Atlético Madrid 0:1 Celta Vigo: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 09/05/2026 at 18:30

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Match report · La Liga

Atlético Madrid Home 2.18 xG · 20 shots

Celta Vigo Away 0.13 xG · 3 shots

01 The result went against the chances

Goals

62' Borja Iglesias Celta Vigo · 0.06 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Atlético Madrid Celta Vigo

Shots: 20; 3
On target: 4; 1
Inside the box: 16; 1
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.04
Open play xG: 1.92; 0.12
Set-piece xG: 0.11; 0.00
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.02 for Atlético Madrid and 0.13 for Celta Vigo.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 2.15 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Atlético Madrid
Celta Vigo
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Atlético Madrid

1.32 xG created 1.86 xGA

L 1.00 created, 2.42 conceded against Real Madrid
L 0.92 created, 2.22 conceded against Barcelona
L 0.84 created, 1.85 conceded against Sevilla
L 1.01 created, 2.78 conceded against Elche
W 2.09 created, 0.80 conceded against Athletic Club
W 2.04 created, 1.09 conceded against Valencia

Celta Vigo

1.37 xG created 1.51 xGA

L 1.82 created, 1.73 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
W 1.04 created, 0.81 conceded against Valencia
L 0.91 created, 1.71 conceded against Real Oviedo
L 1.41 created, 1.23 conceded against Barcelona
L 1.98 created, 1.89 conceded against Villarreal
W 1.05 created, 1.71 conceded against Elche

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Atlético Madrid: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Celta Vigo 1:1 Atlético Madrid 05/10/2025 xG 1.92 – 0.30

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.