xgEdge

Expected goals

Diósgyőri VTK expected goals (xG) 2025/2026

NB I (Hungary) · after 33 matches · updated 4 Oct

Diósgyőri VTK's attacking and defensive expected goals in NB I (Hungary) 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Diósgyőri VTK xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.52 xG per match
#5/12
Attack (xG per match) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Paksi FC 2.14
#2 Ferencváros TC 2.13
#3 ETO FC Győr 2.01
#4 MTK Budapest 1.62
#5 Diósgyőri VTK 1.52
#6 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 1.48
#7 Zalaegerszegi TE 1.47
#8 Újpest 1.46
#9 Puskás Akadémia 1.45
#10 Debreceni VSC 1.34
#11 Kisvárda FC 1.13
#12 Kazincbarcikai SC 1.12
League avg
1.57
Total
50.23 33 matches
Defence
1.83 xGA per match
#11/12
Defence (xGA per match) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Ferencváros TC 0.97
#2 ETO FC Győr 1.19
#3 Kisvárda FC 1.44
#4 Zalaegerszegi TE 1.46
#5 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 1.49
#6 Újpest 1.59
#7 Debreceni VSC 1.65
#8 Puskás Akadémia 1.66
#9 Paksi FC 1.68
#10 MTK Budapest 1.73
#11 Diósgyőri VTK 1.83
#12 Kazincbarcikai SC 2.25
League avg
1.57
Total
60.54 33 matches
xG difference
-0.31 xGD per match
#10/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Ferencváros TC +1.17
#2 ETO FC Győr +0.82
#3 Paksi FC +0.46
#4 Zalaegerszegi TE +0.01
#5 Nyiregyháza Spartacus -0.01
#6 MTK Budapest -0.11
#7 Újpest -0.13
#8 Puskás Akadémia -0.21
#9 Kisvárda FC -0.30
#10 Diósgyőri VTK -0.31
#11 Debreceni VSC -0.31
#12 Kazincbarcikai SC -1.13
League avg
0.00
Total
-10.31 33 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.20 xPts per match
#9/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Ferencváros TC 2.10
#2 ETO FC Győr 1.91
#3 Paksi FC 1.62
#4 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 1.39
#5 Zalaegerszegi TE 1.38
#6 MTK Budapest 1.36
#7 Újpest 1.30
#8 Puskás Akadémia 1.30
#9 Diósgyőri VTK 1.20
#10 Debreceni VSC 1.17
#11 Kisvárda FC 1.17
#12 Kazincbarcikai SC 0.78
League avg
1.39
Total
39.57 vs 28 actual pts

What the xG says

Diósgyőri VTK's underlying numbers are among the weakest in NB I (Hungary). They rank #10 for xG difference at -0.31 per match, built on elite chance quality rather than low shot volume. Their 39 goals are 11.23 below 50.23 xG, while 28 points are 11.57 below 39.57 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
39 50.23 -11.23 scored 11.23 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
65 60.54 +4.46 conceded 4.46 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
28 39.57 -11.57 11.57 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Diósgyőri VTK are 11.23 goals below their xG after 33 matches. The gap was widest at -11.78, against Debreceni VSC on Sat 18/04.

Goals
39
xG
50.23
Gap
-11.23
Fri 25/07 Sat 02/08 Sat 09/08 Sat 16/08 Sat 23/08 Sat 30/08 Fri 19/09 Sat 27/09 Sun 05/10 Sat 18/10 Sat 25/10 Sun 02/11 Sat 08/11 Sun 23/11 Sat 29/11 Sat 06/12 Sat 13/12 Fri 19/12 Sun 25/01 Sun 01/02 Sat 07/02 Sat 14/02 Sat 21/02 Sat 28/02 Sun 08/03 Fri 13/03 Sat 21/03 Sun 05/04 Fri 10/04 Sat 18/04 Sat 25/04 Sat 02/05 Sat 16/05 -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 -0.21 +0.18 -0.63 -1.38 -1.09 -2.79 -2.84 -3.91 -4.94 -4.53 -4.01 -5.91 -6.69 -6.85 -8.27 -7.22 -7.38 -8.02 -7.70 -7.21 -8.21 -8.13 -8.81 -8.80 -9.73 -11.55 -11.77 -11.48 -11.10 -11.78 -10.88 -11.30 -11.23 -0.21 +0.39 -0.81 -0.75 +0.29 -1.70 -0.05 -1.07 -1.03 +0.41 +0.52 -1.90 -0.78 -0.16 -1.42 +1.05 -0.16 -0.64 +0.32 +0.49 -1.00 +0.08 -0.68 +0.01 -0.93 -1.82 -0.22 +0.29 +0.38 -0.68 +0.90 -0.42 +0.07 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Diósgyőri VTK: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 25/07 Újpest 1 1.21 -0.21 -0.21
Sat 02/08 Zalaegerszegi TE 2 1.61 +0.39 +0.18
Sat 09/08 MTK Budapest 0 0.81 -0.81 -0.63
Sat 16/08 Kazincbarcikai SC 2 2.75 -0.75 -1.38
Sat 23/08 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 4 3.71 +0.29 -1.09
Sat 30/08 Puskás Akadémia 1 2.70 -1.70 -2.79
Fri 19/09 Ferencváros TC 2 2.05 -0.05 -2.84
Sat 27/09 Debreceni VSC 0 1.07 -1.07 -3.91
Sun 05/10 Kisvárda FC 0 1.03 -1.03 -4.94
Sat 18/10 ETO FC Győr 1 0.59 +0.41 -4.53
Sat 25/10 Paksi FC 2 1.48 +0.52 -4.01
Sun 02/11 Újpest 1 2.90 -1.90 -5.91
Sat 08/11 Zalaegerszegi TE 0 0.78 -0.78 -6.69
Sun 23/11 MTK Budapest 4 4.16 -0.16 -6.85
Sat 29/11 Kazincbarcikai SC 1 2.42 -1.42 -8.27
Sat 06/12 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 2 0.95 +1.05 -7.22
Sat 13/12 Puskás Akadémia 1 1.16 -0.16 -7.38
Fri 19/12 Ferencváros TC 0 0.64 -0.64 -8.02
Sun 25/01 Debreceni VSC 2 1.68 +0.32 -7.70
Sun 01/02 Kisvárda FC 1 0.51 +0.49 -7.21
Sat 07/02 ETO FC Győr 1 2.00 -1.00 -8.21
Sat 14/02 Paksi FC 2 1.92 +0.08 -8.13
Sat 21/02 Újpest 1 1.68 -0.68 -8.81
Sat 28/02 Zalaegerszegi TE 1 0.99 +0.01 -8.80
Sun 08/03 MTK Budapest 1 1.93 -0.93 -9.73
Fri 13/03 Kazincbarcikai SC 0 1.82 -1.82 -11.55
Sat 21/03 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 1 1.22 -0.22 -11.77
Sun 05/04 Puskás Akadémia 1 0.71 +0.29 -11.48
Fri 10/04 Ferencváros TC 1 0.62 +0.38 -11.10
Sat 18/04 Debreceni VSC 0 0.68 -0.68 -11.78
Sat 25/04 Kisvárda FC 2 1.10 +0.90 -10.88
Sat 02/05 ETO FC Győr 0 0.42 -0.42 -11.30
Sat 16/05 Paksi FC 1 0.93 +0.07 -11.23

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Diósgyőri VTK xG trend

Current form -1.30 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 13 of 33 matches. The worst was against ETO FC Győr on Sat 18/10 (-2.55).

npxG · last 6
0.74
npxGA · last 6
2.05
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 -0.32 Fri 25/07 -0.06 Sat 02/08 -1.73 Sat 09/08 +1.21 Sat 16/08 +2.57 Sat 23/08 +1.18 Sat 30/08 +0.20 Fri 19/09 +0.19 Sat 27/09 -0.08 Sun 05/10 -2.55 Sat 18/10 -0.11 Sat 25/10 +1.22 Sun 02/11 -1.58 Sat 08/11 +3.34 Sun 23/11 +1.15 Sat 29/11 -1.47 Sat 06/12 -0.13 Sat 13/12 -2.42 Fri 19/12 +0.93 Sun 25/01 -0.82 Sun 01/02 -1.35 Sat 07/02 -0.78 Sat 14/02 +0.33 Sat 21/02 +0.34 Sat 28/02 +0.99 Sun 08/03 -1.83 Fri 13/03 -0.92 Sat 21/03 -0.52 Sun 05/04 -2.11 Fri 10/04 -0.87 Sat 18/04 +0.34 Sat 25/04 -2.53 Sat 02/05 -2.12 Sat 16/05 -0.31 season avg
Diósgyőri VTK: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 25/07 Újpest 1.21 1.53 -0.32 -0.32
Sat 02/08 Zalaegerszegi TE 1.61 1.67 -0.06 -0.19
Sat 09/08 MTK Budapest 0.81 2.54 -1.73 -0.70
Sat 16/08 Kazincbarcikai SC 2.75 1.54 +1.21 -0.22
Sat 23/08 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 3.71 1.14 +2.57 +0.33
Sat 30/08 Puskás Akadémia 2.70 1.52 +1.18 +0.47
Fri 19/09 Ferencváros TC 2.05 1.85 +0.20 +0.44
Sat 27/09 Debreceni VSC 1.07 0.88 +0.19 +0.41
Sun 05/10 Kisvárda FC 1.03 1.11 -0.08 +0.35
Sat 18/10 ETO FC Győr 0.59 3.14 -2.55 +0.06
Sat 25/10 Paksi FC 1.48 1.59 -0.11 +0.05
Sun 02/11 Újpest 2.90 1.68 +1.22 +0.14
Sat 08/11 Zalaegerszegi TE 0.78 2.36 -1.58 +0.01
Sun 23/11 MTK Budapest 4.16 0.82 +3.34 +0.25
Sat 29/11 Kazincbarcikai SC 2.42 1.27 +1.15 +0.31
Sat 06/12 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 0.95 2.42 -1.47 +0.20
Sat 13/12 Puskás Akadémia 1.16 1.29 -0.13 +0.18
Fri 19/12 Ferencváros TC 0.64 3.06 -2.42 +0.03
Sun 25/01 Debreceni VSC 1.68 0.75 +0.93 +0.08
Sun 01/02 Kisvárda FC 0.51 1.33 -0.82 +0.04
Sat 07/02 ETO FC Győr 2.00 3.35 -1.35 -0.03
Sat 14/02 Paksi FC 1.92 2.70 -0.78 -0.06
Sat 21/02 Újpest 1.68 1.35 +0.33 -0.05
Sat 28/02 Zalaegerszegi TE 0.99 0.65 +0.34 -0.03
Sun 08/03 MTK Budapest 1.93 0.94 +0.99 +0.01
Fri 13/03 Kazincbarcikai SC 1.82 3.65 -1.83 -0.06
Sat 21/03 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 1.22 2.14 -0.92 -0.09
Sun 05/04 Puskás Akadémia 0.71 1.23 -0.52 -0.11
Fri 10/04 Ferencváros TC 0.62 2.73 -2.11 -0.18
Sat 18/04 Debreceni VSC 0.68 1.55 -0.87 -0.20
Sat 25/04 Kisvárda FC 1.10 0.76 +0.34 -0.18
Sat 02/05 ETO FC Győr 0.42 2.95 -2.53 -0.26
Sat 16/05 Paksi FC 0.93 3.05 -2.12 -0.31

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.52 npxG and 1.83 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 2 hardest of 12 in NB I (Hungary)
+0.03 xG vs league average
Over 33 league matches
Last 5
number 1 hardest of 12 in NB I (Hungary)
+0.25 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.03 xG vs league average · over 33 matches · tied number 2 hardest of 12

  1. Paksi FC Home +0.26
  2. ETO FC Győr Away +0.52
  3. Kisvárda FC Away −0.34
  4. Debreceni VSC Home +0.10
  5. Ferencváros TC Away +0.70
  6. Puskás Akadémia Home +0.04
  7. Nyiregyháza Spartacus Away +0.22
  8. Kazincbarcikai SC Home −0.86
  9. MTK Budapest Away −0.14
  10. Zalaegerszegi TE Home +0.10
  11. Újpest Away −0.24
  12. Paksi FC Away +0.26
  13. ETO FC Győr Home +0.52
  14. Kisvárda FC Home −0.34
  15. Debreceni VSC Away +0.10
  16. Ferencváros TC Home +0.70
  17. Puskás Akadémia Away +0.04
  18. Nyiregyháza Spartacus Home +0.22
  19. Kazincbarcikai SC Away −0.86
  20. MTK Budapest Home −0.14
  21. Zalaegerszegi TE Away +0.10
  22. Újpest Home −0.24
  23. Paksi FC Home +0.26
  24. ETO FC Győr Away +0.52
  25. Kisvárda FC Away −0.34
  26. Debreceni VSC Home +0.10
  27. Ferencváros TC Away +0.70
  28. Puskás Akadémia Home +0.04
  29. Nyiregyháza Spartacus Away +0.22
  30. Kazincbarcikai SC Home −0.86
  31. MTK Budapest Away −0.14
  32. Zalaegerszegi TE Home +0.10
  33. Újpest Away −0.24

Last 5

+0.25 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 1 hardest of 12

  1. Paksi FC Home +0.26
  2. ETO FC Győr Away +0.52
  3. Kisvárda FC Away −0.34
  4. Debreceni VSC Home +0.10
  5. Ferencváros TC Away +0.70

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Diósgyőri VTK shots and chance quality

Low volume, high quality. Diósgyőri VTK take 11.0 shots a match (league 13.2) at 0.14 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #10 in NB I (Hungary) for volume and #2 for quality. 66% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%).

Attack

Shot volume
11.0 shots per match
#10/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 ETO FC Győr 16.1
#2 Ferencváros TC 15.6
#3 Paksi FC 15.4
#4 Debreceni VSC 14.1
#5 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 14.0
#6 MTK Budapest 13.6
#7 Puskás Akadémia 12.8
#8 Zalaegerszegi TE 12.8
#9 Újpest 12.7
#10 Diósgyőri VTK 11.0
#11 Kisvárda FC 10.6
#12 Kazincbarcikai SC 9.0
League avg
13.2
Total
363 shots from 33 matches
Chance quality
0.14 npxG per shot
#2/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Paksi FC 0.14
#2 Diósgyőri VTK 0.14
#3 Ferencváros TC 0.14
#4 Kazincbarcikai SC 0.12
#5 ETO FC Győr 0.12
#6 MTK Budapest 0.12
#7 Újpest 0.11
#8 Zalaegerszegi TE 0.11
#9 Puskás Akadémia 0.11
#10 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 0.11
#11 Kisvárda FC 0.11
#12 Debreceni VSC 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
50.23 npxG from 363 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
13.8 shots per match
#9/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Ferencváros TC 10.2
#2 ETO FC Győr 10.5
#3 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 11.8
#4 Puskás Akadémia 12.1
#5 Kisvárda FC 12.3
#6 Paksi FC 12.8
#7 Debreceni VSC 13.1
#8 Zalaegerszegi TE 13.3
#9 Diósgyőri VTK 13.8
#10 Újpest 14.4
#11 MTK Budapest 15.7
#12 Kazincbarcikai SC 18.0
League avg
13.2
Total
457 shots allowed from 33 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.13 npxGA per shot
#11/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Ferencváros TC 0.10
#2 MTK Budapest 0.11
#3 Zalaegerszegi TE 0.11
#4 Újpest 0.11
#5 ETO FC Győr 0.11
#6 Kisvárda FC 0.12
#7 Kazincbarcikai SC 0.12
#8 Debreceni VSC 0.13
#9 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 0.13
#10 Paksi FC 0.13
#11 Diósgyőri VTK 0.13
#12 Puskás Akadémia 0.14
League avg
0.12
Total
60.54 npxGA from 457 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

66% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 239 of 363 shots over 33 matches

Shots allowed, location

67% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 304 of 457 shots allowed over 33 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Diósgyőri VTK home and away xG

Diósgyőri VTK per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 16 17
xG / match 1.62 1.43
xGA / match 1.87 1.80
xGD / match -0.26 -0.37
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.20 1.20

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Diósgyőri VTK match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Away this season

Matches
17
xG / match
1.43
xGA / match
1.80
xGD / match
-0.37
Points
12 of 51
  1. Sat 02/05 ETO FC Győr A xG 0.42 xGA 2.95 xGD -2.53
  2. Sat 25/04 Kisvárda FC A xG 1.10 xGA 0.76 xGD +0.34
  3. Fri 10/04 Ferencváros TC A xG 0.62 xGA 2.73 xGD -2.11
  4. Sat 21/03 Nyiregyháza Spartacus A xG 1.22 xGA 2.14 xGD -0.92
  5. Sun 08/03 MTK Budapest A xG 1.93 xGA 0.94 xGD +0.99
  6. Sat 21/02 Újpest A xG 1.68 xGA 1.35 xGD +0.33
  7. Sat 14/02 Paksi FC A xG 1.92 xGA 2.70 xGD -0.78
  8. Sun 25/01 Debreceni VSC A xG 1.68 xGA 0.75 xGD +0.93
  9. Sat 13/12 Puskás Akadémia A xG 1.16 xGA 1.29 xGD -0.13
  10. Sat 29/11 Kazincbarcikai SC A xG 2.42 xGA 1.27 xGD +1.15
  11. Sat 08/11 Zalaegerszegi TE A xG 0.78 xGA 2.36 xGD -1.58
  12. Sat 18/10 ETO FC Győr A Weakest underlying xG 0.59 xGA 3.14 xGD -2.55
  13. Sun 05/10 Kisvárda FC A xG 1.03 xGA 1.11 xGD -0.08
  14. Fri 19/09 Ferencváros TC A xG 2.05 xGA 1.85 xGD +0.20
  15. Sat 23/08 Nyiregyháza Spartacus A Best underlying xG 3.71 xGA 1.14 xGD +2.57
  16. Sat 09/08 MTK Budapest A xG 0.81 xGA 2.54 xGD -1.73
  17. Fri 25/07 Újpest A xG 1.21 xGA 1.53 xGD -0.32

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.71. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Diósgyőri VTK in NB I (Hungary)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

Mind if we count your visit?

We use Google Analytics only to see how many people visit and which pages they read. It loads after you allow it — no ads, no tracking across other sites. What we collect