xG per match
#9/16
Attack (xG per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 2.31
#2 Viking FK 2.09
#3 Molde FK 1.83
#4 Tromsø IL 1.60
#5 SK Brann 1.58
#6 Rosenborg BK 1.56
#7 Lillestrøm SK 1.56
#8 Vålerenga IF 1.55
#9 Sarpsborg 08 1.51
#10 Aalesunds FK 1.40
#11 IK Start 1.36
#12 Fredrikstad FK 1.20
#13 Sandefjord Fotball 1.18
#14 HamKam 1.14
#15 KFUM Oslo 1.09
#16 Kristiansund BK 0.97
League avg
1.50
Total
31.62 21 matches
Defence
1.40 xGA per match
#5/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 0.90
#2 Viking FK 1.16
#3 Molde FK 1.17
#4 Tromsø IL 1.23
#5 Sarpsborg 08 1.40
#6 Rosenborg BK 1.42
#7 Lillestrøm SK 1.46
#8 SK Brann 1.53
#9 Sandefjord Fotball 1.59
#10 IK Start 1.61
#11 Vålerenga IF 1.63
#12 HamKam 1.66
#13 Fredrikstad FK 1.67
#14 Kristiansund BK 1.72
#15 KFUM Oslo 1.78
#16 Aalesunds FK 1.98
League avg
1.50
Total
29.41 21 matches
xG difference
+0.11 xGD per match
#6/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt +1.41
#2 Viking FK +0.93
#3 Molde FK +0.66
#4 Tromsø IL +0.37
#5 Rosenborg BK +0.14
#6 Sarpsborg 08 +0.11
#7 Lillestrøm SK +0.10
#8 SK Brann +0.05
#9 Vålerenga IF -0.08
#10 IK Start -0.25
#11 Sandefjord Fotball -0.41
#12 Fredrikstad FK -0.47
#13 HamKam -0.52
#14 Aalesunds FK -0.58
#15 KFUM Oslo -0.69
#16 Kristiansund BK -0.75
League avg
0.00
Total
+2.21 21 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.45 xPts per match
#7/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 2.24
#2 Viking FK 1.97
#3 Molde FK 1.80
#4 Tromsø IL 1.68
#5 Rosenborg BK 1.52
#6 Lillestrøm SK 1.46
#7 Sarpsborg 08 1.45
#8 SK Brann 1.40
#9 Vålerenga IF 1.33
#10 IK Start 1.19
#11 Fredrikstad FK 1.10
#12 Sandefjord Fotball 1.09
#13 HamKam 1.05
#14 Aalesunds FK 1.04
#15 Kristiansund BK 0.95
#16 KFUM Oslo 0.94
League avg
1.39
Total
30.35 vs 25 actual pts

What the xG says

Sarpsborg 08's underlying numbers are among the best in Eliteserien. They rank #6 for xG difference at +0.11 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 24 goals are 7.62 below 31.62 xG, while 25 points are 5.35 below 30.35 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 3.23 xG from penalties
24 31.62 -7.62 scored 7.62 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
29 29.41 -0.41 conceded 0.41 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
25 30.35 -5.35 5.35 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Sarpsborg 08 are 7.62 goals below their xG after 21 matches.

Goals
24
xG
31.62
Gap
-7.62
Sun 22/03 Mon 06/04 Sun 12/04 Wed 15/04 Sun 19/04 Sun 26/04 Sun 03/05 Sat 09/05 Sat 16/05 Mon 25/05 Fri 29/05 Sun 12/07 Sat 18/07 Sun 26/07 Sun 02/08 Sat 08/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 30/08 Sun 06/09 Sun 13/09 Fri 18/09 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 +0.17 -0.64 -0.79 -1.50 -2.93 -4.32 -5.13 -5.24 -4.96 -4.08 -3.18 -3.49 -4.46 -5.15 -3.24 -4.81 -6.24 -6.75 -6.79 -6.02 -7.62 +0.17 -0.81 -0.15 -0.71 -1.43 -1.39 -0.81 -0.11 +0.28 +0.88 +0.90 -0.31 -0.97 -0.69 +1.91 -1.57 -1.43 -0.51 -0.04 +0.77 -1.60 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Sarpsborg 08: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 22/03 Sandefjord Fotball 2 1.83 +0.17 +0.17
Mon 06/04 IK Start 1 1.81 -0.81 -0.64
Sun 12/04 Rosenborg BK 1 1.15 -0.15 -0.79
Wed 15/04 Bodø/Glimt 1 1.71 -0.71 -1.50
Sun 19/04 Tromsø IL 0 1.43 -1.43 -2.93
Sun 26/04 KFUM Oslo 0 1.39 -1.39 -4.32
Sun 03/05 Lillestrøm SK 0 0.81 -0.81 -5.13
Sat 09/05 Fredrikstad FK 2 2.11 -0.11 -5.24
Sat 16/05 Vålerenga IF 2 1.72 +0.28 -4.96
Mon 25/05 Molde FK 2 1.12 +0.88 -4.08
Fri 29/05 SK Brann 2 1.10 +0.90 -3.18
Sun 12/07 Viking FK 1 1.31 -0.31 -3.49
Sat 18/07 Kristiansund BK 0 0.97 -0.97 -4.46
Sun 26/07 HamKam 1 1.69 -0.69 -5.15
Sun 02/08 Molde FK 3 1.09 +1.91 -3.24
Sat 08/08 Viking FK 1 2.57 -1.57 -4.81
Sun 16/08 Sandefjord Fotball 1 2.43 -1.43 -6.24
Sun 30/08 Tromsø IL 0 0.51 -0.51 -6.75
Sun 06/09 Vålerenga IF 2 2.04 -0.04 -6.79
Sun 13/09 Fredrikstad FK 1 0.23 +0.77 -6.02
Fri 18/09 KFUM Oslo 1 2.60 -1.60 -7.62

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

Sarpsborg 08 xG trend

Current form +0.19 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 13 of 21 matches. The worst was against Molde FK on Mon 25/05 (-1.19).

npxG · last 6
1.57
npxGA · last 6
1.38
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.05 Sun 22/03 +1.00 Mon 06/04 -0.47 Sun 12/04 +0.68 Wed 15/04 +0.16 Sun 19/04 -0.43 Sun 26/04 +0.04 Sun 03/05 +1.39 Sat 09/05 -0.26 Sat 16/05 -1.19 Mon 25/05 +0.31 Fri 29/05 +0.65 Sun 12/07 +0.26 Sat 18/07 +0.99 Sun 26/07 -0.40 Sun 02/08 +0.88 Sat 08/08 +0.62 Sun 16/08 -0.88 Sun 30/08 +0.83 Sun 06/09 -1.16 Sun 13/09 +0.87 Fri 18/09 +0.18 season avg
Sarpsborg 08: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 22/03 Sandefjord Fotball 1.08 1.13 -0.05 -0.05
Mon 06/04 IK Start 1.81 0.81 +1.00 +0.48
Sun 12/04 Rosenborg BK 1.15 1.62 -0.47 +0.16
Wed 15/04 Bodø/Glimt 1.65 0.97 +0.68 +0.29
Sun 19/04 Tromsø IL 1.50 1.34 +0.16 +0.26
Sun 26/04 KFUM Oslo 0.61 1.04 -0.43 +0.15
Sun 03/05 Lillestrøm SK 0.83 0.79 +0.04 +0.13
Sat 09/05 Fredrikstad FK 2.16 0.77 +1.39 +0.29
Sat 16/05 Vålerenga IF 1.72 1.98 -0.26 +0.23
Mon 25/05 Molde FK 0.33 1.52 -1.19 +0.09
Fri 29/05 SK Brann 1.07 0.76 +0.31 +0.11
Sun 12/07 Viking FK 1.28 0.63 +0.65 +0.15
Sat 18/07 Kristiansund BK 0.97 0.71 +0.26 +0.16
Sun 26/07 HamKam 1.60 0.61 +0.99 +0.22
Sun 02/08 Molde FK 1.21 1.61 -0.40 +0.18
Sat 08/08 Viking FK 2.41 1.53 +0.88 +0.22
Sun 16/08 Sandefjord Fotball 2.40 1.78 +0.62 +0.25
Sun 30/08 Tromsø IL 0.51 1.39 -0.88 +0.18
Sun 06/09 Vålerenga IF 2.04 1.21 +0.83 +0.22
Sun 13/09 Fredrikstad FK 0.24 1.40 -1.16 +0.15
Fri 18/09 KFUM Oslo 1.82 0.95 +0.87 +0.18

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.35 npxG and 1.17 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 10 hardest of 16 in Eliteserien
0.00 xG vs league average
Over 21 league matches
Last 5
number 14 hardest of 16 in Eliteserien
−0.13 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

0.00 xG vs league average · over 21 matches · tied number 10 hardest of 16

  1. KFUM Oslo Home −0.52
  2. Fredrikstad FK Away −0.20
  3. Vålerenga IF Home +0.11
  4. Tromsø IL Away +0.08
  5. Sandefjord Fotball Home −0.13
  6. Viking FK Away +0.35
  7. Molde FK Away +0.35
  8. HamKam Home −0.51
  9. Kristiansund BK Away −0.36
  10. Viking FK Home +0.35
  11. SK Brann Away 0.00
  12. Molde FK Home +0.35
  13. Vålerenga IF Away +0.11
  14. Fredrikstad FK Home −0.20
  15. Lillestrøm SK Away −0.10
  16. KFUM Oslo Away −0.52
  17. Tromsø IL Home +0.08
  18. Bodø/Glimt Home +0.79
  19. Rosenborg BK Away +0.14
  20. IK Start Home +0.04
  21. Sandefjord Fotball Away −0.13

Last 5

−0.13 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 14 hardest of 16

  1. KFUM Oslo Home −0.52
  2. Fredrikstad FK Away −0.20
  3. Vålerenga IF Home +0.11
  4. Tromsø IL Away +0.08
  5. Sandefjord Fotball Home −0.13

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Sarpsborg 08 shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. Sarpsborg 08 take 13.3 shots a match (league 13.8) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #11 in Eliteserien for volume and #7 for quality. 68% of their shots come from inside the box (league 69%), and set pieces produce 24% of their npxG (league 24%).

Attack

Shot volume
13.3 shots per match
#11/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 17.7
=2 Viking FK 16.2
=2 Vålerenga IF 16.2
#4 Aalesunds FK 15.6
#5 Molde FK 15.4
#6 Sandefjord Fotball 14.5
#7 SK Brann 14.1
#8 IK Start 14.0
#9 Rosenborg BK 13.6
#10 Tromsø IL 13.5
#11 Sarpsborg 08 13.3
#12 Lillestrøm SK 12.5
#13 Kristiansund BK 12.5
#14 Fredrikstad FK 11.3
#15 KFUM Oslo 10.5
#16 HamKam 10.4
League avg
13.8
Total
279 shots from 21 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#7/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Bodø/Glimt 0.11
#2 Tromsø IL 0.11
#3 Viking FK 0.11
#4 Molde FK 0.11
#5 Lillestrøm SK 0.10
#6 Rosenborg BK 0.10
#7 Sarpsborg 08 0.10
#8 Fredrikstad FK 0.10
#9 HamKam 0.10
#10 SK Brann 0.10
#11 KFUM Oslo 0.09
#12 IK Start 0.09
#13 Vålerenga IF 0.09
#14 Aalesunds FK 0.09
#15 Kristiansund BK 0.08
#16 Sandefjord Fotball 0.07
League avg
0.10
Total
28.39 npxG from 279 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
13.1 shots per match
#5/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 8.3
#2 Tromsø IL 11.2
#3 Molde FK 12.0
#4 Viking FK 13.0
#5 Sarpsborg 08 13.1
#6 Rosenborg BK 13.3
#7 Lillestrøm SK 13.9
#8 SK Brann 14.4
#9 IK Start 14.4
#10 KFUM Oslo 14.7
#11 Vålerenga IF 14.8
#12 Fredrikstad FK 15.0
=13 Kristiansund BK 15.0
=13 Sandefjord Fotball 15.0
#15 HamKam 16.4
#16 Aalesunds FK 16.9
League avg
13.8
Total
276 shots allowed from 21 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.09 npxGA per shot
#4/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Viking FK 0.08
#2 Sandefjord Fotball 0.09
#3 Lillestrøm SK 0.09
#4 Sarpsborg 08 0.09
#5 Molde FK 0.09
#6 IK Start 0.10
#7 SK Brann 0.10
#8 Vålerenga IF 0.10
#9 Fredrikstad FK 0.10
#10 HamKam 0.10
#11 Kristiansund BK 0.10
#12 Rosenborg BK 0.10
#13 Tromsø IL 0.10
#14 KFUM Oslo 0.10
#15 Bodø/Glimt 0.11
#16 Aalesunds FK 0.11
League avg
0.10
Total
24.55 npxGA from 276 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

68% inside the box

League avg 69%

From 190 of 279 shots over 21 matches

Shots allowed, location

71% allowed inside the box

League avg 69%

From 196 of 276 shots allowed over 21 matches

Where the npxG comes from

76% open play · 24% set pieces

League avg 24% set pieces

From 6.6 of 28.0 npxG over 21 matches

Where the npxG allowed comes from

74% open play · 26% set pieces

League avg 24% set pieces

From 6.3 of 24.5 npxG allowed over 21 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Sarpsborg 08 home and away xG

Sarpsborg 08 per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 10 11
xG / match 1.83 1.22
xGA / match 1.25 1.54
xGD / match +0.58 -0.32
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.79 1.13

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Sarpsborg 08 match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
21
xG / match
1.51
xGA / match
1.40
xGD / match
+0.11
Points
25 of 63
  1. Fri 18/09 KFUM Oslo H Against the chances xG 2.60 P xGA 0.95 xGD +1.65
  2. Sun 13/09 Fredrikstad FK A xG 0.23 xGA 1.40 xGD -1.17
  3. Sun 06/09 Vålerenga IF H xG 2.04 xGA 1.29 xGD +0.75
  4. Sun 30/08 Tromsø IL A xG 0.51 xGA 1.38 xGD -0.87
  5. Sun 16/08 Sandefjord Fotball H xG 2.43 xGA 1.69 xGD +0.74
  6. Sat 08/08 Viking FK A xG 2.57 xGA 2.83 P xGD -0.26
  7. Sun 02/08 Molde FK A xG 1.09 xGA 1.62 xGD -0.53
  8. Sun 26/07 HamKam H xG 1.69 xGA 1.03 xGD +0.66
  9. Sat 18/07 Kristiansund BK A xG 0.97 xGA 0.71 xGD +0.26
  10. Sun 12/07 Viking FK H xG 1.31 xGA 0.86 xGD +0.45
  11. Fri 29/05 SK Brann A xG 1.10 xGA 0.76 xGD +0.34
  12. Mon 25/05 Molde FK H xG 1.12 P xGA 1.54 xGD -0.42
  13. Sat 16/05 Vålerenga IF A xG 1.72 xGA 2.08 xGD -0.36
  14. Sat 09/05 Fredrikstad FK H xG 2.11 xGA 0.77 xGD +1.34
  15. Sun 03/05 Lillestrøm SK A Weakest underlying xG 0.81 xGA 2.37 P xGD -1.56
  16. Sun 26/04 KFUM Oslo A xG 1.39 P xGA 1.04 xGD +0.35
  17. Sun 19/04 Tromsø IL H xG 1.43 xGA 1.28 xGD +0.15
  18. Wed 15/04 Bodø/Glimt H xG 1.71 xGA 2.27 P xGD -0.56
  19. Sun 12/04 Rosenborg BK A xG 1.15 xGA 1.60 xGD -0.45
  20. Mon 06/04 IK Start H xG 1.81 xGA 0.81 xGD +1.00
  21. Sun 22/03 Sandefjord Fotball A xG 1.83 P xGA 1.13 xGD +0.70

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Sarpsborg 08 in Eliteserien

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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