xgEdge

Expected goals

ADO Den Haag expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Eredivisie · after 7 matches · updated 4 Oct

ADO Den Haag's attacking and defensive expected goals in Eredivisie 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

ADO Den Haag xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
0.90 xG per match
#18/18
Attack (xG per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 PSV Eindhoven 2.87
#2 Feyenoord 2.76
#3 AFC Ajax 2.65
#4 AZ Alkmaar 2.55
#5 FC Twente 2.28
#6 Go Ahead Eagles 1.91
#7 Sparta Rotterdam 1.64
#8 NEC Nijmegen 1.60
#9 FC Groningen 1.54
#10 FC Utrecht 1.41
#11 SC Cambuur 1.35
#12 Excelsior 1.35
#13 Willem II Tilburg 1.29
#14 SC Heerenveen 1.26
#15 SC Telstar 1.09
#16 Fortuna Sittard 0.97
#17 PEC Zwolle 0.94
#18 ADO Den Haag 0.90
League avg
1.69
Total
6.31 7 matches
Defence
1.90 xGA per match
#9/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Twente 0.75
#2 Feyenoord 0.80
#3 AZ Alkmaar 0.95
#4 AFC Ajax 1.25
#5 SC Heerenveen 1.36
#6 PSV Eindhoven 1.37
#7 Excelsior 1.44
#8 Go Ahead Eagles 1.63
#9 ADO Den Haag 1.90
#10 NEC Nijmegen 1.92
#11 FC Groningen 1.93
#12 SC Cambuur 2.04
#13 SC Telstar 2.05
#14 PEC Zwolle 2.06
#15 Sparta Rotterdam 2.10
#16 FC Utrecht 2.11
#17 Willem II Tilburg 2.28
#18 Fortuna Sittard 2.42
League avg
1.69
Total
13.32 7 matches
xG difference
-1.00 xGD per match
#16/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Feyenoord +1.96
#2 AZ Alkmaar +1.60
#3 FC Twente +1.53
#4 PSV Eindhoven +1.51
#5 AFC Ajax +1.40
#6 Go Ahead Eagles +0.28
#7 Excelsior -0.09
#8 SC Heerenveen -0.10
#9 NEC Nijmegen -0.32
#10 FC Groningen -0.39
#11 Sparta Rotterdam -0.46
#12 SC Cambuur -0.68
#13 FC Utrecht -0.70
#14 SC Telstar -0.96
#15 Willem II Tilburg -0.99
#16 ADO Den Haag -1.00
#17 PEC Zwolle -1.12
#18 Fortuna Sittard -1.46
League avg
0.00
Total
-7.01 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.85 xPts per match
#14/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Feyenoord 2.49
#2 FC Twente 2.43
#3 AZ Alkmaar 2.30
#4 AFC Ajax 2.20
#5 PSV Eindhoven 2.18
#6 Go Ahead Eagles 1.59
#7 Excelsior 1.31
#8 FC Groningen 1.28
#9 SC Heerenveen 1.28
#10 NEC Nijmegen 1.18
#11 Sparta Rotterdam 1.15
#12 FC Utrecht 1.14
#13 SC Cambuur 0.91
#14 ADO Den Haag 0.85
#15 SC Telstar 0.79
#16 Willem II Tilburg 0.79
#17 PEC Zwolle 0.73
#18 Fortuna Sittard 0.72
League avg
1.41
Total
5.92 vs 2 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

ADO Den Haag's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Eredivisie. They rank #16 for xG difference at -1.00 per match, from low shot volume and the league's lowest chance quality. Their 7 goals are 0.69 above 6.31 xG, while 2 points are 3.92 below 5.92 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
7 6.31 +0.69 scored 0.69 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
17 13.32 +3.68 conceded 3.68 more than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
2 5.92 -3.92 3.92 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

ADO Den Haag are 0.69 goals above their xG after 7 matches. The gap was widest at +2.33, against Fortuna Sittard on Sun 06/09.

Goals
7
xG
6.31
Gap
+0.69
Sat 08/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 23/08 Sun 30/08 Sun 06/09 Sat 12/09 Sat 19/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 -0.95 -0.96 -0.95 +0.81 +2.33 +1.79 +0.69 -0.95 -0.01 +0.01 +1.76 +1.52 -0.54 -1.10 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
ADO Den Haag: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 08/08 AZ Alkmaar 0 0.95 -0.95 -0.95
Sun 16/08 FC Groningen 1 1.01 -0.01 -0.96
Sun 23/08 Go Ahead Eagles 1 0.99 +0.01 -0.95
Sun 30/08 Feyenoord 2 0.24 +1.76 +0.81
Sun 06/09 Fortuna Sittard 2 0.48 +1.52 +2.33
Sat 12/09 FC Twente 0 0.54 -0.54 +1.79
Sat 19/09 SC Cambuur 1 2.10 -1.10 +0.69

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

ADO Den Haag xG trend

Current form -0.73 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 1 of 7 matches. The worst was against Feyenoord on Sun 30/08 (-2.23).

npxG · last 6
0.89
npxGA · last 6
1.62
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -1.72 Sat 08/08 -2.19 Sun 16/08 -0.02 Sun 23/08 -2.23 Sun 30/08 -0.06 Sun 06/09 -1.48 Sat 12/09 +1.60 Sat 19/09 -0.87 season avg
ADO Den Haag: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 08/08 AZ Alkmaar 0.95 2.67 -1.72 -1.72
Sun 16/08 FC Groningen 1.01 3.20 -2.19 -1.96
Sun 23/08 Go Ahead Eagles 0.99 1.01 -0.02 -1.31
Sun 30/08 Feyenoord 0.24 2.47 -2.23 -1.54
Sun 06/09 Fortuna Sittard 0.49 0.55 -0.06 -1.24
Sat 12/09 FC Twente 0.54 2.02 -1.48 -1.28
Sat 19/09 SC Cambuur 2.08 0.48 +1.60 -0.87

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.90 npxG and 1.77 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 4 hardest of 18 in Eredivisie
+0.14 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 5 hardest of 18 in Eredivisie
+0.10 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.14 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 4 hardest of 18

  1. SC Cambuur Home −0.29
  2. FC Twente Away +0.71
  3. Fortuna Sittard Home −0.68
  4. Feyenoord Away +0.87
  5. Go Ahead Eagles Away −0.13
  6. FC Groningen Home −0.04
  7. AZ Alkmaar Away +0.56

Last 5

+0.10 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 5 hardest of 18

  1. SC Cambuur Home −0.29
  2. FC Twente Away +0.71
  3. Fortuna Sittard Home −0.68
  4. Feyenoord Away +0.87
  5. Go Ahead Eagles Away −0.13

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

ADO Den Haag shots and chance quality

Low volume, low quality. ADO Den Haag take 11.9 shots a match (league 15.0) at 0.08 npxG a shot (league 0.11), =11 in Eredivisie for volume and #18 for quality. 57% of their shots come from inside the box (league 66%), and set pieces produce 26% of their npxG (league 18%).

Attack

Shot volume
11.9 shots per match
=11/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 AFC Ajax 24.7
#2 Feyenoord 22.3
#3 FC Twente 21.6
#4 PSV Eindhoven 21.0
#5 AZ Alkmaar 19.4
#6 SC Heerenveen 16.0
=7 Go Ahead Eagles 15.1
=7 NEC Nijmegen 15.1
#9 FC Groningen 15.0
#10 Sparta Rotterdam 13.1
=11 ADO Den Haag 11.9
=11 SC Cambuur 11.9
=11 Willem II Tilburg 11.9
#14 Excelsior 11.3
#15 FC Utrecht 10.9
#16 PEC Zwolle 10.6
#17 Fortuna Sittard 10.1
#18 SC Telstar 7.9
League avg
15.0
Total
83 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.08 npxG per shot
#18/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 AZ Alkmaar 0.13
#2 Go Ahead Eagles 0.13
#3 PSV Eindhoven 0.13
#4 Sparta Rotterdam 0.12
#5 Excelsior 0.12
#6 FC Utrecht 0.12
#7 Feyenoord 0.12
#8 SC Cambuur 0.11
#9 Willem II Tilburg 0.11
#10 AFC Ajax 0.11
#11 SC Telstar 0.10
#12 NEC Nijmegen 0.10
#13 FC Groningen 0.10
#14 FC Twente 0.09
#15 Fortuna Sittard 0.09
#16 PEC Zwolle 0.09
#17 SC Heerenveen 0.08
#18 ADO Den Haag 0.08
League avg
0.11
Total
6.30 npxG from 83 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
16.1 shots per match
=10/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 AZ Alkmaar 8.1
=2 AFC Ajax 9.6
=2 Feyenoord 9.6
#4 FC Twente 10.0
#5 PSV Eindhoven 10.1
#6 NEC Nijmegen 11.6
#7 FC Groningen 15.1
=8 SC Cambuur 15.9
=8 SC Heerenveen 15.9
=10 ADO Den Haag 16.1
=10 Excelsior 16.1
#12 Go Ahead Eagles 16.6
#13 SC Telstar 17.9
#14 Sparta Rotterdam 18.0
#15 FC Utrecht 18.6
#16 Willem II Tilburg 19.9
#17 Fortuna Sittard 20.3
#18 PEC Zwolle 20.4
League avg
15.0
Total
113 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
#9/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC Twente 0.06
#2 Feyenoord 0.08
#3 Excelsior 0.09
#4 SC Heerenveen 0.09
#5 Go Ahead Eagles 0.09
#6 PEC Zwolle 0.10
#7 FC Utrecht 0.10
#8 SC Telstar 0.11
#9 ADO Den Haag 0.11
#10 SC Cambuur 0.11
#11 Willem II Tilburg 0.11
#12 Fortuna Sittard 0.12
#13 Sparta Rotterdam 0.12
#14 AZ Alkmaar 0.12
#15 FC Groningen 0.12
#16 AFC Ajax 0.13
#17 PSV Eindhoven 0.13
#18 NEC Nijmegen 0.17
League avg
0.11
Total
12.40 npxGA from 113 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

57% inside the box

League avg 66%

From 47 of 83 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

67% allowed inside the box

League avg 66%

From 76 of 113 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

74% open play · 26% set pieces

League avg 18% set pieces

From 1.6 of 6.2 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

83% open play · 17% set pieces

League avg 18% set pieces

From 2.1 of 12.5 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

ADO Den Haag home and away xG

ADO Den Haag per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 3 4
xG / match 1.20 0.68
xGA / match 1.45 2.24
xGD / match -0.26 -1.56
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.32 0.49

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every ADO Den Haag match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 5

Matches
5
xG / match
0.87
xGA / match
1.49
xGD / match
-0.62
Points
2 of 15
  1. Sat 19/09 SC Cambuur H Best underlying xG 2.10 xGA 0.61 xGD +1.49
  2. Sat 12/09 FC Twente A Weakest underlying xG 0.54 xGA 2.81 P xGD -2.27
  3. Sun 06/09 Fortuna Sittard H xG 0.48 xGA 0.55 xGD -0.07
  4. Sun 30/08 Feyenoord A xG 0.24 xGA 2.47 xGD -2.23
  5. Sun 23/08 Go Ahead Eagles A xG 0.99 xGA 1.01 xGD -0.02

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

ADO Den Haag in Eredivisie

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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