xgEdge

Expected goals

Académico Viseu FC expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Liga Portugal · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

Académico Viseu FC's attacking and defensive expected goals in Liga Portugal 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Académico Viseu FC xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.30 xG per match
#8/18
Attack (xG per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Benfica 2.32
#2 FC Porto 2.26
#3 Sporting 2.01
#4 Vitória SC 1.77
#5 FC Alverca 1.40
#6 Santa Clara 1.35
#7 Gil Vicente 1.31
#8 Académico Viseu FC 1.30
#9 Sporting Braga 1.25
#10 FC Arouca 1.24
#11 CF Estrela Amadora 1.23
#12 CD Nacional 1.15
#13 Famalicão 0.99
#14 Marítimo 0.94
#15 Casa Pia 0.89
#16 Estoril Praia 0.85
#17 Moreirense 0.68
#18 Rio Ave 0.54
League avg
1.31
Total
9.10 7 matches
Defence
1.71 xGA per match
#13/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Sporting Braga 0.65
#2 Benfica 0.65
#3 Santa Clara 0.69
#4 Vitória SC 0.77
#5 Sporting 0.79
#6 Gil Vicente 0.88
#7 FC Porto 0.98
#8 Famalicão 1.25
#9 Marítimo 1.32
#10 FC Arouca 1.38
#11 Estoril Praia 1.62
#12 CF Estrela Amadora 1.63
#13 Académico Viseu FC 1.71
#14 Moreirense 1.73
#15 FC Alverca 1.74
#16 Casa Pia 1.77
#17 CD Nacional 1.87
#18 Rio Ave 1.92
League avg
1.31
Total
11.95 7 matches
xG difference
-0.41 xGD per match
#13/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Benfica +1.66
#2 FC Porto +1.28
#3 Sporting +1.22
#4 Vitória SC +0.99
#5 Santa Clara +0.67
#6 Sporting Braga +0.60
#7 Gil Vicente +0.43
#8 FC Arouca -0.14
#9 Famalicão -0.26
#10 FC Alverca -0.34
#11 Marítimo -0.38
#12 CF Estrela Amadora -0.40
#13 Académico Viseu FC -0.41
#14 CD Nacional -0.72
#15 Estoril Praia -0.76
#16 Casa Pia -0.87
#17 Moreirense -1.06
#18 Rio Ave -1.38
League avg
0.00
Total
-2.85 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.08 xPts per match
#11/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Benfica 2.40
#2 FC Porto 2.22
#3 Sporting 2.17
#4 Vitória SC 1.96
#5 Santa Clara 1.93
#6 Sporting Braga 1.83
#7 Gil Vicente 1.76
#8 FC Arouca 1.37
#9 Famalicão 1.18
#10 CF Estrela Amadora 1.13
#11 Académico Viseu FC 1.08
#12 Marítimo 1.07
#13 CD Nacional 1.06
#14 FC Alverca 1.06
#15 Casa Pia 0.91
#16 Estoril Praia 0.82
#17 Moreirense 0.68
#18 Rio Ave 0.46
League avg
1.39
Total
7.58 vs 11 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Académico Viseu FC's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Liga Portugal. They rank #13 for xG difference at -0.41 per match, built on the league's best chance quality rather than low shot volume. Their 9 goals are 0.10 below 9.10 xG, while 11 points are 3.42 above 7.58 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
9 9.10 -0.10 scored 0.10 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
9 11.95 -2.95 conceded 2.95 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
11 7.58 +3.42 3.42 points above xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Académico Viseu FC are 0.10 goals below their xG after 7 matches. The gap was widest at -0.40, against FC Porto on Sat 29/08.

Goals
9
xG
9.10
Gap
-0.10
Sun 09/08 Sat 15/08 Sat 22/08 Sat 29/08 Sun 06/09 Sat 12/09 Sun 20/09 -1 0 +1 +0.82 +0.24 +0.40 -0.40 +0.27 +0.44 -0.10 +0.82 -0.58 +0.16 -0.80 +0.67 +0.17 -0.54 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Académico Viseu FC: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 09/08 Benfica 2 1.18 +0.82 +0.82
Sat 15/08 Santa Clara 0 0.58 -0.58 +0.24
Sat 22/08 Marítimo 2 1.84 +0.16 +0.40
Sat 29/08 FC Porto 0 0.80 -0.80 -0.40
Sun 06/09 Gil Vicente 1 0.33 +0.67 +0.27
Sat 12/09 Vitória SC 2 1.83 +0.17 +0.44
Sun 20/09 CF Estrela Amadora 2 2.54 -0.54 -0.10

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Académico Viseu FC xG trend

Current form +0.17 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 3 of 7 matches. The worst was against Benfica on Sun 09/08 (-1.95).

npxG · last 6
1.38
npxGA · last 6
1.21
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 -1.95 Sun 09/08 +0.21 Sat 15/08 +1.35 Sat 22/08 -0.67 Sat 29/08 -1.55 Sun 06/09 -0.04 Sat 12/09 +1.70 Sun 20/09 -0.14 season avg
Académico Viseu FC: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 09/08 Benfica 1.18 3.13 -1.95 -1.95
Sat 15/08 Santa Clara 0.69 0.48 +0.21 -0.87
Sat 22/08 Marítimo 1.85 0.50 +1.35 -0.13
Sat 29/08 FC Porto 0.80 1.47 -0.67 -0.26
Sun 06/09 Gil Vicente 0.33 1.88 -1.55 -0.52
Sat 12/09 Vitória SC 2.06 2.10 -0.04 -0.44
Sun 20/09 CF Estrela Amadora 2.55 0.85 +1.70 -0.14

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.35 npxG and 1.49 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 1 hardest of 18 in Liga Portugal
+0.23 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 4 hardest of 18 in Liga Portugal
+0.11 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.23 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 1 hardest of 18

  1. CF Estrela Amadora Away −0.13
  2. Vitória SC Home +0.40
  3. Gil Vicente Away +0.06
  4. FC Porto Home +0.47
  5. Marítimo Away −0.23
  6. Santa Clara Home +0.22
  7. Benfica Away +0.79

Last 5

+0.11 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 4 hardest of 18

  1. CF Estrela Amadora Away −0.13
  2. Vitória SC Home +0.40
  3. Gil Vicente Away +0.06
  4. FC Porto Home +0.47
  5. Marítimo Away −0.23

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Académico Viseu FC shots and chance quality

Low volume, high quality. Académico Viseu FC take 9.3 shots a match (league 12.2) at 0.15 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #16 in Liga Portugal for volume and #1 for quality. 68% of their shots come from inside the box (league 63%), and set pieces produce 39% of their npxG (league 22%).

Attack

Shot volume
9.3 shots per match
#16/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club shots per match
=1 Benfica 19.1
=1 Vitória SC 19.1
#3 FC Porto 16.0
#4 Gil Vicente 14.0
#5 Sporting 13.4
=6 CF Estrela Amadora 13.1
=6 Santa Clara 13.1
#8 Estoril Praia 12.7
#9 Sporting Braga 12.5
#10 FC Alverca 11.9
#11 FC Arouca 10.9
#12 CD Nacional 10.7
#13 Marítimo 10.4
#14 Casa Pia 10.3
#15 Famalicão 9.6
#16 Académico Viseu FC 9.3
#17 Moreirense 7.3
#18 Rio Ave 7.1
League avg
12.2
Total
65 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.15 npxG per shot
#1/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Académico Viseu FC 0.15
#2 Sporting 0.14
#3 FC Porto 0.12
#4 Benfica 0.11
#5 FC Alverca 0.11
#6 FC Arouca 0.11
#7 CD Nacional 0.10
#8 Sporting Braga 0.10
#9 Santa Clara 0.10
#10 Famalicão 0.09
#11 CF Estrela Amadora 0.09
#12 Vitória SC 0.09
#13 Marítimo 0.08
#14 Moreirense 0.08
#15 Gil Vicente 0.07
#16 Casa Pia 0.07
#17 Estoril Praia 0.06
#18 Rio Ave 0.06
League avg
0.10
Total
9.46 npxG from 65 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
17.6 shots per match
#18/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Vitória SC 7.1
#2 Benfica 7.6
#3 Santa Clara 8.1
#4 Sporting 8.6
#5 Sporting Braga 8.7
#6 Gil Vicente 9.8
#7 FC Porto 10.7
#8 CF Estrela Amadora 11.6
#9 Famalicão 12.0
#10 FC Alverca 12.1
#11 Marítimo 13.4
#12 Estoril Praia 13.9
#13 FC Arouca 14.9
#14 CD Nacional 15.1
=15 Casa Pia 15.7
=15 Moreirense 15.7
#17 Rio Ave 16.9
#18 Académico Viseu FC 17.6
League avg
12.2
Total
123 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.08 npxGA per shot
#6/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Sporting Braga 0.06
#2 Santa Clara 0.07
#3 Gil Vicente 0.08
#4 Sporting 0.08
#5 FC Porto 0.08
#6 Académico Viseu FC 0.08
#7 Benfica 0.09
#8 Marítimo 0.09
#9 FC Arouca 0.09
#10 Famalicão 0.10
#11 Casa Pia 0.10
#12 Moreirense 0.10
#13 CD Nacional 0.10
#14 Estoril Praia 0.11
#15 Rio Ave 0.11
#16 Vitória SC 0.11
#17 CF Estrela Amadora 0.12
#18 FC Alverca 0.13
League avg
0.10
Total
10.41 npxGA from 123 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

68% inside the box

League avg 63%

From 44 of 65 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

71% allowed inside the box

League avg 63%

From 87 of 123 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

61% open play · 39% set pieces

League avg 22% set pieces

From 3.7 of 9.3 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

83% open play · 17% set pieces

League avg 22% set pieces

From 1.7 of 10.4 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Académico Viseu FC home and away xG

Académico Viseu FC per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 3 4
xG / match 1.07 1.47
xGA / match 1.61 1.78
xGD / match -0.54 -0.31
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 0.90 1.22

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Académico Viseu FC match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
7
xG / match
1.30
xGA / match
1.71
xGD / match
-0.41
Points
11 of 21
  1. Sun 20/09 CF Estrela Amadora A Best underlying xG 2.54 xGA 0.84 xGD +1.70
  2. Sat 12/09 Vitória SC H xG 1.83 xGA 2.10 xGD -0.27
  3. Sun 06/09 Gil Vicente A Against the chances xG 0.33 xGA 1.88 xGD -1.55
  4. Sat 29/08 FC Porto H xG 0.80 xGA 1.47 xGD -0.67
  5. Sat 22/08 Marítimo A xG 1.84 xGA 1.28 P xGD +0.56
  6. Sat 15/08 Santa Clara H xG 0.58 xGA 1.27 P xGD -0.69
  7. Sun 09/08 Benfica A Weakest underlying xG 1.18 xGA 3.11 xGD -1.93

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.11. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Académico Viseu FC in Liga Portugal

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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