Atalanta 1:0 Hellas Verona: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 22/03/2026 at 15:00

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Match report · Serie A

Atalanta Home 1.02 xG · 12 shots

Hellas Verona Away 1.11 xG · 12 shots

10 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

37' Davide Zappacosta Atalanta · 0.02 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Atalanta Hellas Verona

Shots: 12; 12
On target: 3; 3
Inside the box: 8; 5
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.09
Open play xG: 0.85; 0.85
Set-piece xG: 0.19; 0.26
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.03 for Atalanta.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 2.15 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Atalanta
Hellas Verona
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Atalanta

1.76 xG created 1.10 xGA

W 2.11 created, 0.62 conceded against Cremonese
W 1.61 created, 1.02 conceded against Lazio
W 0.75 created, 1.08 conceded against Napoli
L 2.98 created, 1.52 conceded against Sassuolo
D 2.00 created, 0.77 conceded against Udinese
D 1.12 created, 1.58 conceded against Inter

Hellas Verona

0.70 xG created 1.20 xGA

D 0.06 created, 0.82 conceded against Pisa
L 0.91 created, 1.71 conceded against Parma
L 0.65 created, 2.00 conceded against Sassuolo
L 0.31 created, 0.85 conceded against Napoli
W 1.98 created, 1.28 conceded against Bologna
L 0.30 created, 0.51 conceded against Genoa

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Atalanta: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Hellas Verona 3:1 Atalanta 06/12/2025 xG 0.99 – 1.47

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.