xgEdge

Expected goals

Oud-Heverlee Leuven expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Jupiler Pro League · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

Oud-Heverlee Leuven's attacking and defensive expected goals in Jupiler Pro League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Oud-Heverlee Leuven xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.01 xG per match
#16/18
Attack (xG per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 2.16
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2.09
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.91
#4 Sint-Truidense VV 1.91
#5 Standard Liège 1.79
#6 KRC Genk 1.78
#7 Cercle Brugge 1.69
#8 RSC Anderlecht 1.62
#9 KVC Westerlo 1.45
#10 Royal Antwerp FC 1.34
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.29
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 1.26
#13 KV Mechelen 1.22
#14 KAA Gent 1.16
#15 SK Beveren 1.11
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.01
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.99
#18 Lommel SK 0.94
League avg
1.48
Total
7.09 7 matches
Defence
1.88 xGA per match
#16/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 KAA Gent 0.66
#2 RSC Anderlecht 0.87
#3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.02
#4 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.06
#5 KRC Genk 1.08
#6 Club Brugge KV 1.20
#7 SV Zulte Waregem 1.31
#8 KV Mechelen 1.46
#9 Lommel SK 1.50
#10 Standard Liège 1.53
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.65
#12 Cercle Brugge 1.75
#13 KVC Westerlo 1.81
#14 Sint-Truidense VV 1.84
#15 SK Beveren 1.86
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.88
#17 KV Kortrijk 1.92
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 2.30
League avg
1.48
Total
13.16 7 matches
xG difference
-0.87 xGD per match
#16/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise +1.06
#2 Club Brugge KV +0.96
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi +0.86
#4 RSC Anderlecht +0.76
#5 KRC Genk +0.70
#6 KAA Gent +0.50
#7 Standard Liège +0.25
#8 Sint-Truidense VV +0.07
#9 SV Zulte Waregem -0.05
#10 Cercle Brugge -0.07
#11 KV Mechelen -0.24
#12 RAAL La Louvière -0.36
#13 KVC Westerlo -0.37
#14 Lommel SK -0.56
#15 SK Beveren -0.75
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven -0.87
#17 KV Kortrijk -0.93
#18 Royal Antwerp FC -0.97
League avg
0.00
Total
-6.07 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.86 xPts per match
#18/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 RC Sporting Charleroi 2.02
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.98
#3 Club Brugge KV 1.90
#4 RSC Anderlecht 1.88
#5 KAA Gent 1.81
#6 KRC Genk 1.64
#7 Standard Liège 1.48
#8 Sint-Truidense VV 1.44
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 1.34
#10 Cercle Brugge 1.25
#11 KVC Westerlo 1.24
#12 KV Mechelen 1.19
#13 RAAL La Louvière 1.08
#14 Royal Antwerp FC 1.00
#15 Lommel SK 1.00
#16 SK Beveren 0.95
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.87
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.86
League avg
1.39
Total
6.05 vs 4 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Oud-Heverlee Leuven's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Jupiler Pro League. They rank #16 for xG difference at -0.87 per match, from about average shot volume at the league's lowest chance quality. Their 5 goals are 2.09 below 7.09 xG, while 4 points are 2.05 below 6.05 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
5 7.09 -2.09 scored 2.09 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
13 13.16 -0.16 conceded 0.16 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
4 6.05 -2.05 2.05 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Oud-Heverlee Leuven are 2.09 goals below their xG after 7 matches. The gap was widest at -3.31, against SK Beveren on Sun 06/09.

Goals
5
xG
7.09
Gap
-2.09
Sun 09/08 Sat 15/08 Sat 29/08 Thu 03/09 Sun 06/09 Sat 12/09 Sat 19/09 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.30 -1.02 -1.91 -2.43 -3.31 -3.23 -2.09 -0.30 -0.72 -0.89 -0.52 -0.88 +0.08 +1.14 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Oud-Heverlee Leuven: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 09/08 RC Sporting Charleroi 1 1.30 -0.30 -0.30
Sat 15/08 Club Brugge KV 0 0.72 -0.72 -1.02
Sat 29/08 Standard Liège 1 1.89 -0.89 -1.91
Thu 03/09 KAA Gent 0 0.52 -0.52 -2.43
Sun 06/09 SK Beveren 0 0.88 -0.88 -3.31
Sat 12/09 Cercle Brugge 1 0.92 +0.08 -3.23
Sat 19/09 RAAL La Louvière 2 0.86 +1.14 -2.09

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Oud-Heverlee Leuven xG trend

Current form -0.38 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 3 of 7 matches. The worst was against Club Brugge KV on Sat 15/08 (-2.35).

npxG · last 6
1.01
npxGA · last 6
1.39
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -1.07 Sun 09/08 -2.35 Sat 15/08 +1.32 Sat 29/08 -0.19 Thu 03/09 -1.52 Sun 06/09 +0.11 Sat 12/09 +0.38 Sat 19/09 -0.47 season avg
Oud-Heverlee Leuven: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 09/08 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.30 2.37 -1.07 -1.07
Sat 15/08 Club Brugge KV 0.72 3.07 -2.35 -1.71
Sat 29/08 Standard Liège 1.89 0.57 +1.32 -0.70
Thu 03/09 KAA Gent 0.79 0.98 -0.19 -0.57
Sun 06/09 SK Beveren 0.89 2.41 -1.52 -0.76
Sat 12/09 Cercle Brugge 0.92 0.81 +0.11 -0.62
Sat 19/09 RAAL La Louvière 0.86 0.48 +0.38 -0.47

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.05 npxG and 1.53 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 7 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
+0.03 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 15 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
−0.12 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.03 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · tied number 7 hardest of 18

  1. RAAL La Louvière Home −0.30
  2. Cercle Brugge Home +0.16
  3. SK Beveren Away −0.38
  4. KAA Gent Away +0.09
  5. Standard Liège Home −0.19
  6. Club Brugge KV Home +0.56
  7. RC Sporting Charleroi Away +0.29

Last 5

−0.12 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 15 hardest of 18

  1. RAAL La Louvière Home −0.30
  2. Cercle Brugge Home +0.16
  3. SK Beveren Away −0.38
  4. KAA Gent Away +0.09
  5. Standard Liège Home −0.19

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Oud-Heverlee Leuven shots and chance quality

Average volume, low quality. Oud-Heverlee Leuven take 13.1 shots a match (league 14.2) at 0.08 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #11 in Jupiler Pro League for volume and #18 for quality. 68% of their shots come from inside the box (league 69%), and set pieces produce 23% of their npxG (league 25%).

Attack

Shot volume
13.1 shots per match
#11/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 18.7
#2 RC Sporting Charleroi 18.0
=3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 17.3
=3 Sint-Truidense VV 17.3
#5 RSC Anderlecht 16.6
#6 KVC Westerlo 15.3
#7 Royal Antwerp FC 15.1
#8 Cercle Brugge 14.7
#9 KRC Genk 14.1
#10 Standard Liège 14.0
#11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13.1
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 12.9
#13 KAA Gent 12.4
#14 KV Mechelen 11.9
#15 KV Kortrijk 11.7
#16 RAAL La Louvière 10.9
#17 SK Beveren 10.7
#18 Lommel SK 10.0
League avg
14.2
Total
92 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.08 npxG per shot
#18/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.12
#2 Standard Liège 0.11
#3 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#4 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#5 KRC Genk 0.11
#6 Club Brugge KV 0.10
#7 Cercle Brugge 0.10
#8 RSC Anderlecht 0.10
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#10 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.10
#11 SK Beveren 0.09
#12 KVC Westerlo 0.09
#13 KV Kortrijk 0.09
#14 KAA Gent 0.09
#15 KV Mechelen 0.09
#16 Royal Antwerp FC 0.08
#17 Lommel SK 0.08
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
7.37 npxG from 92 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
15.0 shots per match
=12/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 RSC Anderlecht 9.9
#2 KAA Gent 10.3
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 11.0
#4 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 11.3
#5 SV Zulte Waregem 12.1
#6 Club Brugge KV 13.1
#7 Cercle Brugge 13.6
#8 KV Mechelen 14.3
#9 KRC Genk 14.7
=10 KV Kortrijk 14.9
=10 Sint-Truidense VV 14.9
=12 KVC Westerlo 15.0
=12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15.0
#14 Standard Liège 15.3
#15 SK Beveren 15.6
#16 RAAL La Louvière 15.7
#17 Royal Antwerp FC 17.1
#18 Lommel SK 21.0
League avg
14.2
Total
105 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#9/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 KRC Genk 0.07
#2 KAA Gent 0.07
#3 Lommel SK 0.07
#4 Standard Liège 0.08
#5 RSC Anderlecht 0.09
#6 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.09
#7 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.09
#8 Club Brugge KV 0.09
#9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.10
#10 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#11 KV Mechelen 0.11
#12 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#13 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#14 SK Beveren 0.11
#15 Cercle Brugge 0.11
#16 KV Kortrijk 0.11
#17 KVC Westerlo 0.11
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 0.12
League avg
0.10
Total
10.69 npxGA from 105 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

68% inside the box

League avg 69%

From 63 of 92 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

68% allowed inside the box

League avg 69%

From 71 of 105 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

77% open play · 23% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 1.7 of 7.3 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

74% open play · 26% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 2.8 of 10.6 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Oud-Heverlee Leuven home and away xG

Oud-Heverlee Leuven per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 3
xG / match 1.10 0.90
xGA / match 1.59 2.27
xGD / match -0.49 -1.37
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.12 0.53

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Oud-Heverlee Leuven match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
7
xG / match
1.01
xGA / match
1.88
xGD / match
-0.87
Points
4 of 21
  1. Sat 19/09 RAAL La Louvière H xG 0.86 xGA 0.47 xGD +0.39
  2. Sat 12/09 Cercle Brugge H xG 0.92 xGA 1.60 P xGD -0.68
  3. Sun 06/09 SK Beveren A xG 0.88 xGA 2.68 xGD -1.80
  4. Thu 03/09 KAA Gent A xG 0.52 xGA 0.98 xGD -0.46
  5. Sat 29/08 Standard Liège H Best underlying xG 1.89 xGA 1.36 P xGD +0.53
  6. Sat 15/08 Club Brugge KV H Weakest underlying xG 0.72 xGA 2.92 xGD -2.20
  7. Sun 09/08 RC Sporting Charleroi A xG 1.30 xGA 3.15 P xGD -1.85

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.15. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Oud-Heverlee Leuven in Jupiler Pro League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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