xgEdge

Expected goals

FC Koper expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

PrvaLiga (Slovenia) · after 10 matches · updated 1 Oct

FC Koper's attacking and defensive expected goals in PrvaLiga (Slovenia) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

FC Koper xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.53 xG per match
#4/10
Attack (xG per match) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 1.76
#2 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 1.66
#3 NK Celje 1.59
#4 FC Koper 1.53
#5 NK Bravo 1.48
#6 NK Maribor 1.48
#7 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 1.44
#8 Kalcer Radomlje 1.31
#9 NŠ Mura 1.26
#10 Brinje Grosuplje 1.25
League avg
1.48
Total
15.25 10 matches
Defence
1.28 xGA per match
#3/10
Defence (xGA per match) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 NK Maribor 0.84
#2 NK Celje 1.05
#3 FC Koper 1.28
#4 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 1.32
#5 NŠ Mura 1.39
#6 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 1.48
#7 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 1.70
#8 Brinje Grosuplje 1.77
#9 NK Bravo 1.92
#10 Kalcer Radomlje 1.96
League avg
1.48
Total
12.80 10 matches
xG difference
+0.25 xGD per match
#4/10
xG difference (xGD per match) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 NK Maribor +0.64
#2 NK Celje +0.54
#3 NK Olimpija Ljubljana +0.34
#4 FC Koper +0.25
#5 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 +0.05
#6 NK Aluminij Kidričevo -0.05
#7 NŠ Mura -0.13
#8 NK Bravo -0.44
#9 Brinje Grosuplje -0.52
#10 Kalcer Radomlje -0.65
League avg
0.00
Total
+2.45 10 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.55 xPts per match
#4/10
Expected points (xPts per match) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 NK Maribor 1.84
#2 NK Celje 1.78
#3 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 1.61
#4 FC Koper 1.55
#5 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 1.37
#6 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 1.29
#7 NŠ Mura 1.22
#8 NK Bravo 1.06
#9 Brinje Grosuplje 1.06
#10 Kalcer Radomlje 0.99
League avg
1.37
Total
15.47 vs 18 actual pts

What the xG says

FC Koper's underlying numbers are among the best in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). They rank #4 for xG difference at +0.25 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 11 goals are 4.25 below 15.25 xG, while 18 points are 2.53 above 15.47 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.42 xG from penalties
11 15.25 -4.25 scored 4.25 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
8 12.80 -4.80 conceded 4.80 fewer than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
18 15.47 +2.53 2.53 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

FC Koper are 4.25 goals below their xG after 10 matches. The gap was widest at -4.46, against NK Celje on Sun 06/09.

Goals
11
xG
15.25
Gap
-4.25
Fri 17/07 Sun 26/07 Sun 02/08 Sun 09/08 Sun 16/08 Sat 22/08 Fri 28/08 Sun 06/09 Sat 12/09 Sat 19/09 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +0.51 -0.24 -0.91 -1.45 -3.57 -3.71 -3.58 -4.46 -4.06 -4.25 +0.51 -0.75 -0.67 -0.54 -2.12 -0.14 +0.13 -0.88 +0.40 -0.19 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
FC Koper: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 17/07 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 2 1.49 +0.51 +0.51
Sun 26/07 Kalcer Radomlje 2 2.75 -0.75 -0.24
Sun 02/08 Brinje Grosuplje 1 1.67 -0.67 -0.91
Sun 09/08 NK Maribor 0 0.54 -0.54 -1.45
Sun 16/08 NK Bravo 0 2.12 -2.12 -3.57
Sat 22/08 NŠ Mura 1 1.14 -0.14 -3.71
Fri 28/08 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 1 0.87 +0.13 -3.58
Sun 06/09 NK Celje 1 1.88 -0.88 -4.46
Sat 12/09 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 1 0.60 +0.40 -4.06
Sat 19/09 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 2 2.19 -0.19 -4.25

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

FC Koper xG trend

Current form +0.05 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 7 of 10 matches. The worst was against NK Olimpija Ljubljana on Sat 12/09 (-0.90).

npxG · last 6
1.47
npxGA · last 6
1.42
-1 0 +1 -0.45 Fri 17/07 +0.73 Sun 26/07 +0.32 Sun 02/08 +0.14 Sun 09/08 +0.52 Sun 16/08 +0.08 Sat 22/08 +0.65 Fri 28/08 -0.23 Sun 06/09 -0.90 Sat 12/09 +0.16 Sat 19/09 +0.10 season avg
FC Koper: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 17/07 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 1.49 1.94 -0.45 -0.45
Sun 26/07 Kalcer Radomlje 1.99 1.26 +0.73 +0.14
Sun 02/08 Brinje Grosuplje 1.01 0.69 +0.32 +0.20
Sun 09/08 NK Maribor 0.54 0.40 +0.14 +0.19
Sun 16/08 NK Bravo 2.12 1.60 +0.52 +0.25
Sat 22/08 NŠ Mura 1.14 1.06 +0.08 +0.22
Fri 28/08 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 0.87 0.22 +0.65 +0.28
Sun 06/09 NK Celje 1.88 2.11 -0.23 +0.22
Sat 12/09 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 0.60 1.50 -0.90 +0.10
Sat 19/09 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 2.19 2.03 +0.16 +0.10

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.38 npxG and 1.28 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 8 hardest of 10 in PrvaLiga (Slovenia)
−0.03 xG vs league average
Over 10 league matches
Last 5
number 4 hardest of 10 in PrvaLiga (Slovenia)
+0.07 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.03 xG vs league average · over 10 matches · tied number 8 hardest of 10

  1. NK Nafta Lendava 1903 Home −0.20
  2. NK Olimpija Ljubljana Home +0.25
  3. NK Celje Away +0.35
  4. NK Aluminij Kidričevo Away −0.28
  5. NŠ Mura Away +0.23
  6. NK Bravo Home −0.09
  7. NK Maribor Away +0.38
  8. Brinje Grosuplje Away −0.27
  9. Kalcer Radomlje Home −0.52
  10. NK Nafta Lendava 1903 Away −0.20

Last 5

+0.07 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 4 hardest of 10

  1. NK Nafta Lendava 1903 Home −0.20
  2. NK Olimpija Ljubljana Home +0.25
  3. NK Celje Away +0.35
  4. NK Aluminij Kidričevo Away −0.28
  5. NŠ Mura Away +0.23

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

FC Koper shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. FC Koper take 12.0 shots a match (league 11.8) at 0.12 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #5 in PrvaLiga (Slovenia) for volume and #5 for quality. 59% of their shots come from inside the box (league 60%).

Attack

Shot volume
12.0 shots per match
#5/10
Shot volume (shots per match) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 14.9
#2 NK Maribor 13.8
#3 NK Celje 12.1
#4 NŠ Mura 12.1
#5 FC Koper 12.0
#6 NK Bravo 11.9
#7 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 11.4
#8 Kalcer Radomlje 10.9
#9 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 10.0
#10 Brinje Grosuplje 8.8
League avg
11.8
Total
120 shots from 10 matches
Chance quality
0.12 npxG per shot
#5/10
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 0.15
#2 Brinje Grosuplje 0.14
#3 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 0.14
#4 NK Celje 0.12
#5 FC Koper 0.12
#6 Kalcer Radomlje 0.11
#7 NK Bravo 0.11
#8 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 0.11
#9 NŠ Mura 0.10
#10 NK Maribor 0.10
League avg
0.12
Total
13.83 npxG from 120 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
11.5 shots per match
#6/10
Shots allowed (shots per match) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 NK Maribor 8.7
#2 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 9.6
#3 NK Celje 9.9
=4 Brinje Grosuplje 10.8
=4 NŠ Mura 10.8
#6 FC Koper 11.5
#7 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 12.1
#8 Kalcer Radomlje 12.8
#9 NK Bravo 14.6
#10 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 17.1
League avg
11.8
Total
115 shots allowed from 10 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
#4/10
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 NK Maribor 0.10
#2 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 0.10
#3 NK Celje 0.11
#4 FC Koper 0.11
#5 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 0.11
#6 NŠ Mura 0.12
#7 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 0.12
#8 NK Bravo 0.13
#9 Kalcer Radomlje 0.15
#10 Brinje Grosuplje 0.16
League avg
0.12
Total
12.81 npxGA from 115 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

59% inside the box

League avg 60%

From 71 of 120 shots over 10 matches

Shots allowed, location

55% allowed inside the box

League avg 60%

From 63 of 115 shots allowed over 10 matches

How the shot figures are made →

FC Koper home and away xG

FC Koper per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 6
xG / match 1.92 1.27
xGA / match 1.60 1.07
xGD / match +0.32 +0.19
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.55 1.54

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every FC Koper match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
10
xG / match
1.53
xGA / match
1.28
xGD / match
+0.25
Points
18 of 30
  1. Sat 19/09 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 H xG 2.19 xGA 2.03 xGD +0.16
  2. Sat 12/09 NK Olimpija Ljubljana H Weakest underlying xG 0.60 xGA 1.49 xGD -0.89
  3. Sun 06/09 NK Celje A xG 1.88 xGA 2.11 xGD -0.23
  4. Fri 28/08 NK Aluminij Kidričevo A xG 0.87 xGA 0.22 xGD +0.65
  5. Sat 22/08 NŠ Mura A xG 1.14 xGA 1.06 xGD +0.08
  6. Sun 16/08 NK Bravo H xG 2.12 xGA 1.60 xGD +0.52
  7. Sun 09/08 NK Maribor A xG 0.54 xGA 0.40 xGD +0.14
  8. Sun 02/08 Brinje Grosuplje A xG 1.67 P xGA 0.69 xGD +0.98
  9. Sun 26/07 Kalcer Radomlje H Best underlying xG 2.75 P xGA 1.26 xGD +1.49
  10. Fri 17/07 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 A xG 1.49 xGA 1.94 xGD -0.45

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

FC Koper in PrvaLiga (Slovenia)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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