Roma 1:1 Atalanta: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 18/04/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Roma Home 1.07 xG · 19 shots

Atalanta Away 0.68 xG · 8 shots

11 Roma had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

12' Nikola Krstović Atalanta · 0.05 xG chance 0–1
45' Mario Hermoso Roma · 0.14 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Roma Atalanta

Shots: 19; 8
On target: 9; 2
Inside the box: 15; 2
xG per shot: 0.05; 0.09
Open play xG: 0.63; 0.65
Set-piece xG: 0.29; 0.04
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.90 for Roma and 0.68 for Atalanta.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 1.61 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Roma
Atalanta
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Roma

1.03 xG created 1.65 xGA

D 1.65 created, 1.40 conceded against Juventus
L 0.35 created, 2.75 conceded against Genoa
L 0.86 created, 2.22 conceded against Como
W 0.84 created, 1.08 conceded against Lecce
L 0.96 created, 1.17 conceded against Inter
W 1.53 created, 1.26 conceded against Pisa

Atalanta

1.83 xG created 0.99 xGA

L 2.98 created, 1.52 conceded against Sassuolo
D 2.00 created, 0.77 conceded against Udinese
D 1.12 created, 1.58 conceded against Inter
W 1.02 created, 1.11 conceded against Hellas Verona
W 2.20 created, 0.33 conceded against Lecce
L 1.68 created, 0.61 conceded against Juventus

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Roma: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Atalanta 1:0 Roma 03/01/2026 xG 1.88 – 0.78

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.