xgEdge

Académico Viseu FC's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 3 of 3 matching results

7 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses

3 pts 2–5 goals −3 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
3.21 – 4.84
1.07 – 1.61 per match
xGD
-1.63
-0.54 per match
xG record
0 with the chances, 0 with even chances, 3 against them

Small sample: 3 matches.

Comparable xG: 3 of 3 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

3 pts 2.7 xPts

+0.3 vs xPts

Small sample: 3 matches.

Matched xPts: 3 of 3 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · All competitions · Home

Académico Viseu FC's mixed record runs ahead of the chances they created and conceded. They out-created the opponent in 0 of 3 matches, for −1.63 xG difference overall on 3.21–4.84. Their points total of 3 sits 0.3 above the model's 2.7 xPts, so the results have slightly outrun the chances.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 3 results Académico Viseu FC are 0.31 points above their xPts.

Points
3
xPts
2.69
Gap
+0.31
Sat 15/08 Sat 29/08 Sat 12/09 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.72 -1.50 +0.31 -0.72 -0.78 +1.81 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Académico Viseu FC: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sat 15/08 Santa Clara 0 0.72 -0.72 -0.72
Sat 29/08 FC Porto 0 0.78 -0.78 -1.50
Sat 12/09 Vitória SC 3 1.19 +1.81 +0.31

Scores and xG

Académico Viseu FC first

  • Home Liga Portugal Win against the chances

    xG 1.83

    xGA 2.10

    xGD -0.27

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Vitória SC, Sat 12/09

    The team won despite recording less xG than its opponent. That contrast does not make the win impossible or establish why it happened.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.19
    Points minus xPts
    +1.81

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Liga Portugal Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.80

    xGA 1.47

    xGD -0.67

    0:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Porto, Sat 29/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.77
    Points minus xPts
    -0.77

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Liga Portugal Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.58

    xGA 1.27

    xGD -0.69

    0:1 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Santa Clara, Sat 15/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.72
    Points minus xPts
    -0.72

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →