xgEdge

Scottish Premiership results 2025/2026

Every Scottish Premiership match played this season, newest first, with the xG each side created and the home, draw and away probabilities the model held before kickoff.

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Model record

The season's model record appears after 20 matches.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
What happened Most likely outcome Upset

Sunday, 17/05/2026

1 match

Tuesday, 12/05/2026

1 match

Saturday, 09/05/2026

1 match

Friday, 01/05/2026

1 match

Sunday, 26/04/2026

1 match

Saturday, 25/04/2026

1 match

Sunday, 15/03/2026

1 match

Saturday, 14/03/2026

2 matches

Sunday, 01/03/2026

1 match
  • xG 1.50 – 2.24 Draw with an xG gap
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Saturday, 28/02/2026

1 match

Sunday, 22/02/2026

2 matches
  • xG 0.30 – 3.63 Draw with an xG gap
    No pre-match probabilities
    →
  • xG 1.86 – 0.63 Lower-xG side won
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Saturday, 21/02/2026

1 match

Sunday, 01/02/2026

1 match
  • xG 1.88 – 0.58 Draw with an xG gap
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Wednesday, 14/01/2026

1 match
  • xG 1.72 – 0.62 Lower-xG side won
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Sunday, 11/01/2026

1 match

Saturday, 10/01/2026

1 match

Saturday, 27/12/2025

2 matches

Wednesday, 17/12/2025

1 match

Sunday, 07/12/2025

1 match

Wednesday, 03/12/2025

1 match

Sunday, 30/11/2025

2 matches
  • xG 1.07 – 0.14 Draw with an xG gap
    No pre-match probabilities
    →
  • xG 1.66 – 0.90 Lower-xG side won
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Saturday, 29/11/2025

1 match

Sunday, 23/11/2025

1 match

Saturday, 22/11/2025

1 match
  • xG 1.53 – 0.88 Lower-xG side won
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Sunday, 09/11/2025

1 match

Saturday, 08/11/2025

1 match

Saturday, 01/11/2025

1 match

Wednesday, 29/10/2025

3 matches

Saturday, 25/10/2025

1 match

Sunday, 19/10/2025

1 match
  • xG 1.30 – 2.70 Lower-xG side won
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Saturday, 04/10/2025

1 match

Saturday, 27/09/2025

2 matches

Tuesday, 23/09/2025

1 match

Saturday, 13/09/2025

3 matches

Sunday, 31/08/2025

1 match

Sunday, 24/08/2025

1 match

Saturday, 23/08/2025

2 matches

Sunday, 10/08/2025

1 match

Saturday, 09/08/2025

2 matches

xG is a model estimate of the chances each side created. "Went with the xG" means the side with more xG won; "Went against the xG" means the side with less xG won or the match was drawn across a gap of at least 0.5. The probabilities are the ones the model published before kickoff, rounded so the three add to 100; the outline marks what happened.