Atalanta 2:1 Napoli: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 22/02/2026 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Atalanta Home 0.75 xG · 10 shots

Napoli Away 1.08 xG · 10 shots

21 The result went against the chances

Goals

18' Sam Beukema Napoli · 0.47 xG chance 0–1
61' Mario Pašalić Atalanta · 0.15 xG chance 1–1
81' Lazar Samardžić Atalanta · 0.06 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Atalanta Napoli

Shots: 10; 10
On target: 7; 4
Inside the box: 8; 6
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.12
Open play xG: 0.43; 0.71
Set-piece xG: 0.31; 0.47
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.75 for Atalanta and 1.16 for Napoli.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

20 shots · 1.92 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Atalanta
Napoli
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Atalanta

2.01 xG created 1.70 xGA

W 2.61 created, 0.75 conceded against Torino
D 1.15 created, 1.19 conceded against Pisa
W 4.07 created, 1.38 conceded against Parma
D 0.52 created, 5.24 conceded against Como
W 2.11 created, 0.62 conceded against Cremonese
W 1.61 created, 1.02 conceded against Lazio

Napoli

1.23 xG created 1.09 xGA

D 1.37 created, 0.18 conceded against Parma
W 0.58 created, 0.91 conceded against Sassuolo
L 0.73 created, 1.09 conceded against Juventus
W 1.80 created, 1.36 conceded against Fiorentina
W 2.30 created, 1.32 conceded against Genoa
D 0.58 created, 1.70 conceded against Roma

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Atalanta: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Napoli 3:1 Atalanta 22/11/2025 xG 1.58 – 0.78

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.