Real Oviedo 1:0 Valencia: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 14/03/2026 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Real Oviedo Home 0.87 xG · 11 shots

Valencia Away 0.55 xG · 13 shots

10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

30' David Costas Real Oviedo · 0.23 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Real Oviedo Valencia

Shots: 11; 13
On target: 6; 2
Inside the box: 7; 6
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.04
Open play xG: 0.52; 0.43
Set-piece xG: 0.32; 0.11
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.87 for Real Oviedo and 0.55 for Valencia.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 1.38 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Real Oviedo
Valencia
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Real Oviedo

1.06 xG created 1.50 xGA

W 1.34 created, 0.61 conceded against Girona FC
L 0.36 created, 1.20 conceded against Athletic Club
D 1.68 created, 2.00 conceded against Real Sociedad
L 1.10 created, 0.97 conceded against Atlético Madrid
L 0.99 created, 2.45 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
D 0.87 created, 1.78 conceded against Espanyol

Valencia

1.48 xG created 1.20 xGA

L 1.89 created, 1.82 conceded against Real Betis
L 0.44 created, 1.03 conceded against Real Madrid
W 0.68 created, 0.63 conceded against Levante UD
L 1.55 created, 2.06 conceded against Villarreal
W 1.67 created, 0.31 conceded against Osasuna
W 2.63 created, 1.33 conceded against Deportivo Alavés

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Real Oviedo: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Valencia 1:2 Real Oviedo 30/09/2025 xG 1.51 – 0.77

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.