Elche 1:0 Valencia: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 11/04/2026 at 16:15

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Elche Home 0.59 xG · 8 shots

Valencia Away 2.54 xG · 22 shots

10 The result went against the chances

Goals

73' Lucas Cepeda Elche · 0.31 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Elche Valencia

Shots: 8; 22
On target: 2; 8
Inside the box: 6; 16
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.10
Open play xG: 0.51; 1.83
Set-piece xG: 0.09; 0.46
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.59 for Elche and 2.33 for Valencia.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

30 shots · 2.89 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Elche
Valencia
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Elche

1.14 xG created 1.61 xGA

L 0.82 created, 3.19 conceded against Athletic Club
D 1.90 created, 0.73 conceded against Espanyol
L 1.29 created, 1.62 conceded against Villarreal
L 0.84 created, 1.25 conceded against Real Madrid
W 1.56 created, 1.47 conceded against Mallorca
L 0.44 created, 1.37 conceded against Rayo Vallecano

Valencia

1.50 xG created 1.01 xGA

L 1.55 created, 2.06 conceded against Villarreal
W 1.67 created, 0.31 conceded against Osasuna
W 2.63 created, 1.33 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
L 0.55 created, 0.87 conceded against Real Oviedo
W 1.81 created, 0.43 conceded against Sevilla
L 0.81 created, 1.04 conceded against Celta Vigo

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Elche: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Valencia 1:1 Elche 10/01/2026 xG 1.96 – 0.16

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.