xgEdge

Expected goals

SK Beveren expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Jupiler Pro League · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

SK Beveren's attacking and defensive expected goals in Jupiler Pro League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

SK Beveren xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.11 xG per match
#15/18
Attack (xG per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 2.16
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2.09
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.91
#4 Sint-Truidense VV 1.91
#5 Standard Liège 1.79
#6 KRC Genk 1.78
#7 Cercle Brugge 1.69
#8 RSC Anderlecht 1.62
#9 KVC Westerlo 1.45
#10 Royal Antwerp FC 1.34
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.29
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 1.26
#13 KV Mechelen 1.22
#14 KAA Gent 1.16
#15 SK Beveren 1.11
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.01
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.99
#18 Lommel SK 0.94
League avg
1.48
Total
7.78 7 matches
Defence
1.86 xGA per match
#15/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 KAA Gent 0.66
#2 RSC Anderlecht 0.87
#3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.02
#4 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.06
#5 KRC Genk 1.08
#6 Club Brugge KV 1.20
#7 SV Zulte Waregem 1.31
#8 KV Mechelen 1.46
#9 Lommel SK 1.50
#10 Standard Liège 1.53
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.65
#12 Cercle Brugge 1.75
#13 KVC Westerlo 1.81
#14 Sint-Truidense VV 1.84
#15 SK Beveren 1.86
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.88
#17 KV Kortrijk 1.92
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 2.30
League avg
1.48
Total
13.00 7 matches
xG difference
-0.75 xGD per match
#15/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise +1.06
#2 Club Brugge KV +0.96
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi +0.86
#4 RSC Anderlecht +0.76
#5 KRC Genk +0.70
#6 KAA Gent +0.50
#7 Standard Liège +0.25
#8 Sint-Truidense VV +0.07
#9 SV Zulte Waregem -0.05
#10 Cercle Brugge -0.07
#11 KV Mechelen -0.24
#12 RAAL La Louvière -0.36
#13 KVC Westerlo -0.37
#14 Lommel SK -0.56
#15 SK Beveren -0.75
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven -0.87
#17 KV Kortrijk -0.93
#18 Royal Antwerp FC -0.97
League avg
0.00
Total
-5.22 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.95 xPts per match
#16/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 RC Sporting Charleroi 2.02
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.98
#3 Club Brugge KV 1.90
#4 RSC Anderlecht 1.88
#5 KAA Gent 1.81
#6 KRC Genk 1.64
#7 Standard Liège 1.48
#8 Sint-Truidense VV 1.44
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 1.34
#10 Cercle Brugge 1.25
#11 KVC Westerlo 1.24
#12 KV Mechelen 1.19
#13 RAAL La Louvière 1.08
#14 Royal Antwerp FC 1.00
#15 Lommel SK 1.00
#16 SK Beveren 0.95
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.87
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.86
League avg
1.39
Total
6.66 vs 9 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

SK Beveren's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Jupiler Pro League. They rank #15 for xG difference at -0.75 per match, from low shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 7 goals are 0.78 below 7.78 xG, while 9 points are 2.34 above 6.66 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.04 xG from penalties
7 7.78 -0.78 scored 0.78 fewer than xG within normal variance
11 13.00 -2.00 conceded 2.00 fewer than xGA within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

SK Beveren are 0.78 goals below their xG after 7 matches. The gap was widest at -0.99, against KRC Genk on Fri 28/08.

Goals
7
xG
7.78
Gap
-0.78
Sun 09/08 Sun 16/08 Sat 22/08 Fri 28/08 Sun 06/09 Sat 12/09 Sun 20/09 -1 0 +1 +0.04 +0.40 -0.38 -0.99 -0.67 -0.36 -0.78 +0.04 +0.36 -0.78 -0.61 +0.32 +0.31 -0.42 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
SK Beveren: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 09/08 Royal Antwerp FC 1 0.96 +0.04 +0.04
Sun 16/08 RSC Anderlecht 1 0.64 +0.36 +0.40
Sat 22/08 SV Zulte Waregem 0 0.78 -0.78 -0.38
Fri 28/08 KRC Genk 0 0.61 -0.61 -0.99
Sun 06/09 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3 2.68 +0.32 -0.67
Sat 12/09 Sint-Truidense VV 2 1.69 +0.31 -0.36
Sun 20/09 KV Kortrijk 0 0.42 -0.42 -0.78

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

SK Beveren xG trend

Current form -0.69 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 2 of 7 matches. The worst was against SV Zulte Waregem on Sat 22/08 (-1.83).

npxG · last 6
0.96
npxGA · last 6
1.66
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 -1.24 Sun 09/08 -0.47 Sun 16/08 -1.83 Sat 22/08 -1.74 Fri 28/08 +1.52 Sun 06/09 +0.19 Sat 12/09 -1.83 Sun 20/09 -0.77 season avg
SK Beveren: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 09/08 Royal Antwerp FC 0.96 2.20 -1.24 -1.24
Sun 16/08 RSC Anderlecht 0.64 1.11 -0.47 -0.86
Sat 22/08 SV Zulte Waregem 0.79 2.62 -1.83 -1.18
Fri 28/08 KRC Genk 0.61 2.35 -1.74 -1.32
Sun 06/09 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2.41 0.89 +1.52 -0.75
Sat 12/09 Sint-Truidense VV 0.91 0.72 +0.19 -0.60
Sun 20/09 KV Kortrijk 0.42 2.25 -1.83 -0.77

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.96 npxG and 1.73 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 9 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
0.00 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 8 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
0.00 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

0.00 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · tied number 9 hardest of 18

  1. KV Kortrijk Away −0.30
  2. Sint-Truidense VV Home +0.11
  3. Oud-Heverlee Leuven Home −0.25
  4. KRC Genk Away +0.33
  5. SV Zulte Waregem Away +0.11
  6. RSC Anderlecht Home +0.21
  7. Royal Antwerp FC Away −0.25

Last 5

0.00 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 8 hardest of 18

  1. KV Kortrijk Away −0.30
  2. Sint-Truidense VV Home +0.11
  3. Oud-Heverlee Leuven Home −0.25
  4. KRC Genk Away +0.33
  5. SV Zulte Waregem Away +0.11

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

SK Beveren shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. SK Beveren take 10.7 shots a match (league 14.2) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #17 in Jupiler Pro League for volume and #11 for quality. 67% of their shots come from inside the box (league 69%), and set pieces produce 21% of their npxG (league 25%).

Attack

Shot volume
10.7 shots per match
#17/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 18.7
#2 RC Sporting Charleroi 18.0
=3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 17.3
=3 Sint-Truidense VV 17.3
#5 RSC Anderlecht 16.6
#6 KVC Westerlo 15.3
#7 Royal Antwerp FC 15.1
#8 Cercle Brugge 14.7
#9 KRC Genk 14.1
#10 Standard Liège 14.0
#11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13.1
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 12.9
#13 KAA Gent 12.4
#14 KV Mechelen 11.9
#15 KV Kortrijk 11.7
#16 RAAL La Louvière 10.9
#17 SK Beveren 10.7
#18 Lommel SK 10.0
League avg
14.2
Total
75 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#11/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.12
#2 Standard Liège 0.11
#3 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#4 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#5 KRC Genk 0.11
#6 Club Brugge KV 0.10
#7 Cercle Brugge 0.10
#8 RSC Anderlecht 0.10
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#10 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.10
#11 SK Beveren 0.09
#12 KVC Westerlo 0.09
#13 KV Kortrijk 0.09
#14 KAA Gent 0.09
#15 KV Mechelen 0.09
#16 Royal Antwerp FC 0.08
#17 Lommel SK 0.08
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
6.74 npxG from 75 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
15.6 shots per match
#15/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 RSC Anderlecht 9.9
#2 KAA Gent 10.3
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 11.0
#4 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 11.3
#5 SV Zulte Waregem 12.1
#6 Club Brugge KV 13.1
#7 Cercle Brugge 13.6
#8 KV Mechelen 14.3
#9 KRC Genk 14.7
=10 KV Kortrijk 14.9
=10 Sint-Truidense VV 14.9
=12 KVC Westerlo 15.0
=12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15.0
#14 Standard Liège 15.3
#15 SK Beveren 15.6
#16 RAAL La Louvière 15.7
#17 Royal Antwerp FC 17.1
#18 Lommel SK 21.0
League avg
14.2
Total
109 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
#14/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 KRC Genk 0.07
#2 KAA Gent 0.07
#3 Lommel SK 0.07
#4 Standard Liège 0.08
#5 RSC Anderlecht 0.09
#6 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.09
#7 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.09
#8 Club Brugge KV 0.09
#9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.10
#10 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#11 KV Mechelen 0.11
#12 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#13 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#14 SK Beveren 0.11
#15 Cercle Brugge 0.11
#16 KV Kortrijk 0.11
#17 KVC Westerlo 0.11
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 0.12
League avg
0.10
Total
12.14 npxGA from 109 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

67% inside the box

League avg 69%

From 50 of 75 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

72% allowed inside the box

League avg 69%

From 79 of 109 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

79% open play · 21% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 1.4 of 6.7 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

83% open play · 17% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 2.0 of 12.1 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

SK Beveren home and away xG

SK Beveren per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 3 4
xG / match 1.67 0.69
xGA / match 0.96 2.53
xGD / match +0.71 -1.84
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.82 0.30

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every SK Beveren match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.06. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

SK Beveren in Jupiler Pro League

Attack

Defence

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →