Celta Vigo 3:1 Elche: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 03/05/2026 at 14:00

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Celta Vigo Home 1.05 xG · 6 shots

Elche Away 1.71 xG · 15 shots

31 The result went against the chances

Goals

14' Hugo Álvarez Celta Vigo · 0.36 xG chance 1–0
30' Iago Aspas Celta Vigo · 0.07 xG chance 2–0
82' André Silva (pen.) Elche · 0.82 xG chance 2–1
85' Borja Iglesias Celta Vigo · 0.19 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

Celta Vigo Elche

Shots: 6; 15
On target: 4; 4
Inside the box: 5; 11
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.10
Open play xG: 0.57; 0.50
Set-piece xG: 0.22; 0.14
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.82 for Celta Vigo and 0.66 for Elche.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

21 shots · 2.25 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Celta Vigo
Elche
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Celta Vigo

1.29 xG created 1.48 xGA

D 0.56 created, 1.49 conceded against Real Betis
L 1.82 created, 1.73 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
W 1.04 created, 0.81 conceded against Valencia
L 0.91 created, 1.71 conceded against Real Oviedo
L 1.41 created, 1.23 conceded against Barcelona
L 1.98 created, 1.89 conceded against Villarreal

Elche

1.10 xG created 1.44 xGA

L 0.84 created, 1.25 conceded against Real Madrid
W 1.56 created, 1.47 conceded against Mallorca
L 0.44 created, 1.37 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
W 0.59 created, 2.54 conceded against Valencia
W 2.78 created, 1.01 conceded against Atlético Madrid
W 0.40 created, 0.99 conceded against Real Oviedo

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Celta Vigo: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Elche 2:1 Celta Vigo 28/09/2025 xG 3.58 – 0.77

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.