Atalanta 0:1 Juventus: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 11/04/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Atalanta Home 1.68 xG · 22 shots

Juventus Away 0.61 xG · 7 shots

01 The result went against the chances

Goals

48' Jérémie Boga Juventus · 0.13 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Atalanta Juventus

Shots: 22; 7
On target: 3; 2
Inside the box: 14; 5
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.09
Open play xG: 0.59; 0.54
Set-piece xG: 1.08; 0.07
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.67 for Atalanta.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

29 shots · 2.28 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Atalanta
Juventus
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Atalanta

1.68 xG created 1.07 xGA

W 0.75 created, 1.08 conceded against Napoli
L 2.98 created, 1.52 conceded against Sassuolo
D 2.00 created, 0.77 conceded against Udinese
D 1.12 created, 1.58 conceded against Inter
W 1.02 created, 1.11 conceded against Hellas Verona
W 2.20 created, 0.33 conceded against Lecce

Juventus

2.03 xG created 1.00 xGA

L 0.70 created, 1.41 conceded against Como
D 1.40 created, 1.65 conceded against Roma
W 2.67 created, 0.45 conceded against Pisa
W 3.08 created, 0.66 conceded against Udinese
D 2.13 created, 0.48 conceded against Sassuolo
W 2.20 created, 1.37 conceded against Genoa

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Atalanta: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Juventus 1:1 Atalanta 27/09/2025 xG 1.59 – 0.73

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.