Eredivisie

Eredivisie results 2025/2026

Every Eredivisie match played this season, newest first, with the xG each side created and the home, draw and away probabilities the model held before kickoff.

xG reading

All Went with the xG Went against the xG

Model record

The season's model record appears after 20 matches.

Home
Draw
Away

What happened Most likely outcome Upset

Sunday, 24/05/2026

1 match

12:15

AFC Ajax 0

FC Utrecht 0

xG 1.47 – 0.96 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→

Saturday, 23/05/2026

1 match

16:30

FC Volendam 1

Willem II Tilburg 2

No pre-match probabilities
→

Thursday, 21/05/2026

2 matches

21:00

FC Utrecht 3

SC Heerenveen 2

xG 2.08 – 1.26 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
18:45

AFC Ajax 2

FC Groningen 0

xG 1.83 – 0.16 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Wednesday, 20/05/2026

1 match

18:45

Willem II Tilburg 1

FC Volendam 2

No pre-match probabilities
→

Sunday, 17/05/2026

9 matches

14:30

NEC Nijmegen 2

Go Ahead Eagles 1

xG 4.44 – 0.32 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
14:30

Heracles Almelo 1

FC Groningen 2

xG 0.64 – 1.17 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
14:30

Sparta Rotterdam 2

Excelsior 3

xG 1.76 – 0.95 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
→
14:30

FC Volendam 1

SC Telstar 2

xG 1.09 – 1.40 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
14:30

PSV Eindhoven 5

FC Twente 1

xG 2.49 – 1.41 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
14:30

PEC Zwolle 0

Feyenoord 2

xG 0.80 – 3.21 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
14:30

FC Utrecht 2

Fortuna Sittard 0

xG 2.09 – 0.48 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
14:30

AZ Alkmaar 3

NAC Breda 3

xG 1.45 – 2.08 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→
14:30

SC Heerenveen 0

AFC Ajax 0

xG 1.61 – 1.86 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Saturday, 16/05/2026

1 match

20:00

Willem II Tilburg 2

Almere City FC 0

No pre-match probabilities
→

Wednesday, 13/05/2026

1 match

20:00

Almere City FC 0

Willem II Tilburg 1

No pre-match probabilities
→

Monday, 11/05/2026

1 match

14:30

NAC Breda 2

SC Heerenveen 0

xG 1.86 – 1.00 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Sunday, 10/05/2026

8 matches

16:45

SC Telstar 3

Heracles Almelo 0

xG 2.71 – 0.85 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
16:45

FC Twente 4

Sparta Rotterdam 0

xG 3.92 – 0.86 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
16:45

Excelsior 1

FC Volendam 1

xG 0.38 – 0.46 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
16:45

FC Groningen 2

NEC Nijmegen 1

xG 1.56 – 1.08 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
16:45

Feyenoord 1

AZ Alkmaar 1

No pre-match probabilities
→
16:45

Go Ahead Eagles 1

PSV Eindhoven 4

No pre-match probabilities
→
16:45

AFC Ajax 1

FC Utrecht 2

No pre-match probabilities
→
16:45

Fortuna Sittard 3

PEC Zwolle 2

No pre-match probabilities
→

Saturday, 09/05/2026

2 matches

20:00

De Graafschap 2

Almere City FC 2

No pre-match probabilities
→
16:30

Willem II Tilburg 1

RKC Waalwijk 1

No pre-match probabilities
→

Wednesday, 06/05/2026

1 match

18:45

Almere City FC 3

De Graafschap 1

No pre-match probabilities
→

Tuesday, 05/05/2026

1 match

18:45

RKC Waalwijk 0

Willem II Tilburg 1

No pre-match probabilities
→

Sunday, 03/05/2026

5 matches

16:45

AZ Alkmaar 2

FC Twente 2

xG 1.39 – 0.46 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→
16:45

Sparta Rotterdam 2

Go Ahead Eagles 2

xG 1.89 – 2.08 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
14:30

PEC Zwolle 1

Heracles Almelo 0

xG 0.62 – 1.00 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
14:30

Fortuna Sittard 1

Feyenoord 2

xG 0.77 – 2.50 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
12:15

FC Volendam 0

SC Heerenveen 2

xG 1.49 – 1.64 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Saturday, 02/05/2026

5 matches

21:00

NEC Nijmegen 1

SC Telstar 1

xG 2.11 – 1.22 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:00

AFC Ajax 2

PSV Eindhoven 2

xG 0.95 – 1.80 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→
18:45

FC Groningen 2

Excelsior 3

xG 1.14 – 2.58 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
16:30

FC Utrecht 2

NAC Breda 0

xG 2.90 – 0.45 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
14:00

Almere City FC 3

FC Den Bosch 0

No pre-match probabilities
→

Friday, 01/05/2026

1 match

20:00

RKC Waalwijk 1

Roda JC Kerkrade 1

No pre-match probabilities
→

Wednesday, 29/04/2026

1 match

18:45

FC Den Bosch 2

Almere City FC 3

No pre-match probabilities
→

Tuesday, 28/04/2026

1 match

18:45

Roda JC Kerkrade 1

RKC Waalwijk 1

No pre-match probabilities
→

Sunday, 26/04/2026

2 matches

14:30

Heracles Almelo 0

FC Volendam 2

xG 0.78 – 1.30 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
12:15

Excelsior 5

FC Utrecht 0

xG 3.31 – 0.84 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Saturday, 25/04/2026

4 matches

21:00

FC Twente 1

NEC Nijmegen 1

xG 1.28 – 1.86 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:00

NAC Breda 0

AFC Ajax 2

xG 1.63 – 2.29 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
18:45

SC Heerenveen 2

Fortuna Sittard 1

xG 2.03 – 0.90 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
16:30

Feyenoord 3

FC Groningen 1

xG 1.64 – 1.46 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Thursday, 23/04/2026

2 matches

21:00

PSV Eindhoven 6

PEC Zwolle 1

xG 1.88 – 0.83 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
18:45

Go Ahead Eagles 0

AZ Alkmaar 0

xG 1.79 – 1.52 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

xG is a model estimate of the chances each side created. "Went with the xG" means the side with more xG won; "Went against the xG" means the side with less xG won or the match was drawn across a gap of at least 0.5. The probabilities are the ones the model published before kickoff, rounded so the three add to 100; the outline marks what happened.