Saturday, 31/10/2026 at 20:45
27d 14h to kick-offRSC Anderlecht – KVC Westerlo
Model updated 4 October, 06:30 Odds not yet available
What the model expects
- RSC Anderlecht
- 50%
- Draw
- 27%
- KVC Westerlo
- 23%
| RSC Anderlecht | Draw | KVC Westerlo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fair odds | 1.98 | 3.72 | 4.41 |
- Total goals
- 3.02
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60%
- Both teams to score
- 64%
Both teams have the full 20-match model window available.
Model vs market
Market odds are not available for this match yet.
Why the model leans RSC Anderlecht
50% RSC Anderlecht to win
- Attack
- 5th vs 13th
- RSC Anderlecht attack v KVC Westerlo defence
- Defence
- 5th vs 8th
- RSC Anderlecht defence v KVC Westerlo attack
- Recent xG form
- +0.50 vs -0.26
- xGD per match, last 6
- Projected goals
- 1.81 – 1.21
- RSC Anderlecht v KVC Westerlo
Team comparison
Season to date, per match, with each club's placing in the competition. The last row is the last 6 matches.
| Reading | RSC Anderlecht | KVC Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| xG / match | (better) 1.62 · 8th | 1.45 · 9th |
| xGA / match | (better) 0.87 · 2nd | 1.81 · 13th |
| xGD / match | (better) +0.76 · 4th | -0.37 · 13th |
| xPts / match | (better) 1.88 · 4th | 1.24 · 11th |
| Last 6 xGD / match | (better) +0.50 | -0.25 |
The scorelines behind the model's numbers
No exact score is especially likely. The 3 most probable scorelines account for 32% of the model's distribution.
- RSC Anderlecht clean sheet
- 27%
- RSC Anderlecht 2+ goals
- 56%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 40%
- Both teams to score: no
- 36%
Most likely scorelines
- 1:1
- 13.0%
- 2:1
- 11.2%
- 2:0
- 7.9%
Check your bookmaker's price
Enter a bookmaker's price to compare it with the model's fair odds.
How value is calculated
Value is probability × odds − 1 — it pays on average and over the long run, not necessarily in this match. The model knows nothing of absences, motivation or the schedule.
Nothing you type is remembered.
Model details
Show
Hide
- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- RSC Anderlecht sample
- 20 matches
- KVC Westerlo sample
- 20 matches
- Home xG sample · RSC Anderlecht
- 4 matches
- Away xG sample · KVC Westerlo
- 4 matches
- Computed
- Sunday, 04/10/2026 at 06:30
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.