Atalanta 0:1 Bologna: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 17/05/2026 at 18:00

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Atalanta Home 0.76 xG · 10 shots

Bologna Away 0.69 xG · 10 shots

01 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

78' Riccardo Orsolini Bologna · 0.25 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Atalanta Bologna

Shots: 10; 10
On target: 1; 5
Inside the box: 7; 7
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.07
Open play xG: 0.65; 0.32
Set-piece xG: 0.14; 0.38
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.79 for Atalanta and 0.70 for Bologna.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

20 shots · 1.49 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Atalanta
Bologna
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Atalanta

1.51 xG created 1.05 xGA

W 2.20 created, 0.33 conceded against Lecce
L 1.68 created, 0.61 conceded against Juventus
D 0.68 created, 1.07 conceded against Roma
L 1.18 created, 1.56 conceded against Cagliari
D 1.96 created, 0.52 conceded against Genoa
W 1.38 created, 2.21 conceded against Milan

Bologna

1.03 xG created 1.18 xGA

W 1.11 created, 1.42 conceded against Cremonese
W 2.16 created, 0.32 conceded against Lecce
L 0.59 created, 1.31 conceded against Juventus
L 0.50 created, 2.13 conceded against Roma
D 0.53 created, 1.07 conceded against Cagliari
W 1.26 created, 0.80 conceded against Napoli

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Atalanta: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Bologna 0:2 Atalanta 07/01/2026 xG 1.10 – 1.38

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.