xgEdge

Expected goals

KV Kortrijk expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Jupiler Pro League · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

KV Kortrijk's attacking and defensive expected goals in Jupiler Pro League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

KV Kortrijk xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
0.99 xG per match
#17/18
Attack (xG per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 2.16
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2.09
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.91
#4 Sint-Truidense VV 1.91
#5 Standard Liège 1.79
#6 KRC Genk 1.78
#7 Cercle Brugge 1.69
#8 RSC Anderlecht 1.62
#9 KVC Westerlo 1.45
#10 Royal Antwerp FC 1.34
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.29
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 1.26
#13 KV Mechelen 1.22
#14 KAA Gent 1.16
#15 SK Beveren 1.11
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.01
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.99
#18 Lommel SK 0.94
League avg
1.48
Total
6.90 7 matches
Defence
1.92 xGA per match
#17/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 KAA Gent 0.66
#2 RSC Anderlecht 0.87
#3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.02
#4 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.06
#5 KRC Genk 1.08
#6 Club Brugge KV 1.20
#7 SV Zulte Waregem 1.31
#8 KV Mechelen 1.46
#9 Lommel SK 1.50
#10 Standard Liège 1.53
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.65
#12 Cercle Brugge 1.75
#13 KVC Westerlo 1.81
#14 Sint-Truidense VV 1.84
#15 SK Beveren 1.86
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.88
#17 KV Kortrijk 1.92
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 2.30
League avg
1.48
Total
13.42 7 matches
xG difference
-0.93 xGD per match
#17/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise +1.06
#2 Club Brugge KV +0.96
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi +0.86
#4 RSC Anderlecht +0.76
#5 KRC Genk +0.70
#6 KAA Gent +0.50
#7 Standard Liège +0.25
#8 Sint-Truidense VV +0.07
#9 SV Zulte Waregem -0.05
#10 Cercle Brugge -0.07
#11 KV Mechelen -0.24
#12 RAAL La Louvière -0.36
#13 KVC Westerlo -0.37
#14 Lommel SK -0.56
#15 SK Beveren -0.75
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven -0.87
#17 KV Kortrijk -0.93
#18 Royal Antwerp FC -0.97
League avg
0.00
Total
-6.52 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.87 xPts per match
#17/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 RC Sporting Charleroi 2.02
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.98
#3 Club Brugge KV 1.90
#4 RSC Anderlecht 1.88
#5 KAA Gent 1.81
#6 KRC Genk 1.64
#7 Standard Liège 1.48
#8 Sint-Truidense VV 1.44
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 1.34
#10 Cercle Brugge 1.25
#11 KVC Westerlo 1.24
#12 KV Mechelen 1.19
#13 RAAL La Louvière 1.08
#14 Royal Antwerp FC 1.00
#15 Lommel SK 1.00
#16 SK Beveren 0.95
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.87
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.86
League avg
1.39
Total
6.09 vs 3 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

KV Kortrijk's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Jupiler Pro League. They rank #17 for xG difference at -0.93 per match, from low shot volume and low chance quality. Their 2 goals are 4.90 below 6.90 xG, while 3 points are 3.09 below 6.09 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
2 6.90 -4.90 scored 4.90 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
15 13.42 +1.58 conceded 1.58 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
3 6.09 -3.09 3.09 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

KV Kortrijk are 4.90 goals below their xG after 7 matches.

Goals
2
xG
6.90
Gap
-4.90
Fri 07/08 Sat 15/08 Sat 29/08 Thu 03/09 Sun 06/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.86 -1.63 -1.83 -2.29 -2.84 -3.65 -4.90 -0.86 -0.77 -0.20 -0.46 -0.55 -0.81 -1.25 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
KV Kortrijk: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 07/08 Club Brugge KV 0 0.86 -0.86 -0.86
Sat 15/08 Royal Antwerp FC 0 0.77 -0.77 -1.63
Sat 29/08 RC Sporting Charleroi 1 1.20 -0.20 -1.83
Thu 03/09 RSC Anderlecht 0 0.46 -0.46 -2.29
Sun 06/09 SV Zulte Waregem 0 0.55 -0.55 -2.84
Sun 13/09 RAAL La Louvière 0 0.81 -0.81 -3.65
Sun 20/09 SK Beveren 1 2.25 -1.25 -4.90

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

KV Kortrijk xG trend

Current form -0.49 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 1 of 7 matches. The worst was against RAAL La Louvière on Sun 13/09 (-2.20).

npxG · last 6
1.01
npxGA · last 6
1.50
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -1.94 Fri 07/08 -0.45 Sat 15/08 -0.42 Sat 29/08 -1.04 Thu 03/09 -0.64 Sun 06/09 -2.20 Sun 13/09 +1.83 Sun 20/09 -0.69 season avg
KV Kortrijk: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 07/08 Club Brugge KV 1.02 2.96 -1.94 -1.94
Sat 15/08 Royal Antwerp FC 0.79 1.24 -0.45 -1.20
Sat 29/08 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.20 1.62 -0.42 -0.94
Thu 03/09 RSC Anderlecht 0.46 1.50 -1.04 -0.96
Sun 06/09 SV Zulte Waregem 0.55 1.19 -0.64 -0.90
Sun 13/09 RAAL La Louvière 0.81 3.01 -2.20 -1.12
Sun 20/09 SK Beveren 2.25 0.42 +1.83 -0.69

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.01 npxG and 1.71 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 4 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
+0.04 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
tied number 9 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
−0.01 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.04 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · tied number 4 hardest of 18

  1. SK Beveren Home −0.38
  2. RAAL La Louvière Away −0.30
  3. SV Zulte Waregem Home +0.11
  4. RSC Anderlecht Away +0.21
  5. RC Sporting Charleroi Home +0.29
  6. Royal Antwerp FC Home −0.25
  7. Club Brugge KV Away +0.56

Last 5

−0.01 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 9 hardest of 18

  1. SK Beveren Home −0.38
  2. RAAL La Louvière Away −0.30
  3. SV Zulte Waregem Home +0.11
  4. RSC Anderlecht Away +0.21
  5. RC Sporting Charleroi Home +0.29

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

KV Kortrijk shots and chance quality

Low volume, low quality. KV Kortrijk take 11.7 shots a match (league 14.2) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #15 in Jupiler Pro League for volume and #13 for quality. 62% of their shots come from inside the box (league 69%), and set pieces produce 16% of their npxG (league 25%).

Attack

Shot volume
11.7 shots per match
#15/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 18.7
#2 RC Sporting Charleroi 18.0
=3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 17.3
=3 Sint-Truidense VV 17.3
#5 RSC Anderlecht 16.6
#6 KVC Westerlo 15.3
#7 Royal Antwerp FC 15.1
#8 Cercle Brugge 14.7
#9 KRC Genk 14.1
#10 Standard Liège 14.0
#11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13.1
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 12.9
#13 KAA Gent 12.4
#14 KV Mechelen 11.9
#15 KV Kortrijk 11.7
#16 RAAL La Louvière 10.9
#17 SK Beveren 10.7
#18 Lommel SK 10.0
League avg
14.2
Total
82 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#13/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.12
#2 Standard Liège 0.11
#3 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#4 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#5 KRC Genk 0.11
#6 Club Brugge KV 0.10
#7 Cercle Brugge 0.10
#8 RSC Anderlecht 0.10
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#10 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.10
#11 SK Beveren 0.09
#12 KVC Westerlo 0.09
#13 KV Kortrijk 0.09
#14 KAA Gent 0.09
#15 KV Mechelen 0.09
#16 Royal Antwerp FC 0.08
#17 Lommel SK 0.08
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
7.08 npxG from 82 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
14.9 shots per match
=10/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 RSC Anderlecht 9.9
#2 KAA Gent 10.3
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 11.0
#4 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 11.3
#5 SV Zulte Waregem 12.1
#6 Club Brugge KV 13.1
#7 Cercle Brugge 13.6
#8 KV Mechelen 14.3
#9 KRC Genk 14.7
=10 KV Kortrijk 14.9
=10 Sint-Truidense VV 14.9
=12 KVC Westerlo 15.0
=12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15.0
#14 Standard Liège 15.3
#15 SK Beveren 15.6
#16 RAAL La Louvière 15.7
#17 Royal Antwerp FC 17.1
#18 Lommel SK 21.0
League avg
14.2
Total
104 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
#16/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 KRC Genk 0.07
#2 KAA Gent 0.07
#3 Lommel SK 0.07
#4 Standard Liège 0.08
#5 RSC Anderlecht 0.09
#6 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.09
#7 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.09
#8 Club Brugge KV 0.09
#9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.10
#10 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#11 KV Mechelen 0.11
#12 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#13 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#14 SK Beveren 0.11
#15 Cercle Brugge 0.11
#16 KV Kortrijk 0.11
#17 KVC Westerlo 0.11
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 0.12
League avg
0.10
Total
11.94 npxGA from 104 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

62% inside the box

League avg 69%

From 51 of 82 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

68% allowed inside the box

League avg 69%

From 71 of 104 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

84% open play · 16% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 1.1 of 7.1 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

80% open play · 20% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 2.4 of 12.0 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

KV Kortrijk home and away xG

KV Kortrijk per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 3
xG / match 1.19 0.71
xGA / match 1.12 2.98
xGD / match +0.07 -2.27
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.34 0.24

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every KV Kortrijk match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
7
xG / match
0.99
xGA / match
1.92
xGD / match
-0.93
Points
3 of 21
  1. Sun 20/09 SK Beveren H Best underlying xG 2.25 xGA 0.42 xGD +1.83
  2. Sun 13/09 RAAL La Louvière A xG 0.81 xGA 3.58 P xGD -2.77
  3. Sun 06/09 SV Zulte Waregem H xG 0.55 xGA 1.19 xGD -0.64
  4. Thu 03/09 RSC Anderlecht A xG 0.46 xGA 1.50 xGD -1.04
  5. Sat 29/08 RC Sporting Charleroi H xG 1.20 xGA 1.69 xGD -0.49
  6. Sat 15/08 Royal Antwerp FC H xG 0.77 xGA 1.19 xGD -0.42
  7. Fri 07/08 Club Brugge KV A Weakest underlying xG 0.86 xGA 3.85 P xGD -2.99

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.85. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

KV Kortrijk in Jupiler Pro League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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