xgEdge

Expected goals

Málaga expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

La Liga · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

Málaga's attacking and defensive expected goals in La Liga 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Málaga xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
0.84 xG per match
#19/20
Attack (xG per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Barcelona 4.07
#2 Real Madrid 2.64
#3 Villarreal 2.38
#4 Atlético Madrid 1.72
#5 Athletic Club 1.64
#6 Real Betis 1.52
#7 Racing de Santander 1.45
#8 Levante UD 1.33
#9 Deportivo Alavés 1.28
#10 Rayo Vallecano 1.27
#11 Espanyol 1.24
#12 Osasuna 1.24
#13 Elche 1.24
#14 Real Sociedad 1.19
#15 Celta Vigo 1.01
#16 Sevilla 0.99
#17 Deportivo La Coruña 0.97
#18 Valencia 0.87
#19 Málaga 0.84
#20 Getafe 0.69
League avg
1.48
Total
5.85 7 matches
Defence
1.66 xGA per match
#14/20
Defence (xGA per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Atlético Madrid 1.02
#2 Real Madrid 1.09
#3 Barcelona 1.09
#4 Deportivo La Coruña 1.15
#5 Deportivo Alavés 1.19
#6 Villarreal 1.25
#7 Celta Vigo 1.26
#8 Getafe 1.27
#9 Sevilla 1.30
#10 Athletic Club 1.36
#11 Espanyol 1.36
#12 Osasuna 1.39
#13 Valencia 1.64
#14 Málaga 1.66
#15 Real Sociedad 1.68
#16 Rayo Vallecano 1.76
#17 Real Betis 1.86
#18 Elche 2.01
#19 Levante UD 2.08
#20 Racing de Santander 2.20
League avg
1.48
Total
11.65 7 matches
xG difference
-0.83 xGD per match
#20/20
xG difference (xGD per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Barcelona +2.99
#2 Real Madrid +1.55
#3 Villarreal +1.12
#4 Atlético Madrid +0.70
#5 Athletic Club +0.28
#6 Deportivo Alavés +0.09
#7 Espanyol -0.12
#8 Osasuna -0.15
#9 Deportivo La Coruña -0.18
#10 Celta Vigo -0.26
#11 Sevilla -0.31
#12 Real Betis -0.34
#13 Rayo Vallecano -0.50
#14 Real Sociedad -0.50
#15 Getafe -0.57
#16 Levante UD -0.75
#17 Racing de Santander -0.76
#18 Elche -0.77
#19 Valencia -0.78
#20 Málaga -0.83
League avg
0.00
Total
-5.80 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.86 xPts per match
#20/20
Expected points (xPts per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Barcelona 2.66
#2 Real Madrid 2.27
#3 Villarreal 1.92
#4 Atlético Madrid 1.86
#5 Athletic Club 1.82
#6 Deportivo Alavés 1.44
#7 Osasuna 1.36
#8 Espanyol 1.35
#9 Sevilla 1.30
#10 Celta Vigo 1.28
#11 Real Betis 1.20
#12 Real Sociedad 1.17
#13 Elche 1.14
#14 Racing de Santander 1.14
#15 Deportivo La Coruña 1.14
#16 Rayo Vallecano 1.12
#17 Levante UD 1.04
#18 Getafe 0.92
#19 Valencia 0.91
#20 Málaga 0.86
League avg
1.39
Total
5.99 vs 3 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Málaga's underlying numbers are among the weakest in La Liga. They rank #20 for xG difference at -0.83 per match, from low shot volume and low chance quality. Their 3 goals are 2.85 below 5.85 xG, while 3 points are 2.99 below 5.99 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.47 xG from penalties
3 5.85 -2.85 scored 2.85 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
12 11.65 +0.35 conceded 0.35 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
3 5.99 -2.99 2.99 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Málaga are 2.85 goals below their xG after 7 matches. The gap was widest at -3.27, against Levante UD on Sun 06/09.

Goals
3
xG
5.85
Gap
-2.85
Wed 19/08 Mon 24/08 Sun 30/08 Sun 06/09 Sun 13/09 Thu 17/09 Sun 20/09 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.15 -1.10 -1.81 -3.27 -2.70 -2.33 -2.85 -0.15 -0.95 -0.71 -1.46 +0.57 +0.37 -0.52 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Málaga: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Wed 19/08 Atlético Madrid 0 0.15 -0.15 -0.15
Mon 24/08 Deportivo La Coruña 1 1.95 -0.95 -1.10
Sun 30/08 Real Madrid 0 0.71 -0.71 -1.81
Sun 06/09 Levante UD 0 1.46 -1.46 -3.27
Sun 13/09 Celta Vigo 1 0.43 +0.57 -2.70
Thu 17/09 Villarreal 1 0.63 +0.37 -2.33
Sun 20/09 Getafe 0 0.52 -0.52 -2.85

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Málaga xG trend

Current form -0.91 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 1 of 7 matches. The worst was against Villarreal on Thu 17/09 (-1.90).

npxG · last 6
0.71
npxGA · last 6
1.61
-2 -1 0 +1 -0.67 Wed 19/08 +0.07 Mon 24/08 -1.79 Sun 30/08 -0.13 Sun 06/09 -1.30 Sun 13/09 -1.90 Thu 17/09 -0.38 Sun 20/09 -0.87 season avg
Málaga: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Wed 19/08 Atlético Madrid 0.15 0.82 -0.67 -0.67
Mon 24/08 Deportivo La Coruña 1.18 1.11 +0.07 -0.30
Sun 30/08 Real Madrid 0.72 2.51 -1.79 -0.80
Sun 06/09 Levante UD 0.68 0.81 -0.13 -0.63
Sun 13/09 Celta Vigo 0.48 1.78 -1.30 -0.76
Thu 17/09 Villarreal 0.65 2.55 -1.90 -0.95
Sun 20/09 Getafe 0.52 0.90 -0.38 -0.87

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.63 npxG and 1.50 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 7 hardest of 20 in La Liga
+0.04 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 10 hardest of 20 in La Liga
+0.03 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.04 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · tied number 7 hardest of 20

  1. Getafe Away −0.28
  2. Villarreal Home +0.23
  3. Celta Vigo Away −0.36
  4. Levante UD Home 0.00
  5. Real Madrid Away +0.60
  6. Deportivo La Coruña Home −0.24
  7. Atlético Madrid Away +0.34

Last 5

+0.03 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 10 hardest of 20

  1. Getafe Away −0.28
  2. Villarreal Home +0.23
  3. Celta Vigo Away −0.36
  4. Levante UD Home 0.00
  5. Real Madrid Away +0.60

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Málaga shots and chance quality

Low volume, low quality. Málaga take 10.0 shots a match (league 13.2) at 0.06 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #19 in La Liga for volume and #19 for quality. 56% of their shots come from inside the box (league 62%), and set pieces produce 32% of their npxG (league 20%).

Attack

Shot volume
10.0 shots per match
#19/20
Shot volume (shots per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Barcelona 21.4
#2 Real Madrid 18.9
#3 Real Betis 17.4
#4 Atlético Madrid 16.9
#5 Villarreal 16.0
#6 Athletic Club 15.7
#7 Espanyol 13.6
=8 Rayo Vallecano 13.4
=8 Real Sociedad 13.4
#10 Deportivo Alavés 12.4
#11 Getafe 11.7
#12 Elche 11.3
#13 Sevilla 11.0
#14 Levante UD 10.7
#15 Valencia 10.6
=16 Celta Vigo 10.3
=16 Racing de Santander 10.3
#18 Deportivo La Coruña 10.1
#19 Málaga 10.0
#20 Osasuna 9.4
League avg
13.2
Total
70 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.06 npxG per shot
#19/20
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Barcelona 0.16
#2 Levante UD 0.13
#3 Real Madrid 0.13
#4 Villarreal 0.13
#5 Deportivo Alavés 0.11
#6 Racing de Santander 0.10
#7 Elche 0.10
#8 Deportivo La Coruña 0.10
#9 Osasuna 0.10
#10 Rayo Vallecano 0.09
#11 Athletic Club 0.09
#12 Espanyol 0.09
#13 Real Betis 0.09
#14 Atlético Madrid 0.09
#15 Valencia 0.08
#16 Celta Vigo 0.08
#17 Real Sociedad 0.08
#18 Sevilla 0.07
#19 Málaga 0.06
#20 Getafe 0.06
League avg
0.10
Total
4.38 npxG from 70 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
14.9 shots per match
#13/20
Shots allowed (shots per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Barcelona 7.3
#2 Athletic Club 9.5
#3 Atlético Madrid 9.7
#4 Sevilla 11.3
#5 Espanyol 12.0
#6 Deportivo Alavés 12.1
#7 Celta Vigo 12.4
=8 Osasuna 12.7
=8 Real Madrid 12.7
=10 Deportivo La Coruña 12.9
=10 Villarreal 12.9
#12 Getafe 13.3
#13 Málaga 14.9
#14 Levante UD 15.2
=15 Elche 15.3
=15 Valencia 15.3
#17 Real Betis 15.7
#18 Real Sociedad 15.9
#19 Rayo Vallecano 16.6
#20 Racing de Santander 16.7
League avg
13.2
Total
104 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#10/20
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Deportivo Alavés 0.07
#2 Getafe 0.07
#3 Real Madrid 0.08
#4 Atlético Madrid 0.08
#5 Rayo Vallecano 0.09
#6 Deportivo La Coruña 0.09
#7 Villarreal 0.09
#8 Celta Vigo 0.09
#9 Real Sociedad 0.10
#10 Málaga 0.10
#11 Athletic Club 0.10
#12 Valencia 0.10
#13 Racing de Santander 0.11
#14 Espanyol 0.11
#15 Sevilla 0.11
#16 Osasuna 0.11
#17 Real Betis 0.12
#18 Levante UD 0.12
#19 Elche 0.12
#20 Barcelona 0.15
League avg
0.10
Total
10.48 npxGA from 104 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

56% inside the box

League avg 62%

From 39 of 70 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

60% allowed inside the box

League avg 62%

From 62 of 104 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

68% open play · 32% set pieces

League avg 20% set pieces

From 1.4 of 4.4 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

80% open play · 20% set pieces

League avg 20% set pieces

From 2.0 of 10.3 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Málaga home and away xG

Málaga per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 3 4
xG / match 1.35 0.45
xGA / match 1.75 1.60
xGD / match -0.41 -1.15
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.34 0.49

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Málaga match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
7
xG / match
0.84
xGA / match
1.66
xGD / match
-0.83
Points
3 of 21
  1. Sun 20/09 Getafe A xG 0.52 xGA 0.95 xGD -0.43
  2. Thu 17/09 Villarreal H Weakest underlying xG 0.63 xGA 3.33 P xGD -2.70
  3. Sun 13/09 Celta Vigo A xG 0.43 xGA 1.90 xGD -1.47
  4. Sun 06/09 Levante UD H xG 1.46 P xGA 0.81 xGD +0.65
  5. Sun 30/08 Real Madrid A xG 0.71 xGA 2.62 xGD -1.91
  6. Mon 24/08 Deportivo La Coruña H Best underlying xG 1.95 P xGA 1.12 xGD +0.83
  7. Wed 19/08 Atlético Madrid A xG 0.15 xGA 0.92 xGD -0.77

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.33. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Málaga in La Liga

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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